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La inmigración y su efecto en las finanzas públicas andaluzas

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Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el impacto que la entrada de inmigrantes tendrá sobre las cuentas de las Administraciones Públicas andaluzas y sobre la sostenibilidad a largo plazo de las actuales políticas de gasto público en Andalucía. Para ello, realizamos diferentes simulaciones utilizando la metodología de la Contabilidad Generacional. Los resultados, comparados con los obtenidos en Collado et al. (2004) para el conjunto de España, sugieren que, si bien el ratio de dependencia en la población andaluza muestra una tendencia menos dramática que en el caso español, el problema de sostenibilidad del Estado del Bienestar será mayor en esta región dada la previsible evolución de las finanzas públicas. En cuanto a la contribución de la inmigración para atenuar este problema, ésta será reducida debido al perfil de bajos ingresos del inmigrante medio, y tanto menor cuanto menor sea el grado de integración de los hijos de los inmigrantes.

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  • José Ignacio García Pérez & Victoria Osuna Padilla & Guadalupe Valera Blanes, 2004. "La inmigración y su efecto en las finanzas públicas andaluzas," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2004/41, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    • Handle: RePEc:cea:doctra:e2004_41
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    1. Timothy Miller & Ronald Lee, 2000. "Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(2), pages 350-354, May.
    2. Kjetil Storesletten, 2000. "Sustaining Fiscal Policy through Immigration," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(2), pages 300-323, April.
    3. M. Dolores Collado & IÒigo Iturbe-Ormaetxe & Guadalupe Valera, 2004. "Quantifying the Impact of Immigration on the Spanish Welfare State," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 11(3), pages 335-353, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muñoz de Bustillo, Rafael & Antón, José-Ignacio, 2009. "Immigration and Social Benefits in a Mediterranean Welfare State: The Case of Spain," MPRA Paper 13849, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    immigration; fiscal policy; generational accounting; regional economy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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