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Self-affinity in financial asset returns

  • John Goddard
  • Enrico Onali

We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent, or drawn randomly from an L-stable distribution with infinite higher-order moments. The finite sample performance of estimators of the two forms of self-affinity is explored in a simulation study which demonstrates that, unlike rescaled range analysis and other conventional estimation methods, the variant of fluctuation analysis that considers finite sample moments only is able to identify either form of self-affinity. However, when returns are self-affine and long-range dependent under the alternative hypothesis, rescaled range analysis has greater power than fluctuation analysis. The finite-sample properties of the estimators when returns exhibit either form of self-affinity can be exploited to determine the source of self-affinity in empirical returns data. The techniques are illustrated by means of an analysis of the fractal properties of the daily logarithmic returns for the indices of 11 stock markets.

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File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1401.7170
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Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1401.7170.

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Date of creation: Jan 2014
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Publication status: Published in International Review of Financial Analysis 24, 2012, 1 11
Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1401.7170
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