IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/ubzefd/338675.html

Drought Shocks and Labor Reallocation in Rural Africa: Evidence from Ethiopia

Author

Listed:
  • Musungu, Arnold L.
  • Kubik, Zaneta
  • Qaim, Matin

Abstract

We study how rural households in Ethiopia adapt to droughts through labor reallocation. By using three waves of panel data and exploiting spatial-temporal variations in drought exposure, we find that households reduce on-farm work and increase off-farm self-employment in response to both short-term and persistent droughts, without abandoning family farming. Diversification into off-farm activities is driven by drought-related productivity declines in agriculture and contributes to consumption smoothing. Households with better access to markets and financial services find it easier to reallocate labor off-farm. Our results highlight the importance of strengthening the rural non-farm economy to enhance rural households’ climate resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Musungu, Arnold L. & Kubik, Zaneta & Qaim, Matin, "undated". "Drought Shocks and Labor Reallocation in Rural Africa: Evidence from Ethiopia," Discussion Papers 338675, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:ubzefd:338675
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.338675
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/338675/files/ZEF_DP_334.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.338675?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Katrina Jessoe & Dale T. Manning & J. Edward Taylor, 2018. "Climate Change and Labour Allocation in Rural Mexico: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(608), pages 230-261.
    2. Dercon, Stefan & Christiaensen, Luc, 2011. "Consumption risk, technology adoption and poverty traps: Evidence from Ethiopia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 159-173, November.
    3. Lucia Corno & Nicole Hildebrandt & Alessandra Voena, 2020. "Age of Marriage, Weather Shocks, and the Direction of Marriage Payments," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(3), pages 879-915, May.
    4. Gao, Jianfeng & Mills, Bradford F., 2018. "Weather Shocks, Coping Strategies, and Consumption Dynamics in Rural Ethiopia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 268-283.
    5. Jean-Paul Chavas & Salvatore Di Falco & Felice Adinolfi & Fabian Capitanio, 2019. "Weather effects and their long-term impact on the distribution of agricultural yields: evidence from Italy," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 46(1), pages 29-51.
    6. Katrina Jessoe & Dale T. Manning & J. Edward Taylor, 2018. "Climate Change and Labour Allocation in Rural Mexico: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(608), pages 230-261, February.
    7. Sebastian Galiani & Ernesto Schargrodsky, 2011. "Land Property Rights and Resource Allocation," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(S4), pages 329-345.
    8. Kunal Sen, 2019. "Structural Transformation around the World: Patterns and Drivers," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 36(2), pages 1-31, September.
    9. Randell, Heather & Gray, Clark & Shayo, Elizabeth H., 2022. "Climatic conditions and household food security: Evidence from Tanzania," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    10. R. H. Coase, 2013. "The Problem of Social Cost," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(4), pages 837-877.
    11. Gin, Xavier & Yang, Dean, 2009. "Insurance, credit, and technology adoption: Field experimental evidencefrom Malawi," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 1-11, May.
    12. Luc Christiaensen & Miet Maertens, 2022. "Rural Employment in Africa: Trends and Challenges," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 267-289, October.
    13. Zhang, Peng & Deschenes, Olivier & Meng, Kyle & Zhang, Junjie, 2018. "Temperature effects on productivity and factor reallocation: Evidence from a half million chinese manufacturing plants," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-17.
    14. Rayner Tabetando & Djomo Choumbou Raoul Fani & Catherine Ragasa & Aleksandr Michuda, 2023. "Land market responses to weather shocks: evidence from rural Uganda and Kenya," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 50(3), pages 954-977.
    15. Frederic Ang & Simon M. Mortimer & Francisco J. Areal & Richard Tiffin, 2018. "On the Opportunity Cost of Crop Diversification," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 794-814, September.
    16. Jonathan Colmer, 2021. "Temperature, Labor Reallocation, and Industrial Production: Evidence from India," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 101-124, October.
    17. Olper, Alessandro & Maugeri, Maurizio & Manara, Veronica & Raimondi, Valentina, 2021. "Weather, climate and economic outcomes: Evidence from Italy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    18. Emerick, Kyle, 2018. "Agricultural productivity and the sectoral reallocation of labor in rural India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 488-503.
    19. Udry, Christopher, 1996. "Gender, Agricultural Production, and the Theory of the Household," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(5), pages 1010-1046, October.
    20. Marshall Burke & Kyle Emerick, 2016. "Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Agriculture," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 8(3), pages 106-140, August.
    21. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea & Toby R. Ault & Carlos M. Carrillo & Robert G. Chambers & David B. Lobell, 2021. "Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(4), pages 306-312, April.
    22. Stefan Dercon & Pramila Krishnan, 2000. "Vulnerability, seasonality and poverty in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 25-53.
    23. Haggblade, Steven & Hazell, Peter & Reardon, Thomas, 2010. "The Rural Non-farm Economy: Prospects for Growth and Poverty Reduction," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 1429-1441, October.
    24. Danyelle Branco & José Féres, 2021. "Weather Shocks and Labor Allocation: Evidence from Rural Brazil," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(4), pages 1359-1377, August.
    25. Seema Jayachandran, 2006. "Selling Labor Low: Wage Responses to Productivity Shocks in Developing Countries," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 114(3), pages 538-575, June.
    26. Gary S. Becker, 1962. "Investment in Human Capital: A Theoretical Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70(5), pages 1-9.
    27. Paulo Guimarães & Pedro Portugal, 2010. "A simple feasible procedure to fit models with high-dimensional fixed effects," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 10(4), pages 628-649, December.
    28. Davis, Benjamin & Di Giuseppe, Stefania & Zezza, Alberto, 2017. "Are African households (not) leaving agriculture? Patterns of households’ income sources in rural Sub-Saharan Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 153-174.
    29. Aggarwal, Raavi, 2021. "Impacts of climate shocks on household consumption and inequality in India," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(5-6), pages 488-511, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mutsami, Chrispinus & Parlasca, Martin C. & Qaim, Matin, 2024. "The evolving role of farm and off-farm jobs in rural Africa," Discussion Papers 343385, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    2. Llerena Pinto, Maria Cristhina & Mirzabaev, Alisher & Qaim, Matin, 2025. "Effects of recurrent rainfall shocks on poverty and income distribution in rural Ecuador," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    3. Chrispinus Mutsami & Martin C. Parlasca & Matin Qaim, 2025. "Evolving Farm and Off‐Farm Income Sources and Jobs in Rural Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1367-1380, August.
    4. Abay, Kibrom A. & Wondale, Meseret & Korir, Josphat K. & Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Araya, Mesele & Breisinger, Clemens, 2025. "The landscape of youth engagement in labor markets in Africa: Are youth driving structural transformation?," GSSP working papers 2382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Pieper, Theresa & Nguyen, Thanh-Tung & Qaim, Matin, 2025. "Access to electricity and gendered labor allocation: Insights from Ethiopia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    6. Homma, Kirara & Md. Saiful Islam, Abu Hayat & Matsuura-Kannari, Masanori & Debela, Bethelhem Legesse, 2025. "Weather shocks and child nutritional status in rural Bangladesh: Does labor allocation have a role to play?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    7. Kelvin Mashisia Shikuku & Ibrahim Ochenje, 2025. "Impact of index insurance on downside income risk: Evidence from northern Kenya," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(2), pages 863-891, May.
    8. Alem, Yonas & Woldemichael, Leulseged L., 2025. "The Causal Effect of Drought on Energy Poverty: Evidence from Panel Data," EfD Discussion Paper 25-14, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
    9. Yitayal Addis Alemayehu & Adnan Sirage Ali & Gebrie Tsegaye Mersha & Tsedey Tesfahun & Bewketu Mamaru Mengiste, 2025. "Extreme weather impacts on the socio-economic conditions of rural communities in Ethiopia: practical implications and recommendations for resilience and sustainability," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 13(1), pages 1-30, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Musungu, Arnold L. & Kubik, Zaneta & Qaim, Matin, 2023. "Drought Shocks and Labor Reallocation in Rural Ethiopia," 2023 Seventh AAAE/60th AEASA Conference, September 18-21, 2023, Durban, South Africa 365917, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    2. Federica Alfani & Vasco Molini & Giacomo Pallante & Alessandro PalmaGran, 2024. "Job displacement and reallocation failure. Evidence from climate shocks in Morocco," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 51(1), pages 1-31.
    3. Lyu, Zhuoyang & Yu, Li & Liu, Chen & Ma, Tiemeng, 2024. "When temperatures matter: Extreme heat and labor share," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    4. Moustafa Feriga & Nancy Lozano Gracia & Pieter Serneels, 2025. "The Impact of Climate Change on Work: Lessons for Developing Countries," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 40(1), pages 104-146.
    5. Afridi, Farzana & Mahajan, Kanika & Sangwan, Nikita, 2022. "The gendered effects of droughts: Production shocks and labor response in agriculture," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Elmallakh, Nelly Youssef Louis William & Faures, Diego & Gatti, Roberta V. & Islam, Asif Mohammed, 2025. "The Labor Market Effects of Droughts in MENA," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11191, The World Bank.
    7. Yan Chen & Xiaohong Chen & Hongshan Ai & Xiaoqing Tan, 2022. "Temperature and Migration Intention: Evidence from the Unified National Graduate Entrance Examination in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-23, August.
    8. Aguilar-Gomez, Sandra & Gutierrez, Emilio & Heres, David & Jaume, David & Tobal, Martin, 2024. "Thermal stress and financial distress: Extreme temperatures and firms’ loan defaults in Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    9. Xie, Victoria Wenxin, 2024. "Labor market adjustment to extreme heat shocks: Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 266-283.
    10. Sadou Diallo & Henri Atangana Ondoa, 2025. "Climate shocks and labor market in sub-Saharan Africa: effects on gender disparities in urban and rural areas," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 27(1), pages 203-225, April.
    11. Chengzheng Li & Zheng Pan, 2021. "How do extremely high temperatures affect labor market performance? Evidence from rural China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 2265-2291, October.
    12. Jaqueline Oliveira & Bruno Palialol & Paula Pereda, 2021. "Do temperature shocks affect non-agriculture wages in Brazil? Evidence from individual-level panel data," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_13, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    13. Dasgupta, Shouro & Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z. & Shayegh, Soheil & Bosello, Francesco & Park, R. Jisung & Gosling, Simon N., 2024. "Heat stress and the labour force," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 126135, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Zhang, Huiming & Zhang, Aixin & Wu, Kai & Cai, Yinyin & Qiu, Yueming (Lucy) & Wang, Shouyang & Wang, Weiwei & Zhao, Yongfan, 2025. "Unequal impacts of temperature deviations on poverty:International Evidence," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 970-990.
    15. Jonathan Colmer, 2021. "Temperature, Labor Reallocation, and Industrial Production: Evidence from India," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 101-124, October.
    16. Li, Man, 2025. "Labor reallocation in the heat: A comprehensive analysis in rural Bangladesh," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    17. Moustafa Feriga & Nancy Lozano Gracia & Pieter Serneels, 2025. "The Impact of Climate Change on Work: Lessons for Developing Countries," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 40(1), pages 104-146.
    18. repec:ags:aaea22:335724 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Fanglin Chen & Jie Zhang & Zhongfei Chen, 2025. "Heat Waves and Housing Markets: Assessing the Effects on Real Estate Prices in China," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(6), pages 1541-1579, June.
    20. Fernando M. Arag'on & Francisco Oteiza & Juan Pablo Rud, 2019. "Climate Change and Agriculture: Subsistence Farmers' Response to Extreme Heat," Papers 1902.09204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2019.
    21. Paolo Nota & Daniele Curzi & Oliver Ken Haase & Alessandro Olper, 2024. "The impact of heat waves on food industry productivity: Firm‐level evidence from Italy," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(3), pages 914-930, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:ubzefd:338675. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zefbnde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.