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Land Prices Heading Skyward? An Analysis Of Farmland Values Across Tanzania

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  • Wineman, Ayala
  • Jayne, Thomas S.

Abstract

Although studies of the determinants of farmland prices are common in developed country settings, such analyses are extremely scarce in Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper offers a comprehensive examination of land values across Tanzania. Land prices rose significantly between 2008/09 and 2012/13, presenting a potential obstacle to land access for poor and aspiring farmers. A hedonic analysis reveals that indicators of agricultural potential, local population density, and access to markets/urban centers are all statistically significant determinants of land values in Tanzania. The paper concludes with a discussion of promising directions for future research on land values in SubSaharan Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Wineman, Ayala & Jayne, Thomas S., "undated". "Land Prices Heading Skyward? An Analysis Of Farmland Values Across Tanzania," Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Papers 261670, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security (FSP).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:miffrp:261670
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.261670
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    Cited by:

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    3. William F. Vásquez & Laura Beaudin, 2020. "On the use of hypothetical price data to estimate hedonic models in a developing country context," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 219-231, December.
    4. Mengfei Gao & Rui Pan & Yueqing Ji, 2025. "How Does Migrant Workers’ Return Affect Land Transfer Prices? An Investigation Based on Factor Supply–Demand Theory," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-27, July.
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    6. Tione, Sarah E. & Holden, Stein T., 2020. "Urban proximity, demand for land and land shadow prices in Malawi," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. Tione, Sarah E. & Holden , Stein T., 2019. "Urban proximity, demand for land and land prices in Malawi," CLTS Working Papers 1/19, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Centre for Land Tenure Studies, revised 16 Oct 2019.
    8. Leiva, Benjamin & Van Houtven, George & Vásquez, William F. & Nájera, Andrea, 2023. "Valuing water service reliability and in-home water storage: A hedonic price model from Guatemala," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Zhongcheng Yan & Feng Wei & Xin Deng & Chuan Li & Yanbin Qi, 2021. "Does Land Expropriation Experience Increase Farmers’ Farmland Value Expectations? Empirical Evidence from the People’s Republic of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-23, June.
    10. Tomáš Seeman & Karel Šrédl & Marie Prášilová & Roman Svoboda, 2020. "The Price of Farmland as a Factor in the Sustainable Development of Czech Agriculture (A Case Study)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-17, July.
    11. Song, Malin & Xie, Qianjiao & Chen, Jiandong, 2022. "Effects of government competition on land prices under opening up conditions: A case study of the Huaihe River ecological economic belt," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    12. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne & Emma Isinika Modamba & Holger Kray, 2020. "The changing face of agriculture in Tanzania: Indicators of transformation," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 38(6), pages 685-709, November.
    13. Junpyo Park, 2022. "Distance to Biorefinery Plants and Its Influence on Agricultural Land Value: Evidence from the United States Midwest Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, September.
    14. Sen Chakraborty, Kritika & Chakraborty, Avinandan & Berrens, Robert P., 2023. "Valuing soil erosion control investments in Nigerian agricultural lands: A hedonic pricing model," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    15. Wei Wang & Xin Luo & Chongmei Zhang & Jiahao Song & Dingde Xu, 2021. "Can Land Transfer Alleviate the Poverty of the Elderly? Evidence from Rural China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-15, October.
    16. Olanrewaju, Opeyemi & Bamiwuye, Temilolu & Omotayo, Abiodun Olusola, 2025. "Impact of conflict shocks on land rental market dynamics: Panel evidence from Nigeria," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    17. RASHID, Furaha Ndakije, . "Is Increasing Input Use For Rice Production A Profitable Proposition In Tanzania?," Review of Agricultural and Applied Economics (RAAE), Faculty of Economics and Management, Slovak Agricultural University in Nitra, vol. 23(2).
    18. Yiming Yang & Xiuli Wang & Jian Wang & Yiwei Geng & Weiqiang Chen & Qun Wu & Xiaoke Guan, 2022. "Evaluation and Improvement of Cultivated Land Leisure Service Function Based on Multisource Spatial Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, February.
    19. Abay, Kibrom A. & Chamberlin, Jordan & Berhane, Guush, 2021. "Are land rental markets responding to rising population pressures and land scarcity in sub-Saharan Africa?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    20. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne, 2021. "Factor Market Activity and the Inverse Farm Size-Productivity Relationship in Tanzania," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(3), pages 443-464, March.
    21. Martina Agosta & Emanuele Schimmenti & Caterina Patrizia Di Franco & Antonio Asciuto, 2025. "Agricultural Land Markets: A Systematic Literature Review on the Factors Affecting Land Prices," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-25, May.
    22. Wineman, Ayala & Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis Saweda, 2017. "Land markets and the distribution of land in northwestern Tanzania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 550-563.
    23. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne & Emma Isinika Modamba & Holger Kray, 2021. "Characteristics and Spillover Effects of Medium-Scale Farms in Tanzania," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(6), pages 1877-1898, December.

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