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Land Prices Heading Skyward? An Analysis of Farmland Values across Tanzania

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  • Ayala Wineman
  • Thomas S Jayne

Abstract

Land markets are developing rapidly in Africa, though there remains a dearth of analysis regarding the direction and correlates of land prices and their implications for public policy in the region. This paper examines trends in land values and the factors influencing these trends in Tanzania. Real land prices rose significantly between 2009 and 2013 by 5.67% per year. A hedonic analysis of land values suggests that improved incentives for farming, urbanization and rising population density, and improved tenure security are possible drivers of rising land prices. We conclude by considering the potential policy implications arising from this work.

Suggested Citation

  • Ayala Wineman & Thomas S Jayne, 2018. "Land Prices Heading Skyward? An Analysis of Farmland Values across Tanzania," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 187-214.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:apecpp:v:40:y:2018:i:2:p:187-214.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ritter, Matthias & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin & Seifert, Stefan, 2020. "Revisiting the relationship between land price and parcel size in agriculture," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Martina Agosta & Emanuele Schimmenti & Caterina Patrizia Di Franco & Antonio Asciuto, 2025. "Agricultural Land Markets: A Systematic Literature Review on the Factors Affecting Land Prices," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-25, May.
    3. Junpyo Park, 2022. "Distance to Biorefinery Plants and Its Influence on Agricultural Land Value: Evidence from the United States Midwest Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, September.
    4. Yiming Yang & Xiuli Wang & Jian Wang & Yiwei Geng & Weiqiang Chen & Qun Wu & Xiaoke Guan, 2022. "Evaluation and Improvement of Cultivated Land Leisure Service Function Based on Multisource Spatial Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne, 2021. "Factor Market Activity and the Inverse Farm Size-Productivity Relationship in Tanzania," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(3), pages 443-464, March.
    6. Tione, Sarah E. & Holden, Stein T., 2020. "Urban proximity, demand for land and land shadow prices in Malawi," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    7. William F. Vásquez & Laura Beaudin, 2020. "On the use of hypothetical price data to estimate hedonic models in a developing country context," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 219-231, December.
    8. RASHID, Furaha Ndakije, . "Is Increasing Input Use For Rice Production A Profitable Proposition In Tanzania?," Review of Agricultural and Applied Economics (RAAE), Faculty of Economics and Management, Slovak Agricultural University in Nitra, vol. 23(2).
    9. Abay, Kibrom A. & Chamberlin, Jordan & Berhane, Guush, 2021. "Are land rental markets responding to rising population pressures and land scarcity in sub-Saharan Africa?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    10. Leiva, Benjamin & Van Houtven, George & Vásquez, William F. & Nájera, Andrea, 2023. "Valuing water service reliability and in-home water storage: A hedonic price model from Guatemala," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Zhongcheng Yan & Feng Wei & Xin Deng & Chuan Li & Yanbin Qi, 2021. "Does Land Expropriation Experience Increase Farmers’ Farmland Value Expectations? Empirical Evidence from the People’s Republic of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Lin, Wensheng & Huang, Jikun, 2021. "Impacts of agricultural incentive policies on land rental prices: New evidence from China," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. Sen Chakraborty, Kritika & Chakraborty, Avinandan & Berrens, Robert P., 2023. "Valuing soil erosion control investments in Nigerian agricultural lands: A hedonic pricing model," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    14. Song, Malin & Xie, Qianjiao & Chen, Jiandong, 2022. "Effects of government competition on land prices under opening up conditions: A case study of the Huaihe River ecological economic belt," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    15. Mengfei Gao & Rui Pan & Yueqing Ji, 2025. "How Does Migrant Workers’ Return Affect Land Transfer Prices? An Investigation Based on Factor Supply–Demand Theory," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-27, July.
    16. Wei Wang & Xin Luo & Chongmei Zhang & Jiahao Song & Dingde Xu, 2021. "Can Land Transfer Alleviate the Poverty of the Elderly? Evidence from Rural China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-15, October.
    17. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne & Emma Isinika Modamba & Holger Kray, 2020. "The changing face of agriculture in Tanzania: Indicators of transformation," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 38(6), pages 685-709, November.
    18. Tione, Sarah E. & Holden , Stein T., 2019. "Urban proximity, demand for land and land prices in Malawi," CLTS Working Papers 1/19, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Centre for Land Tenure Studies, revised 16 Oct 2019.
    19. Xindong Wei & Ning Wang & Pingping Luo & Jie Yang & Jian Zhang & Kangli Lin, 2021. "Spatiotemporal Assessment of Land Marketization and Its Driving Forces for Sustainable Urban–Rural Development in Shaanxi Province in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-20, July.
    20. Tomáš Seeman & Karel Šrédl & Marie Prášilová & Roman Svoboda, 2020. "The Price of Farmland as a Factor in the Sustainable Development of Czech Agriculture (A Case Study)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-17, July.
    21. Wineman, Ayala & Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis Saweda, 2017. "Land markets and the distribution of land in northwestern Tanzania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 550-563.
    22. Ayala Wineman & Thomas S. Jayne & Emma Isinika Modamba & Holger Kray, 2021. "Characteristics and Spillover Effects of Medium-Scale Farms in Tanzania," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(6), pages 1877-1898, December.

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