IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/iaae15/211882.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Urbanization, Agricultural Water Use, and Regional and National Crop Production in China

Author

Listed:
  • Yah, Tingting
  • Wang, Jinxia
  • Huang, Jikun

Abstract

The overall goal of this paper is to analyze the impacts of the urbanization on regional and national agricultural production through its impact on water use in agriculture in China. Given the historical trend of water use in agriculture and its correlation with urbanization, the change in agricultural water use due to urbanization is estimated. Then the impacts of this change on regional crop production are simulated based on the China Water Simulation Model (CWSM). Within CWSM, a positive mathematical programming (PMP) optimizes water allocation among crops and between irrigated and rainfed areas within a crop in each of ten river basins in China. The results show that water use in China has an obvious increasing trend, particularly in the industrial and domestic sectors, while the share of water use in agricultural sector has been dropping. A 1-percentage-point increase in urbanization can result in a 0.47 percentage-point decline in share of water use. Based on the model simulation, this will lead to the further decrease of irrigated areas and the increase of rainfed areas at both the national and river basin levels, particularly for water intensive crops (such as rice and wheat). Accordingly, average yields and total production will also decrease. A river basin with large production of either rice or wheat (or both) decreases more in irrigated area as urban area expands. Adaptation measures are recommended for both authorities and farmers to ensure food security, such as providing incentive for farmers to adopt water saving technology, implementing appropriate institutional and policy innovations (e.g, water use association, water pricing and water use rights).

Suggested Citation

  • Yah, Tingting & Wang, Jinxia & Huang, Jikun, 2015. "Urbanization, Agricultural Water Use, and Regional and National Crop Production in China," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211882, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:211882
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211882
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/211882/files/Yan-Urbanization_%20Agricultural%20Water%20Use_%20and%20Regional%20and%20National%20Crop%20Production-97.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.211882?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. World Bank & the People’s Republic of China Development Research Center of the State Council, 2014. "Urban China : Toward Efficient, Inclusive, and Sustainable Urbanization," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 18865, December.
    2. Yang, Z.F. & Jiang, M.M. & Chen, B. & Zhou, J.B. & Chen, G.Q. & Li, S.C., 2010. "Solar emergy evaluation for Chinese economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 875-886, February.
    3. Zhang, Zhuoying & Yang, Hong & Shi, Minjun, 2011. "Analyses of water footprint of Beijing in an interregional input–output framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(12), pages 2494-2502.
    4. Ottmar Röhm & Stephan Dabbert, 2003. "Integrating Agri-Environmental Programs into Regional Production Models: An Extension of Positive Mathematical Programming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(1), pages 254-265.
    5. Richard E. Howitt, 1995. "Positive Mathematical Programming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(2), pages 329-342.
    6. Boelee, Eline, 2011. "Ecosystems for water and food security. [Background paper]," IWMI Books, Reports H044268, International Water Management Institute.
    7. John Friedmann, 2006. "Four Theses in the Study of China’s Urbanization," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 440-451, June.
    8. Huang, Qiuqiong & Rozelle, Scott & Wang, Jinxia & Huang, Jikun, 2009. "Water management institutional reform: A representative look at northern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 215-225, February.
    9. Blanke, Amelia & Rozelle, Scott & Lohmar, Bryan & Wang, Jinxia & Huang, Jikun, 2007. "Water saving technology and saving water in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 139-150, January.
    10. Nina Graveline & Pierre Mérel, 2014. "Intensive and extensive margin adjustments to water scarcity in France's Cereal Belt," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 41(5), pages 707-743.
    11. Huang, Qiuqiong & Rozelle, Scott & Howitt, Richard & Wang, Jinxia & Huang, Jikun, 2010. "Irrigation water demand and implications for water pricing policy in rural China," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 293-319, June.
    12. He, Lixia & Horbulyk, Theodore M. & Ali, Md. Kamar & Le Roy, Danny G. & Klein, K.K., 2012. "Proportional water sharing vs. seniority-based allocation in the Bow River basin of Southern Alberta," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 21-31.
    13. Cortignani, Raffaele & Severini, Simone, 2009. "Modeling farm-level adoption of deficit irrigation using Positive Mathematical Programming," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(12), pages 1785-1791, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chihhao Fan & Chun-Yueh Lin & Ming-Che Hu, 2019. "Empirical Framework for a Relative Sustainability Evaluation of Urbanization on the Water–Energy–Food Nexus Using Simultaneous Equation Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Kaifang Shi & Yun Chen & Bailang Yu & Tingbao Xu & Linyi Li & Chang Huang & Rui Liu & Zuoqi Chen & Jianping Wu, 2016. "Urban Expansion and Agricultural Land Loss in China: A Multiscale Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Gou, Qiqi & Zhu, Yonghua & Horton, Robert & Lü, Haishen & Wang, Zhenlong & Su, Jianbin & Cui, Chenyun & Zhang, Haoqiang & Wang, Xiaoyi & Zheng, Jingyao & Yuan, Fei, 2020. "Effect of climate change on the contribution of groundwater to the root zone of winter wheat in the Huaibei Plain of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    4. Jincai Zhao & Yiyao Wang & Xiufeng Zhang & Qianxi Liu, 2022. "Industrial and Agricultural Water Use Efficiency and Influencing Factors in the Process of Urbanization in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Maneepitak, Sumana & Ullah, Hayat & Paothong, Kritkamol & Kachenchart, Boonlue & Datta, Avishek & Shrestha, Rajendra P., 2019. "Effect of water and rice straw management practices on yield and water productivity of irrigated lowland rice in the Central Plain of Thailand," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 89-97.
    6. Zhigong Peng & Baozhong Zhang & Xueliang Cai & Lei Wang, 2016. "Effects of Water Management Strategies on Water Balance in a Water Scarce Region: A Case Study in Beijing by a Holistic Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-14, August.
    7. Chen, Mengting & Luo, Yufeng & Shen, Yingying & Han, Zhenzhong & Cui, Yuanlai, 2020. "Driving force analysis of irrigation water consumption using principal component regression analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    8. Andi Syah Putra & Guangji Tong & Didit Okta Pribadi, 2020. "Food Security Challenges in Rapidly Urbanizing Developing Countries: Insight from Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-20, November.
    9. Shaohui Gao & Yiming He, 2017. "The Effect of Urbanization and Economic Performance on Metropolitan Water Consumption: Theoretic Model and Evidence from Guangzhou of China," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 163-171, March.
    10. He, Guohua & Geng, Chenfan & Zhai, Jiaqi & Zhao, Yong & Wang, Qingming & Jiang, Shan & Zhu, Yongnan & Wang, Lizhen, 2021. "Impact of food consumption patterns change on agricultural water requirements: An urban-rural comparison in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    11. Huang, Wenhuan & Wang, Hailong, 2021. "Drought and intensified agriculture enhanced vegetation growth in the central Pearl River Basin of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Feike, Til & Henseler, Martin, 2017. "Multiple Policy Instruments for Sustainable Water Management in Crop Production - A Modeling Study for the Chinese Aksu-Tarim Region," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 42-54.
    2. Ali, Md Kamar & Klein, K.K., 2014. "Implications of current and alternative water allocation policies in the Bow River Sub Basin of Southern Alberta," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 1-11.
    3. Lee, Hwarang & Eom, Jiyong & Cho, Cheolhung & Koo, Yoonmo, 2019. "A bottom-up model of industrial energy system with positive mathematical programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 679-690.
    4. Wang, Shuping & Tan, Qian & Zhang, Tianyuan & Zhang, Tong, 2022. "Water management policy analysis: Insight from a calibration-based inexact programming method," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    5. Donati, Michele & Bodini, Diego & Arfini, Filippo & Zezza, Annalisa, 2013. "An integrated PMP model to assess the development of agro-energy crops and the effect on water requirements," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 2(3), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Mohammad Ali Asaadi & Seyed Abolghasem Mortazavi & Omid Zamani & Gholam Hassan Najafi & Talal Yusaf & Seyed Salar Hoseini, 2019. "The Impacts of Water Pricing and Non-Pricing Policies on Sustainable Water Resources Management: A Case of Ghorveh Plain at Kurdistan Province, Iran," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-16, July.
    7. Ali, Md Kamar & Klein, Kurt K., 2013. "Implications of Current and Alternative Water Allocation Policies in the Bow River Sub Basin of Southern Alberta," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149734, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Md Kamar Ali, 2016. "Improving Allocative Efficiency of Scarce Water in Southern Alberta," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 1-22, June.
    9. Sapino, Francesco & Pérez-Blanco, C. Dionisio & Gutiérrez-Martín, Carlos & García-Prats, Alberto & Pulido-Velazquez, Manuel, 2022. "Influence of crop-water production functions on the expected performance of water pricing policies in irrigated agriculture," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    10. He, Lixia & Horbulyk, Theodore M. & Ali, Md. Kamar & Le Roy, Danny G. & Klein, K.K., 2012. "Proportional water sharing vs. seniority-based allocation in the Bow River basin of Southern Alberta," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 21-31.
    11. Franz Sinabell & Martin Schönhart & Erwin Schmid, 2015. "Austrian Agriculture 2010-2050. Quantitative Effects of Climate Change Mitigation Measures – An Analysis of the Scenarios WEM, WAM and a Sensitivity Analysis of the Scenario WEM," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58400, April.
    12. Christian Franco-Crespo & Jose Maria Sumpsi Viñas, 2017. "The Impact of Pricing Policies on Irrigation Water for Agro-Food Farms in Ecuador," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-18, August.
    13. Key, Nigel D. & Kaplan, Jonathan D., 2007. "Multiple Environmental Externalities and Manure Management Policy," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(1), pages 1-20, April.
    14. Kamel Louhichi & Aymeric Ricome & Sergio Gomez y Paloma, 2022. "Impacts of agricultural taxation in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Insights from agricultural produce cess in Tanzania," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(5), pages 671-686, September.
    15. Carpentier, Alain & Letort, Elodie, 2009. "Modeling acreage decisions within the multinomial Logit framework," Working Papers 211011, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    16. Viaggi, Davide & Raggi, Meri & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2011. "Farm-household investment behaviour and the CAP decoupling: Methodological issues in assessing policy impacts," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 127-145, January.
    17. Jon Duan & G. Cornelis van Kooten & A. T. M. Hasibul Islam, 2023. "Calibration of Grid Models for Analyzing Energy Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, January.
    18. Schader, Christian & Lampkin, Nicolas & Christie, Mike & Stolze, Matthias, 2011. "How cost-effective are direct payments to organic farms for achieving environmental policy targets?," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115991, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Liu, Xuan & van Kooten, Gerrit Cornelis & Duan, Jun, 2020. "Calibration of agricultural risk programming models using positive mathematical programming," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), July.
    20. Ehrmann, Markus, 2010. "Assessing Ecological And Economic Impacts Of Policy Scenarios On Farm Level," 50th Annual Conference, Braunschweig, Germany, September 29-October 1, 2010 93949, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Community/Rural/Urban Development;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:211882. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iaaeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.