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Publications

by alumni of

Abteilung Geld und Währung
Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main, Germany

(Department of Money and Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Goethe University Frankfurt)

These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.


| Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters | Software components |

Working papers

2019

  1. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  2. Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Kiel Working Papers 2122, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  4. Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Jena Economic Research Papers 2019-006, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
  5. Ademmer, Martin & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession?," IfW-Box 2019.10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  6. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2019 - Deutsche Wirtschaft im Abwärtssog," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 59, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  7. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "German Economy Autumn 2019 - Germany at the brink of recession," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 59, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  8. Lewis, Vivien & Villa, Stefania & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Labor productivity, effort and the euro area business cycle," Discussion Papers 44/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.

2018

  1. Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "Schwacher Jahresauftakt 2018: Delle oder Beginn eines Abschwungs?," IfW-Box 2018.10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  2. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "German Economy Summer 2018 - German economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2018 - Deutsche Wirtschaft: Luftloch im konjunkturellen Höhenflug," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2017

  1. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F. & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "The impact of growth on unemployment in a low vs. a high inflation environment," Economics Working Papers 2017-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo Group Munich.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Normaler Abschwung oder schwere Rezession? Ein neues Modell für die Prognose der Konjunkturphasen in Deutschland," IfW-Box 2017.14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  4. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  5. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft nähert sich der Hochkonjunktur," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2016

  1. Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," Kiel Working Papers 2031, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  2. Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Zu Produktionspotenzial und Produktionslücke in den Vereinigten Staaten," IfW-Box 2016.2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  4. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2016 - Getrübte Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2015

  1. Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Dynamic General Equilibrium," Dynare Working Papers 43, CEPREMAP.
  2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Langhammer, Rolf J. & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenbur, 2015. "Zwischen GREMAIN und GREXIT: Euroraum in der Bewährungskrise," Kiel Policy Brief 90, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Monetary policy during financial crises: Is the transmission mechanism impaired?," Economics Working Papers 2015-04, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  4. Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Makroökonometrische Simulationen zur US-Zinspolitik," IfW-Box 2015.13, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  5. Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Quantitative Lockerung: Transmission, Auswirkung und Risiken," IfW-Box 2015.8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  6. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Deutschland: Expansion trotzt weltwirtschaftlicher Unruhe," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  7. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Reitz, Stefan & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Sommer 2015 - Erholung der Weltkonjunktur vorübergehend gebremst," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  8. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  9. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  10. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Schwäche in den Schwellenländern bremst Weltkonjunktur," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  11. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Pirschel, Inske & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2015 - Deutschland auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  12. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Reitz, Stefan & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "World Economy Summer 2015 - Faltering recovery of the world economy," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

2014

  1. Andreas Exenberger & Andreas Pondorfer & Maik H. Wolters, 2014. "Estimating the impact of climate change on agricultural production: accounting for technology heterogeneity across countries," Working Papers 2014-16, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
  2. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Is there a threat of self-reinforcing deflation in the Euro area? A view through the lens of the Phillips curve," IMFS Working Paper Series 81, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & Scheide, Joachim & Groll, Dominik & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2014," Kiel Discussion Papers 543/544, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  4. Wolters, Maik & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2014. "The short- and long-run effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium," Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100445, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  5. Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100587, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  6. Kiesel, Konstantin & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Estimating monetary policy rules when the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is approached," Kiel Working Papers 1898, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  7. Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Wie wahrscheinlich ist eine "Deflationsspirale" im Euroraum? Eine Analyse anhand einer Phillips-Kurve," IfW-Box 2014.8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  8. Peter Tillmann & Maik Wolters, 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  9. Konstantin Kiesel & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Estimating monetary policy rules when the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is approached," Kiel Working Papers 1898, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  10. Inske Pirschel & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Forecasting German Key Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Dataset Methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  11. Andreas Exenberger & Andreas Pondorfer & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Estimating the impact of climate change on agricultural production: accounting for technology heterogeneity across countries," Kiel Working Papers 1920, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

2013

  1. Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Möglichkeiten und Grenzen von makroökonomischen Modellen zur (exante) Evaluierung wirtschaftspolitischer Maßnahmen," Working Papers 05/2013, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
  2. John Cogan & John Taylor & Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy: An Update for the Budget Reform Proposal of March 2013," Discussion Papers 12-033, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.

2012

  1. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Peter Tillmann & Maik H. Wolters, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201206, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  3. Cwik, Tobias & Mueller, Gernot & Schmidt, Sebastian & Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H, 2012. "A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 8814, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. John Taylor & John Cogan & Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy," Discussion Papers 11-015, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
  5. Verona, Fabio & Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Dynare Working Papers 11, CEPREMAP, revised Apr 2013.
  6. Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Do large recessions reduce output permanently?," Economics Working Papers 2012-16, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  7. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  8. Mehdi Hosseinkouchack & Maik Wolters, 2012. "Do large recessions reduce output permanently?," Kiel Working Papers 1815, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

2010

  1. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H, 2010. "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7870, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2010. "Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions," MPRA Paper 23857, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot & Wolters, Maik H, 2010. "Does Trade Integration Alter Monetary Policy Transmission?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8026, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

Journal articles

2019

  1. Kai Carstensen & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2019. "Rezessionsrisiko der deutschen Wirtschaft deutlich erhöht," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(05), pages 28-31, March.
  2. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 13, pages 1-34.
  3. Nils Jannsen & Galina Potjagailo & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 81-126, October.

2018

  1. Mewael Tesfaelassie & Maik Wolters, 2018. "The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 34-50, April.
  2. Nils Jannsen & Maik Wolters, 2018. "Schwächephase oder beginnender Abschwung?
    [Temporary Lull or Start of a Downturn?]
    ," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;German National Library of Economics, vol. 98(7), pages 531-532, July.
  3. Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 680-689, August.
  4. Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.

2017

  1. Salomon Fiedler & Isabel Hanisch & Dr. Nils Jannsen Hanisch & Prof. Dr. Maik Wolters, 2017. "Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: An Assessment Based on a Literature Survey," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 50(4), pages 455-488.

2016

  1. Fiedler Salomon & Jannsen Nils & Reitz Stefan & Wolters Maik, 2016. "Is Globalization Reducing the Ability of Central Banks to Control Inflation? A Literature Review with an Application to the Euro Area," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 67(3), pages 231-253, December.

2015

  1. Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
  2. Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 161-182, April.
  3. Klaus-Jürgen Gern & Nils Jannsen & Stefan Kooths & Maik Wolters, 2015. "Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Transmission Channels and Risks," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;German National Library of Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 50(4), pages 206-212, July.

2014

  1. Fabio Verona & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(3), pages 357-370, March.

2013

  1. Cogan, John F. & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Fiscal consolidation strategy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 404-421.
  2. Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Do large recessions reduce output permanently?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 516-519.

2012

  1. Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Estimating monetary policy reaction functions using quantile regressions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 342-361.
  2. Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Schmidt, Sebastian & Wolters, Maik, 2012. "A new comparative approach to macroeconomic modeling and policy analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 523-541.

2011

  1. Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 545-564, April.
  2. Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.

Chapters

2013

  1. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 239-325, Elsevier.

Software components

2017

  1. Mewael Tesfaelassie & Maik Wolters, 2017. "Code and data files for "The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment"," Computer Codes 15-70, Review of Economic Dynamics.

IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.