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Publications

by alumni of

Abteilung Geld und Währung
Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft
Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main
Frankfurt am Main, Germany

(Department of Money and Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Goethe University Frankfurt)

These are publications listed in RePEc written by alumni of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service and listed in the RePEc Genealogy. List of alumni. For a list of publications by current members of the department, see here. Register yourself.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles | Chapters | Software components |

Working papers

2023

  1. Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "The Federal Reserve's output gap: The unreliability of real-time realiability tests," IMFS Working Paper Series 179, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

2021

  1. Magnus Reif & Mewael F. Tesfaselassie & Maik H. Wolters, 2021. "Technological Growth and Hours in the Long Run: Theory and Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 9140, CESifo.

2020

  1. Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H, 2020. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Bank of England working papers 867, Bank of England.
  2. Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2019

  1. Lewis, Vivien & Villa, Stefania & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Labor productivity, effort and the euro area business cycle," Discussion Papers 44/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  2. Ademmer, Martin & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession?," Kiel Insight 2019.10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  4. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "German Economy Autumn 2019 - Germany at the brink of recession," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 59, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2019 - Deutsche Wirtschaft im Abwärtssog [German Economy Autumn 2019 - Germany at the brink of recession]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 59, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2018

  1. Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "Schwacher Jahresauftakt 2018: Delle oder Beginn eines Abschwungs?," Kiel Insight 2018.10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "German Economy Summer 2018 - German economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2018. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2018 - Deutsche Wirtschaft: Luftloch im konjunkturellen Höhenflug [German Economy Summer 2018 - German economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2017

  1. Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
  2. Maik Wolters, 2017. "How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-008, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
  3. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F. & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "The impact of growth on unemployment in a low vs. a high inflation environment," Economics Working Papers 2017-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  4. Carstensen, Kai & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Normaler Abschwung oder schwere Rezession? Ein neues Modell für die Prognose der Konjunkturphasen in Deutschland," Kiel Insight 2017.14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  6. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft nähert sich der Hochkonjunktur [German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2016

  1. Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Zu Produktionspotenzial und Produktionslücke in den Vereinigten Staaten," Kiel Insight 2016.2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  2. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2016 - Getrübte Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur [World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2015

  1. Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Dynamic General Equilibrium," Dynare Working Papers 43, CEPREMAP.
  2. Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Monetary policy during financial crises: Is the transmission mechanism impaired?," Economics Working Papers 2015-04, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  3. Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Makroökonometrische Simulationen zur US-Zinspolitik," Kiel Insight 2015.13, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  4. Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Quantitative Lockerung: Transmission, Auswirkung und Risiken," Kiel Insight 2015.8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  6. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Reitz, Stefan & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "World Economy Summer 2015 - Faltering recovery of the world economy," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  7. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth," Kiel Institute Economic Outlook 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  8. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Deutschland: Expansion trotzt weltwirtschaftlicher Unruhe [Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Pirschel, Inske & Plödt, Martin & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2015 - Deutschland auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur [German Economy Spring 2015 - German economy on the road to overheating]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  10. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Reitz, Stefan & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Sommer 2015 - Erholung der Weltkonjunktur vorübergehend gebremst [World Economy Summer 2015 - Faltering recovery of the world economy]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  11. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Schwäche in den Schwellenländern bremst Weltkonjunktur [Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  12. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Langhammer, Rolf J. & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenbur, 2015. "Zwischen GREMAIN und GREXIT: Euroraum in der Bewährungskrise," Kiel Policy Brief 90, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

2014

  1. Andreas Exenberger & Andreas Pondorfer & Maik H. Wolters, 2014. "Estimating the impact of climate change on agricultural production: accounting for technology heterogeneity across countries," Working Papers 2014-16, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
  2. Exenberger, Andreas & Pondorfer, Andreas & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Estimating the impact of climate change on agricultural production: Accounting for technology heterogeneity across countries," Kiel Working Papers 1920, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  3. Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  4. Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium," Kiel Working Papers 1963, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Wie wahrscheinlich ist eine "Deflationsspirale" im Euroraum? Eine Analyse anhand einer Phillips-Kurve," Kiel Insight 2014.8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  6. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Plödt, Martin & Scheide, Joachim & Groll, Dominik & Schwarzmüller, Tim & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2014," Kiel Discussion Papers 543/544, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  7. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Is there a threat of self-reinforcing deflation in the euro area? A view through the lens of the Phillips curve," Kiel Policy Brief 79, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  8. Kiesel, Konstantin & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Estimating monetary policy rules when the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is approached," Kiel Working Papers 1898, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  9. Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  10. Wolters, Maik & Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2014. "The short- and long-run effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100445, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2013

  1. John F. Cogan & John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy: An Update For The Budget Reform Proposal of March 2013," Economics Working Papers 13104, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
  2. Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Möglichkeiten und Grenzen von makroökonomischen Modellen zur (exante) Evaluierung wirtschaftspolitischer Maßnahmen," Working Papers 05/2013, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

2012

  1. Verona, Fabio & Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Dynare Working Papers 11, CEPREMAP, revised Apr 2013.
  2. Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Wolters, Maik & Müller, Gernot & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2012. "A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 8814, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Taylor, John & Wieland, Volker & Cogan, John F. & Wolters, Maik, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation Strategy," CEPR Discussion Papers 9041, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Do large recessions reduce output permanently?," Kiel Working Papers 1815, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  5. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

2010

  1. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010. "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7870, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2010. "Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions," MPRA Paper 23857, University Library of Munich, Germany.

2008

  1. Cwik, Tobias J. & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolters, Maik H., 2008. "Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/29, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

Journal articles

2023

  1. Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  2. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2023. "The Federal Reserve's output gap: The unreliability of real‐time reliability tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1101-1111, November.

2022

  1. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.

2021

  1. Magnus Reif & Mewael F. Tesfaselassie & Maik H. Wolters, 2021. "Technological Growth and Hours in the Long Run: Theory and Evidence," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(352), pages 1016-1053, October.

2020

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.

2019

  1. Kai Carstensen & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2019. "Risk of recession for the German economy significantly higher," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(05), pages 28-31, March.
  2. Nils Jannsen & Galina Potjagailo & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 81-126, October.
  3. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-34.

2018

  1. Mewael Tesfaelassie & Maik Wolters, 2018. "The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 34-50, April.
  2. Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.
  3. Nils Jannsen & Maik Wolters, 2018. "Schwächephase oder beginnender Abschwung? [Temporary Lull or Start of a Downturn?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 98(7), pages 531-532, July.
  4. Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 680-689, August.

2016

  1. Fiedler Salomon & Jannsen Nils & Reitz Stefan & Wolters Maik, 2016. "Is Globalization Reducing the Ability of Central Banks to Control Inflation? A Literature Review with an Application to the Euro Area," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 67(3), pages 231-253, December.

2015

  1. Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 161-182, April.
  2. Klaus-Jürgen Gern & Nils Jannsen & Stefan Kooths & Maik Wolters, 2015. "Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Transmission Channels and Risks," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 50(4), pages 206-212, July.
  3. Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.

2014

  1. Fabio Verona & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(3), pages 357-370, March.

2013

  1. Cogan, John F. & Taylor, John B. & Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Fiscal consolidation strategy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 404-421.
  2. Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Do large recessions reduce output permanently?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 516-519.

2012

  1. Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Schmidt, Sebastian & Wolters, Maik, 2012. "A new comparative approach to macroeconomic modeling and policy analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 523-541.
  2. Wolters, Maik H., 2012. "Estimating monetary policy reaction functions using quantile regressions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 342-361.

2011

  1. Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 545-564, April.
  2. Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.

Chapters

2013

  1. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 239-325, Elsevier.

Software components

2017

  1. Mewael Tesfaelassie & Maik Wolters, 2017. "Code and data files for "The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment"," Computer Codes 15-70, Review of Economic Dynamics.

IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.