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The probability of return conditional on migration duration: evidence from Kosovo

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  • Kotorri Mrika

    (Assistant Professor of Economics, Head of the Department of Economics, University of Prishtina, Faculty of Economy, Assistant Professor of Economics at Rochester, Institute of Technology Kosovo)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to conceptualise the migration duration decision within the expected utility maximisation framework, and from that to derive and estimate an empirical proposition. For this purpose, the conceptual framework in Kotorri (2015) is extended where households decide to return to the home country conditional on their migration duration. In the empirical analysis, the Cox proportional hazards model is employed. This analysis is the first to investigate migration duration based on a random sample stemming from the Kosovo census of population conducted in 2011. The findings suggest rather mixed support for the household approach. The hazard to return decreases with income but not nonlinearly. The results indicate that household return migration behaviour is influenced by demographic characteristics, psychic income, and political factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Kotorri Mrika, 2017. "The probability of return conditional on migration duration: evidence from Kosovo," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 12(2), pages 35-46, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:12:y:2017:i:2:p:35-46:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/jeb-2017-0016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Return; Migration; Duration; Survival Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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