IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/iecepo/v22y2025i3d10.1007_s10368-025-00669-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Structural reforms and global value chains: a dynamic analysis of OECD countries based on local projections

Author

Listed:
  • Dinh Trung Nguyen

    (VNU University of Economics and Business, Vietnam National University)

Abstract

This paper explores the dynamic effects of structural reforms on global value chain (GVC) positions at both national and sectoral levels. Employing local projections and augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) methods on a sample of 25 OECD countries from 1990 to 2015, it shows that both product and labor market reforms could improve GVC integration but with different patterns. While product market reforms generate long-lasting improvements, labor market reforms produce only short-term effects. A deeper analysis of GVC components finds that product market reforms significantly and sustainably increase upstreamness, with modest but positive effects on downstreamness. In contrast, labor market reforms reduce both upstreamness and downstreamness, though these impacts are largely temporary. Finally, sectoral analysis highlights heterogeneous impacts, with product market reforms strengthening upstreamness across most industries but having limited effects on downstreamness. These results offer important policy insights on the importance of coordinated reforms to provide a conducive environment for sustained GVC integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Dinh Trung Nguyen, 2025. "Structural reforms and global value chains: a dynamic analysis of OECD countries based on local projections," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1-31, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:22:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10368-025-00669-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-025-00669-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10368-025-00669-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10368-025-00669-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:18:y:2003:i:36:p:9-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Gnocchi, Stefano & Lagerborg, Andresa & Pappa, Evi, 2015. "Do labor market institutions matter for business cycles?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 299-317.
    3. Romain Duval & Davide Furceri, 2018. "The Effects of Labor and Product Market Reforms: The Role of Macroeconomic Conditions and Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(1), pages 31-69, March.
    4. Pol Antras & Davin Chor & Thibault Fally & Russell Hillberry, 2012. "Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade Flows," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 412-416, May.
    5. Malin Gardberg, 2022. "Financial reforms and low‐income households' impact on international consumption risk sharing," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 375-395, December.
    6. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 126(590), pages 219-255, February.
    7. Mr. John C Bluedorn & Mr. Shekhar Aiyar & Mr. Romain A Duval & Davide Furceri & Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia & Yi Ji & Mr. Davide Malacrino & Mr. Haonan Qu & Jesse Siminitz & Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2019. "Strengthening the Euro Area: The Role of National Structural Reforms in Building Resilience," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2019/005, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Jakob de Haan & Rasmus Wiese, 2022. "The impact of product and labour market reform on growth: Evidence for OECD countries based on local projections," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 746-770, June.
    9. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
    10. Giuseppe Nicoletti & Stefano Scarpetta, 2003. "Regulation, productivity and growth: OECD evidence [‘A model of growth through creative destruction’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 18(36), pages 9-72.
    11. Thomas, Carlos & Zanetti, Francesco, 2009. "Labor market reform and price stability: An application to the Euro Area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 885-899, September.
    12. Coen N. Teulings & Nikolay Zubanov, 2014. "Is Economic Recovery A Myth? Robust Estimation Of Impulse Responses," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 497-514, April.
    13. José G. Caraballo & Xiao Jiang, 2016. "Value-Added Erosion in Global Value Chains: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 288-296, January.
    14. Bown, Chad P. & Erbahar, Aksel & Zanardi, Maurizio, 2021. "Global value chains and the removal of trade protection," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    15. Rasmus Wiese & João Tovar Jalles & Jakob de Haan, 2024. "Structural reforms and income distribution: new evidence for OECD countries," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 76(4), pages 1071-1088.
    16. Rachel Griffith & Rupert Harrison & Helen Simpson, 2010. "Product Market Reform and Innovation in the EU," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 112(2), pages 389-415, June.
    17. Zanetti, Francesco, 2011. "Labor market institutions and aggregate fluctuations in a search and matching model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(5), pages 644-658, June.
    18. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    19. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:18:y:2003:i:36:p:9-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Qianqian Hong & Jie Su, 2024. "The impact of rural e‐commerce platforms on the transformation of industrial structure: Evidence from China," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 1267-1291, August.
    21. Philippe Aghion & Nick Bloom & Richard Blundell & Rachel Griffith & Peter Howitt, 2005. "Competition and Innovation: an Inverted-U Relationship," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 120(2), pages 701-728.
    22. Oliver Hülsewig & Horst Rottmann, 2022. "Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 544-568, June.
    23. Biswajit Banerjee & Juraj Zeman, 2022. "Determinants of global value chain participation: cross-country analysis," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 59-95, June.
    24. Gaëtan Nicodème & Jacques-Bernard Sauner-Leroy, 2007. "Product Market Reforms and Productivity: A Review of the Theoretical and Empirical Literature on the Transmission Channels," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 53-72, March.
    25. Li, Dake & Plagborg-Møller, Mikkel & Wolf, Christian K., 2024. "Local projections vs. VARs: Lessons from thousands of DGPs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
    26. Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
    27. Xin Liu & Zhen Xu & Qingxia Zhang & Liang Zhou, 2024. "Multistage Supply Chain Channel Principal-Agent Model in the Context of e-Commerce With Fairness Preference," Evaluation Review, , vol. 48(6), pages 1115-1145, December.
    28. Chiara Criscuolo & Jonathan Timmis, 2017. "The Relationship Between Global Value Chains and Productivity," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 32, pages 61-83, Spring.
    29. Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei & Xinding Yu & Kunfu Zhu, 2017. "Characterizing Global Value Chains: Production Length and Upstreamness," NBER Working Papers 23261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. M Mancini & P Montalbano & S Nenci & D Vurchio, 2024. "Positioning in Global Value Chains: World Map and Indicators, a New Dataset Available for GVC Analyses," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 38(4), pages 669-690.
    31. Karishma Banga, 2022. "Impact of global value chains on total factor productivity: The case of Indian manufacturing," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 704-735, May.
    32. Marc J. Melitz, 2003. "The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1695-1725, November.
    33. Nickell, Stephen J, 1996. "Competition and Corporate Performance," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(4), pages 724-746, August.
    34. Renato Faccini, 2014. "Reassessing Labour Market Reforms: Temporary Contracts as a Screening Device," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 124(575), pages 167-200, March.
    35. Abdoulganiour Almame Tinta, 2017. "The determinants of participation in global value chains: The case of ECOWAS," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1389252-138, January.
    36. Banga, Karishma, 2016. "Impact of Global Value Chains on Employment in India," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 31(3), pages 631-673.
    37. Ms. Faezeh Raei & Anna Ignatenko & Borislava Mircheva, 2019. "Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate?," IMF Working Papers 2019/018, International Monetary Fund.
    38. John C Bluedorn & Shekhar Aiyar & Romain A Duval & Davide Furceri & Daniel Garcia-Macia & Yi Ji & Davide Malacrino & Haonan Qu & Jesse Siminitz & Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2019. "Strengthening the Euro Area; The Role of National Structural Reforms in Building Resilience," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 19/05, International Monetary Fund.
    39. Glynn, Adam N. & Quinn, Kevin M., 2010. "An Introduction to the Augmented Inverse Propensity Weighted Estimator," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 36-56, January.
    40. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2017. "New Evidence on the Aftermath of Financial Crises in Advanced Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(10), pages 3072-3118, October.
    41. José Luis Montiel Olea & Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller, 2021. "Local Projection Inference Is Simpler and More Robust Than You Think," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1789-1823, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rasmus Wiese & Jakob de Haan & João Tovar Jalles, 2023. "The impact of endogenous product and labour market reforms on unemployment: New evidence based on local projections," Working Papers REM 2023/0296, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Wiese, Rasmus & Jalles, João Tovar & de Haan, Jakob, 2025. "The impact of increasing labour market rigidity on employment growth in OECD countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 2265-2275.
    3. Cacciatore, Matteo & Duval, Romain & Furceri, Davide & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2021. "Fiscal multipliers and job-protection regulation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. MARSCHINSKI Robert & DE AMORES HERNANDEZ Antonio & AMOROSO Sara & BAUER Peter & CARDANI Roberta & CSEFALVAY Zoltan & GENTY Aurelien & GKOTSIS Petros & GREGORI Wildmer & GRASSANO Nicola & HERNANDEZ GUE, 2021. "EU competitiveness: recent trends, drivers, and links to economic policy: A Synthesis Report," JRC Research Reports JRC123232, Joint Research Centre.
    5. Anderton, Robert & Di Lupidio, Benedetta & Jarmulska, Barbara, 2020. "The impact of product market regulation on productivity through firm churning: Evidence from European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 487-501.
    6. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2024. "Local Projections," NBER Working Papers 32822, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Jakob de Haan & Rasmus Wiese, 2022. "The impact of product and labour market reform on growth: Evidence for OECD countries based on local projections," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 746-770, June.
    8. Kwamivi Mawuli GOMADO, 2025. "Labor productivity growth effects of structural reforms: evidence from developing countries," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 151-182, April.
    9. Bouis, Romain & Duval, Romain & Eugster, Johannes, 2020. "How fast does product market reform pay off? New evidence from non-manufacturing industry deregulation in advanced economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 198-217.
    10. Moritz Böhmecke-Schwafert & Knut Blind, 2023. "The trade effects of product market regulation in global value chains: evidence from OECD and BRICS countries between 2000 and 2015," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 441-479, May.
    11. Atsushi Inoue & `Oscar Jord`a & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2023. "Inference for Local Projections," Papers 2306.03073, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    12. Boto-García, David & Albert, Juan Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2024. "Carbon price shocks and tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    13. Jacho, Domenica & Cruz, Zoe & Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul, 2024. "Effect of terms of trade on the Latin American Labor market," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    14. Pedro Bento, 2020. "Competition, Innovation, and the Number of Firms," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 275-298, July.
    15. Renaud Bourlès & Gilbert Cette & Jimmy Lopez & Jacques Mairesse & Giuseppe Nicoletti, 2013. "Do Product Market Regulations In Upstream Sectors Curb Productivity Growth? Panel Data Evidence For OECD Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1750-1768, December.
    16. Aurelien Quignon, 2022. "Market Regulation and Innovation: Direct and Indirect Effects," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 429-456, December.
    17. Antonio Fatas & Bram Gootjes & Joseph Mawejje, 2025. "Dynamic Effects of Fiscal Rules : Do Initial Conditions Matter ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11066, The World Bank.
    18. Salamaliki, Paraskevi K., 2024. "Globalization and fiscal policy after financial crises," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Benatti, Nicola & Groiss, Martin & Kelly, Petra & Lopez-Garcia, Paloma, 2024. "Environmental regulation and productivity growth in the euro area: Testing the porter hypothesis," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    20. Bechchani, Khalil, 2025. "Austerity reexamined: Uncovering the role of the shadow economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 1291-1317.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:22:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10368-025-00669-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.