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Remittances, Dutch Disease, And Competitiveness: A Bayesian Analysis

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  • FARID MAKHLOUF

    (Universite de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

  • MAZHAR MUGHAL

    (Universite de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

Abstract

The paper studies symptoms of Dutch disease in the Pakistani economy arising from international remittances. An IV Bayesian analysis is carried out to take care of the endogeneity and uncertainty due to the managed float of Pakistani Rupee. We find evidence for both spending and resource movement effects in both the short and the long-run. These impacts are stronger and different from those the Official Development Assistance and the FDI exert. We find that while aggregate remittances and the remittances from Persian Gulf contribute to the Dutch disease in Pakistan, those from North America and Europe do not.

Suggested Citation

  • Farid Makhlouf & Mazhar Mughal, 2013. "Remittances, Dutch Disease, And Competitiveness: A Bayesian Analysis," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 38(2), pages 67-97, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:38:y:2013:i:2:p:67-97
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    7. Farid Makhlouf, 2013. "Remittances and Dutch Disease: A Meta-Analysis," Working papers of CATT hal-01885152, HAL.
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    11. T. V. Ojapinwa & N. I. Nwokoma, 2018. "Workers’ Remittances and the Dutch‐Disease Argument: Investigating the Relationship in Sub‐Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(3), pages 316-324, September.
    12. Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Tiezhu & Ahmad, Shabbir & Mirza, Nawazish, 2021. "Does institutional quality and remittances inflow crowd-in private investment to avoid Dutch Disease? A case for emerging seven (E7) economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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    16. Junaid Ahmed, 2012. "Cyclical Properties of Migrant's Remittances to Pakistan: What the data tell us," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 3266-3278.
    17. Nuno Baetas da Silva & João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2016. "Alternative Sources of Dutch Disease: A Survey of the Literature," GEMF Working Papers 2016-10, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Remittance; Real Exchange Rate; Dutch Disease; Competitiveness; Bayesian Analysis; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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