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Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in the Presence of Remittances

  • Michael Gapen

    ()

    (Capital Markets Department International Monetary Fund)

  • Thomas Cosimano

    (University of Notre Dame)

  • Ralph Chami

    (IMF Institute)

Remittance flows are quickly surpassing private capital flows and official aid in magnitude and rate of growth, making them the single most important form of income flows into developing and emerging economies. This paper uses a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model to investigate the influence of countercyclical remittances on the conduct of fiscal and monetary policy and trace their effects on real and nominal variables in a business cycle setting. We show that remittances raise disposable income and consumption and insure against income shocks, thereby raising household welfare. However, remittances increase the correlation between labor and output, thereby producing a more volatile business cycle and increasing output and labor market risk. Optimal monetary policy in the presence of remittances deviates from the Friedman rule, highlighting the need for independent government policy instruments.

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 with number 34.

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Date of creation: 04 Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecfa:34
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