IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i11p8934-d1161805.html

AI-Driven Productivity Gains: Artificial Intelligence and Firm Productivity

Author

Listed:
  • Xueyuan Gao

    (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Hua Feng

    (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

Abstract

Artificial intelligence is profoundly influencing various facets of our lives, indicating its potential to significantly impact sustainability. Nevertheless, capturing the productivity gains stemming from artificial intelligence in macro-level data poses challenges, leading to the question of whether artificial intelligence is reminiscent of the “Solow paradox”. This study employs micro-level manufacturing data to investigate the impact of artificial intelligence on firms’ productivity. The study finds that every 1% increase in artificial intelligence penetration can lead to a 14.2% increase in total factor productivity. This conclusion remains robust even after conducting endogeneity analysis and a series of robustness tests. The study identifies that the positive impact of artificial intelligence on productivity is primarily achieved through the value-added enhancement effect, skill-biased enhancement effect, and technology upgrading effect. Furthermore, the study reveals that the effects of artificial intelligence on productivity vary across different property rights and industry concentration contexts. Additionally, the structure of factor endowments within firms can also influence the productivity gains from artificial intelligence. Our study presents compelling evidence demonstrating the role of artificial intelligence in fostering economic sustainability within the framework of Industry 4.0.

Suggested Citation

  • Xueyuan Gao & Hua Feng, 2023. "AI-Driven Productivity Gains: Artificial Intelligence and Firm Productivity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-21, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:11:p:8934-:d:1161805
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/11/8934/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/11/8934/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen, 2007. "Measuring and Explaining Management Practices Across Firms and Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(4), pages 1351-1408.
    2. Georg Graetz & Guy Michaels, 2018. "Robots at Work," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 753-768, December.
    3. Chad Syverson, 2011. "What Determines Productivity?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 326-365, June.
    4. Pekka Ilmakunnas & Mika Maliranta & Jari Vainiomäki, 2004. "The Roles of Employer and Employee Characteristics for Plant Productivity," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 249-276, May.
    5. David H. Autor & Frank Levy & Richard J. Murnane, 2003. "The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(4), pages 1279-1333.
    6. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2018. "Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 197-236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Matt Taddy, 2018. "The Technological Elements of Artificial Intelligence," NBER Working Papers 24301, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. David H. Autor, 2015. "Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 29(3), pages 3-30, Summer.
    9. Ajay Agrawal & Joshua Gans & Avi Goldfarb, 2019. "Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence," Innovation Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 19(1), pages 139-159.
    10. Goeldner, Moritz & Herstatt, Cornelius & Tietze, Frank, 2015. "The emergence of care robotics — A patent and publication analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 115-131.
    11. Ajay Agrawal & Joshua Gans & Avi Goldfarb, 2018. "Prediction, Judgment, and Complexity: A Theory of Decision-Making and Artificial Intelligence," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 89-110, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Zhuo, Chengfeng & Chen, Jin, 2023. "Can digital transformation overcome the enterprise innovation dilemma: Effect, mechanism and effective boundary," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    13. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2018. "Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series dp-298, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    14. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2020. "Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(6), pages 2188-2244.
    15. Acemoglu, Daron & Autor, David, 2011. "Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings," Handbook of Labor Economics, in: O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), Handbook of Labor Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 12, pages 1043-1171, Elsevier.
    16. Olley, G Steven & Pakes, Ariel, 1996. "The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(6), pages 1263-1297, November.
    17. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2018. "The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(6), pages 1488-1542, June.
    18. Rammer, Christian & Fernández, Gastón P. & Czarnitzki, Dirk, 2022. "Artificial intelligence and industrial innovation: Evidence from German firm-level data," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(7).
    19. Bianchini, Stefano & Müller, Moritz & Pelletier, Pierre, 2022. "Artificial intelligence in science: An emerging general method of invention," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(10).
    20. Guilherme Luz Tortorella & Diego Fettermann, 2018. "Implementation of Industry 4.0 and lean production in Brazilian manufacturing companies," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(8), pages 2975-2987, April.
    21. Stefano Bianchini & Moritz Müller & Pierre Pelletier, 2022. "Artificial intelligence in science: An emerging general method of invention," Post-Print hal-03958025, HAL.
    22. Chong-En Bai & Jiangyong Lu & Zhigang Tao, 2006. "The Multitask Theory of State Enterprise Reform: Empirical Evidence from China," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(2), pages 353-357, May.
    23. Fujii, Hidemichi & Managi, Shunsuke, 2018. "Trends and priority shifts in artificial intelligence technology invention: A global patent analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 60-69.
    24. Charles R. Hulten, 2001. "Total Factor Productivity: A Short Biography," NBER Chapters, in: New Developments in Productivity Analysis, pages 1-54, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Di Vaio, Assunta & Palladino, Rosa & Hassan, Rohail & Escobar, Octavio, 2020. "Artificial intelligence and business models in the sustainable development goals perspective: A systematic literature review," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 283-314.
    26. Ann Bartel & Casey Ichniowski & Kathryn Shaw, 2007. "How Does Information Technology Affect Productivity? Plant-Level Comparisons of Product Innovation, Process Improvement, and Worker Skills," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(4), pages 1721-1758.
    27. James Levinsohn & Amil Petrin, 2003. "Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 70(2), pages 317-341.
    28. Iain M. Cockburn & Rebecca Henderson & Scott Stern, 2018. "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Innovation," NBER Working Papers 24449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    29. William D. Nordhaus, 2021. "Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 299-332, January.
    30. Mariani, Marcello M. & Machado, Isa & Nambisan, Satish, 2023. "Types of innovation and artificial intelligence: A systematic quantitative literature review and research agenda," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PB).
    31. Sungchul Choi & Alex Ng, 2011. "Environmental and Economic Dimensions of Sustainability and Price Effects on Consumer Responses," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 104(2), pages 269-282, December.
    32. David H. Autor & Frank Levy & Richard J. Murnane, 2003. "The skill content of recent technological change: an empirical exploration," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.
    33. Ajay Agrawal & Joshua Gans & Avi Goldfarb, 2018. "Introduction to "The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda"," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 1-19, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tian, Yingying & Zhu, Delong & Nazar, Raima & Ali, Sajid & Mirza, Aboubakar, 2026. "From algorithms to access: Role of artificial intelligence in revolutionizing financial inclusion," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Sajid Ali & Raima Nazar & Muhammad Khalid Anser, 2026. "From Chalk to Code: Asymmetric Nexus Between Artificial Intelligence and Educational Expenditures," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(2), pages 5570-5599, April.
    3. Jacques Bughin, 2024. "The Role of Firm AI Capabilities in Generative AI-pair Coding," Working Papers TIMES² 2024-076, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2025. "Artificial intelligence and labor markets: evidence from google trends," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(4), pages 1078-1093, December.
    5. Chatterjee, Sidharta, 2025. "Productivity and Productive Capital: Metaphysical Perspectives," MPRA Paper 125316, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Chatterjee, Sidharta & Samanta, Mousumi, 2025. "Noetic Capital and the Economics of Productivity," MPRA Paper 125071, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Xu, Ruifeng & Song, Frank M., 2025. "Is AI a key driving force for Chinese total factor productivity growth? Mechanistic analysis of employment, supply chain, and information asymmetry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    8. Song, Malin & Pan, Heting & Shen, Zhiyang & Tamayo-Verleene, Kristine, 2024. "Assessing the influence of artificial intelligence on the energy efficiency for sustainable ecological products value," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    9. Shoujie, Hou, 2025. "AI-driven Transformation of new-quality productive forces: Theoretical framework and financial empowerment pathways," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PF).
    10. Heng Luo & Ying Sun & Jia Li & Fakarudin Kamarudin & Arum Setyowati, 2025. "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Load Capacity Factor in the G20," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(4), pages 21582440251, October.
    11. Brodzicki, Tomasz, 2024. "Heterogeneous Firms and AI Adoption. Dynamic Insights into Market Structure and Global Trade," MPRA Paper 127767, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Apr 2025.
    12. Ghita Sebban & Karim Charaf, 2025. "Towards a new paradigm of management control: from assistant AI to autonomous AI supervised by humans - Literature review and bibliometric analysis [Vers un nouveau paradigme du contrôle de gestion: de l'IA assistante à l'IA autonome supervisée pa," Post-Print hal-05380742, HAL.
    13. Maha Kalai & Hamdi Becha & Kamel Helali, 2024. "Effect of artificial intelligence on economic growth in European countries: a symmetric and asymmetric cointegration based on linear and non-linear ARDL approach," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 13(1), pages 1-37, December.
    14. Nan Feng & Mingyue Yan & Mingtao Yan, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of New-Quality Productivity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-20, December.
    15. Ren, Yuheng & Zhang, Jue & Wang, Xin, 2024. "How does data factor utilization stimulate corporate total factor productivity: A discussion of the productivity paradox," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
    16. Zhiwu Zhang, 2026. "The transformation from human surplus value to AI algorithmic surplus value: logic of the critique of capital in the era of AI," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Martina Šopić & Mladen Vukomanović & Diana Car-Pušić, 2024. "Machine Cost-Effectiveness in Earthworks: Early Warning System and Status of the Previous Work Period," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-19, August.
    18. Zambrano-Monserrate, Manuel A., 2025. "Mapping the impact of artificial intelligence on energy poverty: New evidence from spatial panel models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    19. Montag, Christian & Riazi, A. Mehdi & Mikros, George & Becker, Benjamin & Ali, Raian, 2025. "On the relevance of Maslow's need theory in the age of artificial intelligence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Montobbio, Fabio & Staccioli, Jacopo & Virgillito, Maria Enrica & Vivarelli, Marco, 2022. "Robots and the origin of their labour-saving impact," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Zhou, Yuwen & Shi, Xin, 2025. "How does digital technology adoption affect corporate employment? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Czarnitzki, Dirk & Fernández, Gastón P. & Rammer, Christian, 2023. "Artificial intelligence and firm-level productivity," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 188-205.
    4. Cao, Yuanyuan & Chen, Shaojian & Tang, Heyan, 2025. "Robot adoption and firm export: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    5. Gregory, Terry & Salomons, Anna & Zierahn, Ulrich, 2016. "Racing With or Against the Machine? Evidence from Europe," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145843, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Nobuaki HAMAGUCHI & Keisuke KONDO, 2018. "Regional Employment and Artificial Intelligence in Japan," Discussion papers 18032, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Hémous, David & Dechezleprêtre, Antoine & Olsen, Morten & Zanella, carlo, 2019. "Automating Labor: Evidence from Firm-level Patent Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 14249, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Ajay Agrawal & Joshua Gans & Avi Goldfarb, 2019. "Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence," Innovation Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 19(1), pages 139-159.
    9. Matthias Firgo & Peter Mayerhofer & Michael Peneder & Philipp Piribauer & Peter Reschenhofer, 2018. "Beschäftigungseffekte der Digitalisierung in den Bundesländern sowie in Stadt und Land," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61633.
    10. Barbieri, Laura & Mussida, Chiara & Piva, Mariacristina & Vivarelli, Marco, 2019. "Testing the employment and skill impact of new technologies: A survey and some methodological issues," MERIT Working Papers 2019-032, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    11. Wu, Yifan & Yuan, Yiming & Song, Xueyin, 2025. "The impact of AI adoption on R&D productivity: Evidence from Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    12. Huajie Jiang & Qiguo Gong, 2022. "Does Skill Polarization Affect Wage Polarization? U.S. Evidence 2009–2021," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-17, October.
    13. Ben Vermeulen & Jan Kesselhut & Andreas Pyka & Pier Paolo Saviotti, 2018. "The Impact of Automation on Employment: Just the Usual Structural Change?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-27, May.
    14. Alonso, Cristian & Berg, Andrew & Kothari, Siddharth & Papageorgiou, Chris & Rehman, Sidra, 2022. "Will the AI revolution cause a great divergence?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 18-37.
    15. Ke-Liang Wang & Ting-Ting Sun & Ru-Yu Xu, 2023. "The impact of artificial intelligence on total factor productivity: empirical evidence from China’s manufacturing enterprises," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1113-1146, April.
    16. Ryosuke Shimizu & Shohei Momoda, 2020. "Does Automation Technology increase Wage?," KIER Working Papers 1039, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    17. de Souza, Gustavo, 2022. "The Labor Market Consequences of Appropriate Technology," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 2208, CEPREMAP.
    18. Anderton, Robert & Jarvis, Valerie & Labhard, Vincent & Morgan, Julian & Petroulakis, Filippos & Vivian, Lara, 2020. "Virtually everywhere? Digitalisation and the euro area and EU economies," Occasional Paper Series 244, European Central Bank.
    19. Heyman, Fredrik & Norbäck, Pehr-Johan & Persson, Lars, 2021. "Automation, Work and Productivity: The Role of Firm Heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 1382, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 09 Mar 2023.
    20. Heyman, Fredrik & Olsson, Martin, 2022. "Long-Run Effects of Technological Change: The Impact of Automation and on Intergenerational Mobility," Working Paper Series 1451, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 12 Dec 2025.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:11:p:8934-:d:1161805. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.