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Banking Crises and Short and Medium Term Output Losses in Emerging and Developing Countries: The Role of Structural and Policy Variables

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  • Furceri, Davide
  • Zdzienicka, Aleksandra

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to assess the dynamic impact of banking crises on output for a panel of developing economies. Using an unbalanced panel of 159 countries from 1970 to 2006, the paper shows that banking crises produce significant output losses. Output losses are larger for relatively richer economies, characterized by a higher level of financial deepening and larger current account imbalances. Flexible exchange rates, fiscal and monetary policy, and liquidity support policies have been found to attenuate the effect of the crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Furceri, Davide & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2012. "Banking Crises and Short and Medium Term Output Losses in Emerging and Developing Countries: The Role of Structural and Policy Variables," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(12), pages 2369-2378.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:40:y:2012:i:12:p:2369-2378
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.03.021
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ambrosius, Christian, 2017. "What explains the speed of recovery from banking crises?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 257-287.
    3. Mikhail Stolbov, 2015. "Anatomy of international banking crises at the onset of the Great Recession," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 553-569, October.
    4. Mehin Aslani Nia, Nassim & Salmani, Behzad & Fallahi, Firouz & Asgharpour, Hossein, 2020. "The effect of currency crisis on GDP dynamics: PGLS approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(1), pages 185-210, May.
    5. Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E. & Furceri, Davide & Guillaume, Dominique, 2013. "Banking crises, labor reforms, and unemployment," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1202-1219.
    6. Albi Tola & Sébastien Waelti, 2018. "Financial Crises, Output Losses, And The Role Of Structural Reforms," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 761-798, April.
    7. Stefan Eichler, 2017. "How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk–Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 451-474, August.
    8. Andrea Calef, 2020. "Systemic Banking Crises: The Relationship Between Concentration and Interbank Connections," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2019-06, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    9. Ambrosius, Christian, 2016. "What Explains the Speed of Recovery from Banking Crises?," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145606, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Levieuge, Grégory & Lucotte, Yannick & Pradines-Jobet, Florian, 2021. "The cost of banking crises: Does the policy framework matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    11. Uch, Raksmey & Miyamoto, Hiroaki & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2021. "Effects of a banking crisis on credit growth in developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    12. Clément Mathonnat & Alexandru Minea & Marcel Voia, 2022. "Does more finance lead to longer crises?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 111-135, January.
    13. Teimouri, Sheida & Dutta, Nabamita, 2016. "Investment and bank credit recovery after banking crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 306-327.
    14. Davide Furceri & Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2015. "The Euro Area Crisis: Need for a Supranational Fiscal Risk Sharing Mechanism?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 683-710, September.
    15. da Rocha, Bruno T. & Solomou, Solomos, 2015. "The effects of systemic banking crises in the inter-war period," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 35-49.
    16. Amalia Morales-Zumaquero & Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero, 2015. "Growth dynamics, financial crises and exchange rate regimes," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(10), pages 767-771, July.
    17. Fernanda Gonçalves & Giuliano Ferreira & Alex Ferreira & Pedro Scatimburgo, 2022. "Currency returns and systematic risk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(6), pages 609-647, December.
    18. Colombo, Emilio & Menna, Lorenzo & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2019. "Informality and the labor market effects of financial crises," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 1-22.
    19. Teimouri, Sheida & Zietz, Joachim, 2017. "Economic costs of alternative monetary policy responses to speculative currency attacks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 419-434.
    20. Mathonnat, Clément & Williams, Benjamin, 2020. "Does more finance mean more inequality in times of crisis?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    21. Sheida Teimouri & Taggert J Brooks, 2015. "Output Recovery After Currency Crises," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 57(1), pages 75-102, March.
    22. Can Sever, 2022. "Financial crises and institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1510-1525, January.
    23. Chen, Rui & Hartarska, Valentina, 2018. "Are All Banking Crises the Same: Evidence from MFIs," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274227, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. Eichler, Stefan, 2015. "How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk-Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112877, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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