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The effect of the financial crisis on default by Spanish households

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  • Aller, Carlos
  • Grant, Charles

Abstract

We analyse the default behaviour of Spanish households immediately before and after the recent financial crisis. Using several waves of the Survey of Household Finances (a tri-annual survey of financial position of Spanish households), we show that younger, poorer and less well educated households are most likely to default. A key contribution is to explain the change in arrears since the onset of the crisis. Using information on credit applications and acceptances we decompose the change in arrears among all households into a contribution from four parts: (i) changes in characteristics; (ii) changes in applications; (iii) changes in acceptances; (iv) changes in arrears among borrowers. We show the last is the most important contribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Aller, Carlos & Grant, Charles, 2018. "The effect of the financial crisis on default by Spanish households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 39-52.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:36:y:2018:i:c:p:39-52
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2018.02.006
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    Cited by:

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    2. Luca Barbaglia & Sebastiano Manzan & Elisa Tosetti, 2023. "Forecasting Loan Default in Europe with Machine Learning," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 569-596.
    3. Blázquez, Maite & Budría, Santiago & Moro-Egido, Ana I., 2020. "Over-indebtedness and age: The effects on individual health," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. O’Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2021. "Repayment capacity, debt service ratios and mortgage default: An exploration in crisis and non-crisis periods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. repec:thr:techub:10023:y:2021:i:1:p:626-635 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Tomasz Korol & Anestis K. Fotiadis, 2022. "Implementing artificial intelligence in forecasting the risk of personal bankruptcies in Poland and Taiwan," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 407-438, June.
    7. R. Heru Kristanto HC, 2021. "The Impact of Bank Behavior, Financial Literacy on Investment Decisions, Mediation of Financial Inclusion and Debt Behavior. Study on Working Capital and Investment Debtors at Regional Development Ban," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 23(1), pages 626-635, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spanish financial crisis; Household-debt; Arrears;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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