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Price discovery in fiat currency and cryptocurrency markets

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  • Huang, Guan-Ying
  • Gau, Yin-Feng
  • Wu, Zhen-Xing

Abstract

We study the dynamic relations between the direct exchange rate of fiat currencies and the rate implied by bitcoin prices. The empirical results show the deviation between actual and implied rates of EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and JPY/USD affects the movements of actual and BTC-implied rates. We observe that implied rates contribute more to price discovery than actual rates before 2019 for EUR/USD and before 2018 for JPY/USD. Triangular arbitrage opportunities arise when VIX is high. The arbitrage opportunities are also related to the market capitalization of bitcoin and the trading of bitcoin futures on CBOE and CME.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Guan-Ying & Gau, Yin-Feng & Wu, Zhen-Xing, 2022. "Price discovery in fiat currency and cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:47:y:2022:i:pa:s1544612321005535
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102615
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Mustafa Kevser & Fatih Ayhan, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of global factors on return of cryptocurrencies by novel nonlinear quantile approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1515-1535, June.
    2. Jinxin Cui & Aktham Maghyereh, 2022. "Time–frequency co-movement and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies: new evidence from the higher-order moments before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-56, December.
    3. Ahmed BenSaïda, 2023. "The linkage between Bitcoin and foreign exchanges in developed and emerging markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.

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