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Entrance quotas and admission to medical schools: a sequential probit model

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  • Cannings, Kathy
  • Montmarquette, Claude
  • Mahseredjian, Sophie

Abstract

In this paper, we use a data set on admissions and enrolments for entry into the medical school of the Universite de Montreal to test the hypothesis that the admission process is meritocratic and free from discrimination and arbitrary decisions. The paper analyses the difficulty of choosing among different categories of applicants in the context of entrance quotas pertaining to the level of higher education (college, university) from which one applies to medical school. We use a sequential probit model to show that the performance variables, as measured or observed by the admissions committee through a variety of tests, only partially explain the committee's decisions. The school did not admit all the best in terms of performance, and among the best admitted, almost one out of three did not enrol. We explore some socioeconomic determinants of admissions and enrolments, and suggest an alternative approach to the admissions procedure. Dans ce texte, nous utilisons les données sur les admissions ;a la Faculté de médecine de l'Université de Montréal pour tester l'hypothèse que les procédures d'admission sont basées sur le mérite et exemptes de décisions discriminatoires ou arbitraires. Cette étude analyse les difficultés à choisir parmi différentes catégories de candidats dans le contexte où des quotas à l'entrée, selon la catégorie d'étudiants (collégial, universitaire et autres), s'appliquent à la Faculté de médecine. Nous utilisons un modèle probit séquentiel pour montrer que les variables de performance académique individuelle, telles qu'observées et mesurées par le Comité d'admission via une batterie de tests, expliquent partiellement les décisions du Comité. Par ailleurs, il demeure que la Faculté de médecine n'admet pas nécessairement les plus performants. Et parmi les meilleurs admis, un étudiant sur trois décide de ne pas accepter l'offre de l'Université. Nous proposons une approche alternative à la procédure d'admission retenue par l'Université.
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  • Cannings, Kathy & Montmarquette, Claude & Mahseredjian, Sophie, 1996. "Entrance quotas and admission to medical schools: a sequential probit model," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 163-174, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecoedu:v:15:y:1996:i:2:p:163-174
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    1. Patrick Waelbroeck, 2005. "Computational Issues in the Sequential Probit Model: A Monte Carlo Study," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 26(2), pages 141-161, October.
    2. Yves Sprumont, 1998. "On the Game-Theoretic Structure of Public-Good Economies," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 26(4), pages 455-472.
    3. Gaetano Basso & Eleonora Brandimarti & Michele Pellizzari & Giovanni Pica, 2021. "Quality and Selection in Regulated Professions," Development Working Papers 467, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    4. David Neumark & Harry Holzer, 2000. "Assessing Affirmative Action," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 38(3), pages 483-568, September.
    5. Yang, Guangliang, 2014. "Are all admission sub-tests created equal? — Evidence from a National Key University in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 600-617.
    6. Ghysels, Eric & Granger, Clive W J & Siklos, Pierre L, 1996. "Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 374-386, July.

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    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education

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