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Sovereign Spreads and Contagion Risks in Asia

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  • Carlos Caceres
  • D. Filiz Unsal

Abstract

This paper explores how much of the movements in the sovereign spreads of Asian economies over the course of the global financial crisis has reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion; (ii) country-specific risks, directly from worsening fundamentals, and indirectly from spillovers originating in other sovereigns and the uncertainty surrounding exchange rates. Earlier in the crisis, the increase in market-implied contagion led to higher Asian sovereign bond yield spreads over swaps. But, after the crisis, Asia’s sovereign spreads normalized, despite the debt crisis in the euro area, reflecting a fall in both exchange rate and spillover risks.
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  • Carlos Caceres & D. Filiz Unsal, 2013. "Sovereign Spreads and Contagion Risks in Asia," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 219-243, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiaec:v:27:y:2013:i:3:p:219-243
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/asej.12012
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    2. Ma, Rui & Anderson, Hamish D. & Marshall, Ben R., 2019. "Risk perceptions and international stock market liquidity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 94-116.
    3. Heiko Hesse & Ferhan Salman & Christian Schmieder, 2014. "How to Capture Macro-Financial Spillover Effects in Stress Tests?," IMF Working Papers 2014/103, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Zlatuse Komarkova & Jitka Lesanovska & Lubos Komarek, 2013. "Analysis of Sovereign Risk Market Indicators: The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(1), pages 5-24, March.
    5. Biao Guo & Qian Han & Jufang Liang & Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2020. "Sovereign Credit Spread Spillovers in Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(4), pages 1-14, February.
    6. Cantero-Saiz, Maria & Sanfilippo-Azofra, Sergio & Torre-Olmo, Begoña & López-Gutiérrez, Carlos, 2014. "Sovereign risk and the bank lending channel in Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-20.

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