IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v9y2025issue-5p5556-5570.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Trump’s 2025 “Liberation Day†Tariffs on Southeast Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Chris Daniel Wong

    (Chairman Emeritus Malaysia Digital Chamber of Commerce, Malaysia Fellow Chartered Institute of Digital Economy, Malaysia)

  • Victor Tay

    (Fellow Charte)

  • Stephen T. Homer

    (Director, Yunus Social Business Centre, Sunway University, Malaysia Head of Research, Principles of Responsible Management Education ASEAN+ Chapter, Malaysia)

  • Farzana Nazera

    (PhD Programme Leader, Spectrum International University College, Malaysia)

Abstract

This paper investigates President Donald Trump’s 2025 “Liberation Day†tariff policy, a broad set of reciprocal import taxes meant to reestablish American economic sovereignty, and its dramatic influence on Southeast Asian economies. All U.S. imports are subject to a 10% levy, but Trump’s administration has imposed much higher penalties on the worst offenders, including Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam, which may reach 49%, 48%, and 46%, respectively. Such steps might raise production costs, disrupt supply chains, and hurt export-driven sectors. This mixed-methods study combines quantitative trade flow interruption and export volume decline analysis with qualitative case studies from affected nations. The findings show that severe tariffs cause immediate market disruptions, diminished export competitiveness, and probable job losses, as well as longer-term strategic alterations in regional supply chain arrangements. The research warns that U.S. market dependence could cause socioeconomic instability in countries. This article illuminates the intricate relationship between politically motivated policy decisions and their cascading economic effects by placing the 2025 tariff policy in the context of U.S. trade policies and worldwide tariff conflicts. The findings suggest reassessing unilateral tariff measures and proposing policies to mitigate economic harm to weak trading partners.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Daniel Wong & Victor Tay & Stephen T. Homer & Farzana Nazera, 2025. "Impact of Trump’s 2025 “Liberation Day†Tariffs on Southeast Asia," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 9(5), pages 5556-5570, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:9:y:2025:issue-5:p:5556-5570
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-9-issue-5/5556-5570.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/impact-of-trumps-2025-liberation-day-tariffs-on-southeast-asia/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Redding, Stephen & Amiti, Mary & Weinstein, David, 2019. "The impact of the 2018 trade war on U.S. prices and welfare," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102619, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Pablo D Fajgelbaum & Pinelopi K Goldberg & Patrick J Kennedy & Amit K Khandelwal, 2020. "The Return to Protectionism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(1), pages 1-55.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alessandro Barattieri & Matteo Cacciatore, 2023. "Self-Harming Trade Policy? Protectionism and Production Networks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 97-128, April.
    2. Evgeny N. Smirnov & Sergey A. Lukyanov, 2021. "Instability of international trade and approaches to optimal regulation," Upravlenets, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 12(5), pages 21-31, November.
    3. Handley, Kyle & Kamal, Fariha & Monarch, Ryan, 2024. "Supply chain adjustments to tariff shocks: Evidence from firm trade linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. trade war," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    4. Huang, Yi & Lin, Chen & Liu, Sibo & Tang, Heiwai, 2023. "Trade networks and firm value: Evidence from the U.S.-China trade war," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    5. Martin T. Braml & Marina Steininger, 2020. "Giving Away Wealth? Trade Effects of the Yuan Devaluation," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(04), pages 32-35, January.
    6. Marlene Amstad & Leonardo Gambacorta & Chao He & Dora Xia, 2021. "Trade sentiment and the stock market: new evidence based on big data textual analysis of Chinese media," BIS Working Papers 917, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Banu Demir & Beata Javorcik & Tomasz K. Michalski & Evren Ors, 2024. "Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 437-454, March.
    8. Bekkers, Eddy & Schroeter, Sofia, 2020. "An economic analysis of the US-China trade conflict," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2020-04, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    9. Thiemo Fetzer & Carlo Schwarz, 2021. "Tariffs and Politics: Evidence from Trump’s Trade Wars," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(636), pages 1717-1741.
    10. Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin Returns: Is there a Role for the U.S. – China Trade War?," Working Papers 201980, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Marcus Noland, 2020. "Protectionism under Trump: The China Shock, Deplorables, and the First White President," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 15(1), pages 31-50, January.
    12. Holger Breinlich & Elsa Leromain & Dennis Novy & Thomas Sampson, 2019. "Exchange Rates and Consumer Prices: Evidence from Brexit," CESifo Working Paper Series 8001, CESifo.
    13. Blanchard, Emily J. & Bown, Chad P. & Chor, Davin, 2024. "Did Trump’s trade war impact the 2018 election?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    14. Taipeng LI & Lorenzo Trimarchi & Rui XIE & Guohao YANG, 2023. "The Unintended Consequences of Trade Protection on the Environment," Working Papers ECARES 2023-16, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    15. Lorenzo Trimarchi, 2020. "Trade Policy and the China Syndrome," Working Papers ECARES 2020-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    16. Freund,Caroline & Maliszewska,Maryla & Mattoo,Aaditya & Ruta,Michele, 2020. "When Elephants Make Peace : The Impact of the China-U.S. Trade Agreement on Developing Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9173, The World Bank.
    17. Ariel Weinberger & Qian Xuefeng & Mahmut Yaşar, 2021. "Export tax rebates and resource misallocation: Evidence from a large developing country," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(4), pages 1562-1608, November.
    18. Rasa Stasiukynaite, 2019. "Reordering international trade: what will it cost?," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 27, Bank of Lithuania.
    19. Alberto Cavallo & Gita Gopinath & Brent Neiman & Jenny Tang, 2021. "Tariff Pass-Through at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 19-34, March.
    20. Xavier Jaravel & Erick Sager, 2018. "What are the Price Effects of Trade? Evidence from the U.S. and Implications for Quantitative Trade Models," Economic Working Papers 506, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:9:y:2025:issue-5:p:5556-5570. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.