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Stochastic volatility as a simple generator of apparent financial power laws and long memory

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Cited by:

  1. Hillebrand, Eric & Schnabl, Gunther & Ulu, Yasemin, 2009. "Japanese foreign exchange intervention and the yen-to-dollar exchange rate: A simultaneous equations approach using realized volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 490-505, July.
  2. T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & M. M. Dacorogna, 2003. "Using the Scaling Analysis to Characterize Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0302434, arXiv.org.
  3. Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 12(3), pages 319-349.
  4. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters, 2006. "Random walks, liquidity molasses and critical response in financial markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 115-123.
  5. Stanley, H.E. & Gabaix, Xavier & Gopikrishnan, Parameswaran & Plerou, Vasiliki, 2007. "Economic fluctuations and statistical physics: Quantifying extremely rare and less rare events in finance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(1), pages 286-301.
  6. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Matthew Lorig & Ronnie Sircar, 2016. "Second order multiscale stochastic volatility asymptotics: stochastic terminal layer analysis and calibration," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 543-588, July.
  7. Lux, Thomas & Kaizoji, Taisei, 2007. "Forecasting volatility and volume in the Tokyo Stock Market: Long memory, fractality and regime switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1808-1843, June.
  8. Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(1), pages 329-340.
  9. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
  10. Morales, Raffaello & Di Matteo, T. & Gramatica, Ruggero & Aste, Tomaso, 2012. "Dynamical generalized Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(11), pages 3180-3189.
  11. Matthew Lorig, 2010. "Time-Changed Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1010.5203, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2012.
  12. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas, 2013. "Multifractal models in finance: Their origin, properties, and applications," Kiel Working Papers 1860, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  13. Ștefan Ionescu & Ionuț Nica & Nora Chiriță, 2021. "Cybernetics Approach Using Agent-Based Modeling in the Process of Evacuating Educational Institutions in Case of Disasters," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-29, September.
  14. Stanley, H.Eugene, 2003. "Statistical physics and economic fluctuations: do outliers exist?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 279-292.
  15. Subbotin, Alexandre, 2009. "Volatility Models: from Conditional Heteroscedasticity to Cascades at Multiple Horizons," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 15(3), pages 94-138.
  16. Wong, Hoi Ying & Chan, Chun Man, 2007. "Lookback options and dynamic fund protection under multiscale stochastic volatility," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 357-385, May.
  17. V. Alfi & L. Pietronero & A. Zaccaria, 2008. "Minimal Agent Based Model For The Origin And Self-Organization Of Stylized Facts In Financial Markets," Papers 0807.1888, arXiv.org.
  18. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Mancini, Loriano, 2008. "Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 17-33, November.
  19. Shana M. Sundstrom & Craig R. Allen & David G. Angeler, 2020. "Scaling and discontinuities in the global economy," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 319-345, April.
  20. Nils Bertschinger & Oliver Pfante, 2015. "Inferring Volatility in the Heston Model and its Relatives -- an Information Theoretical Approach," Papers 1512.08381, arXiv.org.
  21. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Chuan-Hsiang Han, 2003. "Pricing Asian options with stochastic volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(5), pages 353-362.
  22. Ausloos, Marcel & Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "On the “usual” misunderstandings between econophysics and finance: Some clarifications on modelling approaches and efficient market hypothesis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 7-14.
  23. Matteo, T. Di & Aste, T. & Dacorogna, Michel M., 2005. "Long-term memories of developed and emerging markets: Using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 827-851, April.
  24. Eric Hillebrand, 2003. "Overlaying Time Scales and Persistence Estimation in GARCH(1,1) Models," Econometrics 0301003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  25. Th'eophile Griveau-Billion & Ben Calderhead, 2019. "A Dynamic Bayesian Model for Interpretable Decompositions of Market Behaviour," Papers 1904.08153, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
  26. Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2019. "Information-Theoretic Analysis Of Stochastic Volatility Models," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-21, February.
  27. McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2008. "A multiple regime smooth transition Heterogeneous Autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 104-119, November.
  28. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "Breaking down the barriers between econophysics and financial economics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 256-266.
  29. Inoua, Sabiou M. & Smith, Vernon L., 2023. "A classical model of speculative asset price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
  30. Tobias Eckernkemper & Bastian Gribisch, 2021. "Intraday conditional value at risk: A periodic mixed‐frequency generalized autoregressive score approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 883-910, August.
  31. Zhao, Dongxu & Li, Kai, 2022. "Bounded rationality, adaptive behaviour, and asset prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  32. Hillebrand, Eric, 2005. "Neglecting parameter changes in GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 121-138.
  33. Aganin, Artem, 2017. "Forecast comparison of volatility models on Russian stock market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 48, pages 63-84.
  34. Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Stochastic behavioral asset pricing models and the stylized facts," Kiel Working Papers 1426, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  35. Selçuk, Faruk & Gençay, Ramazan, 2006. "Intraday dynamics of stock market returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 367(C), pages 375-387.
  36. Jaume Masoliver & Josep Perello, 2006. "Multiple time scales and the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(5), pages 423-433.
  37. Steven N. Durlauf, 2012. "Complexity, economics, and public policy," Politics, Philosophy & Economics, , vol. 11(1), pages 45-75, February.
  38. Simone Alfarano & Thomas Lux, 2007. "A Minimal Noise Trader Model with Realistic Time Series Properties," Springer Books, in: Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), Long Memory in Economics, pages 345-361, Springer.
  39. Martin Tegnér & Rolf Poulsen, 2018. "Volatility Is Log-Normal—But Not for the Reason You Think," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, April.
  40. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher, 2003. "Regime-Switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1999, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
  41. Christopher M Wray & Steven R Bishop, 2016. "A Financial Market Model Incorporating Herd Behaviour," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-28, March.
  42. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2014. "Heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing: Empirical evidence from the S&P500," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-16.
  43. Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "Modeling Euro STOXX 50 volatility with common and market-specific components," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 22-42.
  44. Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2016. "Uncertainty Estimates in the Heston Model via Fisher Information," Papers 1610.04760, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
  45. Raffaello Morales & T. Di Matteo & Ruggero Gramatica & Tomaso Aste, 2011. "Dynamical Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series," Papers 1109.0465, arXiv.org.
  46. Matteo Bonato & Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo, 2009. "Forecasting realized (co)variances with a block structure Wishart autoregressive model," Working Papers 2009-03, Swiss National Bank.
  47. Wyart, Matthieu & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2007. "Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, May.
  48. Zaitsev, Sergey & Zaitsev, Alexander & Leonidov, Andrei & Trainin, Vladimir, 2009. "Market mill dependence pattern in the stock market: Multiscale conditional dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(21), pages 4624-4634.
  49. Ioannis P. Antoniades & Giuseppe Brandi & L. G. Magafas & T. Di Matteo, 2020. "The use of scaling properties to detect relevant changes in financial time series: a new visual warning tool," Papers 2010.08890, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  50. Alfarano, Simone & Lux, Thomas, 2007. "A Noise Trader Model As A Generator Of Apparent Financial Power Laws And Long Memory," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(S1), pages 80-101, November.
  51. Maheu John, 2005. "Can GARCH Models Capture Long-Range Dependence?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(4), pages 1-43, December.
  52. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Matthew Lorig & Ronnie Sircar, 2012. "Second Order Multiscale Stochastic Volatility Asymptotics: Stochastic Terminal Layer Analysis & Calibration," Papers 1208.5802, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
  53. Selçuk, Faruk, 2004. "Financial earthquakes, aftershocks and scaling in emerging stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 306-316.
  54. Stanley, H. Eugene & Plerou, Vasiliki & Gabaix, Xavier, 2008. "A statistical physics view of financial fluctuations: Evidence for scaling and universality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3967-3981.
  55. Alfeus, Mesias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  56. Kim, Kyungwon & Jung, Sean S., 2014. "Empirical analysis of structural change in Credit Default Swap volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 56-67.
  57. Antoniades, I.P. & Brandi, Giuseppe & Magafas, L. & Di Matteo, T., 2021. "The use of scaling properties to detect relevant changes in financial time series: A new visual warning tool," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
  58. Pogorelova, Polina & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2020. "Extracting the global stochastic trend from non-synchronous data on the volatility of financial indices," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 53-71.
  59. Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2016. "Volatility Inference and Return Dependencies in Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1610.00312, arXiv.org.
  60. Gao, Xing-Lu & Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Do the global grain spot markets exhibit multifractal nature?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
  61. Zhu, Mei & Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Wang, Duo, 2009. "Does the market maker stabilize the market?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(15), pages 3164-3180.
  62. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.
  63. Martin Magris, 2019. "A Vine-copula extension for the HAR model," Papers 1907.08522, arXiv.org.
  64. Matthieu Wyart & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2003. "Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500020, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
  65. Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetries, breaks, and long-range dependence: An estimation framework for daily realized volatility," Textos para discussão 578, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  66. Xu, Zhaoxia & Gençay, Ramazan, 2003. "Scaling, self-similarity and multifractality in FX markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 323(C), pages 578-590.
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