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Why Has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Francesco Trebbi & Miao Ben Zhang, 2022. "The Cost of Regulatory Compliance in the United States," NBER Working Papers 30691, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Beyer, Deborah B. & Fan, Zaifeng S., 2023. "The calming effects of conflict: The impact of partisan conflict on market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  3. Yoshito Funashima, 2024. "How does economic policy uncertainty respond to permanent and transitory shocks?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 76(1), pages 267-282, January.
  4. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty: Persistence and cross-country linkages," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  5. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Figueres, Juan Manuel, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and unemployment in the United States: A nonlinear approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 31-34.
  6. Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ye, Lei (Sandy) & Islamaj, Ergys, 2017. "Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses," CEPR Discussion Papers 11886, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  7. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa Sameeh & Canepa, Alessandra, 2024. "Modelling Dynamic Relationships Between Energy Prices and Inflation in Euro Area Using Wavelets," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202420, University of Turin.
  8. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
  9. Ran, Gao & Zixiang, Zhu & Jianhao, Lin, 2022. "Consumption–investment comovement and the dynamic impact of monetary policy uncertainty in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  10. Matousek, Roman & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Papachristopoulou, Andromachi, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and the capital shortfall of global financial firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  11. Suh, Hyunduk & Yang, Jin Young, 2021. "Global uncertainty and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Different implications for firm investment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  12. Maquieira, Carlos P. & Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Gahona-Flores, Orlando, 2023. "How does economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impact copper-firms stock returns? International evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  13. Huang, Jin & Jin, Yong & Duan, Yang & She, Yanling, 2023. "Do Chinese firms speculate during high economic policy uncertainty? Evidence from wealth management products," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  14. Yujia, Li & Zixiang, Zhu & Ming, Che, 2024. "Exploring the relationship between China's economic policy uncertainty and business cycles: Exogenous impulse or endogenous responses?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  15. Smales, Lee A., 2020. "Examining the relationship between policy uncertainty and market uncertainty across the G7," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  16. Funke, Manuel & Schularick, Moritz & Trebesch, Christoph, 2016. "Going to extremes: Politics after financial crises, 1870–2014," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 227-260.
  17. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2023. "Dynamic relations between housing Markets, stock Markets, and uncertainty in global Cities: A Time-Frequency approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  18. Luu Duc Huynh, Toan, 2020. "The effect of uncertainty on the precious metals market: New insights from Transfer Entropy and Neural Network VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  19. Fatih Guvenen & Greg Kaplan & Jae Song, 2014. "The Glass Ceiling and the Paper Floor: Gender Differences among Top Earners, 1981–2012," Working Papers 716, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  20. Mueller, Hannes & Garcia-Uribe, Sandra & Sanz, Carlos, 2020. "Economic Uncertainty and Divisive Politics: Evidence from the "dos Españas"," CEPR Discussion Papers 15479, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  21. Steven J. Davis, 2019. "Rising Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26243, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  22. Garima Goel & Saumya Ranjan Dash & Mário Nuno Mata & António Bento Caleiro & João Xavier Rita & José António Filipe, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Return Momentum," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, March.
  23. Apergis, Nicholas & Pinar, Mehmet, 2021. "The role of party polarization in renewable energy consumption: Fresh evidence across the EU countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  24. Adediran, Idris A. & Yinusa, Olalekan D. & Lakhani, Kanwal Hammad, 2021. "Where lies the silver lining when uncertainty hang dark clouds over the global financial markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  25. Christopher Thiem, 2020. "Cross-Category, Trans-Pacific Spillovers of Policy Uncertainty and Financial Market Volatility," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 317-342, April.
  26. Aaron Hedlund, 2019. "Pork-Barrel Politics and Polarization," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 101(1), pages 57-68.
  27. Wang, Yilei & Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan, 2022. "How does economic policy uncertainty respond to the global oil price fluctuations? Evidence from BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  28. Jeffrey Ng & Walid Saffar & Janus Jian Zhang, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and loan loss provisions in the banking industry," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 726-777, June.
  29. Binder Carola Conces, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and household inflation uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, June.
  30. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Kyle J. Kost, 2019. "Policy News and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 25720, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  31. Boitani, Andrea & Dragomirescu-Gaina, Catalin, 2023. "News and narratives: A cointegration analysis of Russian economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
  32. Gu, Xin & Cheng, Xiang & Zhu, Zixiang & Deng, Xiang, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and China’s growth-at-risk," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 452-467.
  33. Muhammad Shahbaz & Arshian Sharif & Fateh Belaid & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Long‐run co‐variability between oil prices and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1308-1326, April.
  34. Allen Bellas & Lea-Rachel Kosnik, 2019. "Which leading journal leads? Idea diffusion in economics research journals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 901-921, September.
  35. Puhr, Harald & Müllner, Jakob, 2024. "Vox populi, vox dei: A concept and measure for grassroots socio-political risk using Google Trends," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(2).
  36. Caliendo, Frank N. & Guo, Nick L. & Smith, Jason M., 2018. "Policy uncertainty and bank bailouts," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 111-125.
  37. Scott R. Baker & Aniket Baksy & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Jonathan Rodden, 2020. "Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 2020-145, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
  38. Peterson Kitakogelu Ozili, 2020. "Financial reporting under economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(2), pages 325-338, December.
  39. Ben Lockwood & James Rockey, 2020. "Negative Voters? Electoral Competition with Loss-Aversion," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 130(632), pages 2619-2648.
  40. John W. Keating & Logan J. Kelly & A. Lee Smith & Victor J. Valcarcel, 2019. "A Model of Monetary Policy Shocks for Financial Crises and Normal Conditions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(1), pages 227-259, February.
  41. Steven J. Davis, 2016. "An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 22740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  42. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Kofi Agyarko Ababio & Jules Mba & Ur Koumba & Makgale Molepo, 2018. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Behavior in South Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 262-278, April.
  43. Russell E. Triplett & Nilufer Ozdemir & Paul M. Mason, 2022. "Structural Change in the Investment Function," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 220-236, January.
  44. Allen Bellas & Lea-Rachel Kosnik, 2019. "Which leading journal leads? Idea diffusion in economics research journals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 901-921, September.
  45. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  46. Baker, Scott R. & Davis, Steven J. & Levy, Jeffrey A., 2022. "State-level economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 81-99.
  47. Caliendo, Frank N. & Gorry, Aspen & Slavov, Sita, 2019. "The cost of uncertainty about the timing of Social Security reform," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 101-125.
  48. Zhang, Dayong & Lei, Lei & Ji, Qiang & Kutan, Ali M., 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty in the US and China and their impact on the global markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 47-56.
  49. Nathan Canen & Chad Kendall & Francesco Trebbi, 2020. "Unbundling Polarization," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(3), pages 1197-1233, May.
  50. Thiem, Christopher, 2018. "Cross-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 744, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  51. Netšunajev, Aleksei & Glass, Katharina, 2017. "Uncertainty and employment dynamics in the euro area and the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 48-62.
  52. Sharad Asthana & Rachana Kalelkar, 0. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on disclosure and pricing of earnings news," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-32.
  53. Junttila, Juha & Vataja, Juuso, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 569-583.
  54. Sharad Asthana & Rachana Kalelkar, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on disclosure and pricing of earnings news," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1481-1512, November.
  55. Gamze Ozturk Danisman & Amine Tarazi, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability," Working Papers hal-03259298, HAL.
  56. Nagar, Venky & Schoenfeld, Jordan & Wellman, Laura, 2019. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on investor information asymmetry and management disclosures," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 36-57.
  57. Danisman, Gamze Ozturk & Demir, Ender & Ozili, Peterson, 2021. "Loan loss provisioning of US banks: Economic policy uncertainty and discretionary behavior," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 923-935.
  58. Giuseppe Di Vita, 2023. "The economic impact of legislative complexity and corruption: A cross‐country analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1801-1825, April.
  59. Xu, Zhaoxia, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty, cost of capital, and corporate innovation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  60. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Gazi Salah Uddin & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness across housing markets, stock market and uncertainty: A Wavelet-Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202204, University of Turin.
  61. Deng, Baijun & Li, Zhongfei & Li, Yong, 2018. "Foreign institutional ownership and liquidity commonality around the world," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 20-49.
  62. Nino Buliskeria & Jaromir Baxa & Tomas Sestorad, 2023. "Uncertain Trends in Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 2023/16, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
  63. Xin Su & Shengshi Zhou & Rui Xue & Jinfang Tian, 2020. "Does economic policy uncertainty raise corporate precautionary cash holdings? Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(5), pages 4567-4592, December.
  64. repec:wrv:wpaper:1002 is not listed on IDEAS
  65. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanumurthy, N.R., 2021. "Are precious metals and equities immune to monetary and fiscal policy uncertainties?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  66. Yuanting Xia & Wenxiu Hu & Zhenxing Su, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Social Financing Scale and Local Fiscal Sustainability: Evidence from Local Governments in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, June.
  67. Nicholas Apergis & Mehmet Pinar, 2023. "Corruption and partisan polarization: evidence from the European Union," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 277-301, January.
  68. Trebbi, Francesco & Canen, Nathan & Kendall, Chad, 2020. "Political Parties as Drivers of U.S. Polarization: 1927-2018," CEPR Discussion Papers 15607, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  69. Clougherty, Joseph A. & Zhang, Nan, 2023. "Antitrust policy and inward FDI: The impact of policy risk and uncertainty on U.S. inward-FDI flows," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(4).
  70. Stilianos Fountas & Panagiota Karatasi & Paraskevi Tzika, 2018. "Economic Policy Uncertainty in Greece: Measuring Uncertainty for the Greek Macroeconomy," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 16(1), pages 80-92.
  71. Chang, Chong-Chuo & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Mon, Khin Thiri, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the firm's working capital requirements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  72. Paul Ormerod & Rickard Nyman & David Tuckett, 2015. "Measuring Financial Sentiment to Predict Financial Instability: A New Approach based on Text Analysis," Papers 1508.05357, arXiv.org.
  73. Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty: are there regional and country correlation?," MPRA Paper 105636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  74. Jieqiong Yang & Panzhu Luo & Yong Tan, 2020. "Contingent Decision of Corporate Environmental Responsibility Based on Uncertain Economic Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-18, October.
  75. Kexian Zhang & Yan Wang & Zimei Huang, 2021. "Do the Green Credit Guidelines Affect Renewable Energy Investment? Empirical Research from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-18, August.
  76. repec:jpe:journl:1481 is not listed on IDEAS
  77. Tanveer Bagh & Abdul Waheed & Muhammad Asif Khan & Mirza Muhammad Naseer, 2023. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China’s Stock Price Index: A Comprehensive Analysis Using Wavelet Coherence Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
  78. Salim Hamza Ringim & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Hasan Güngör & Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Energy Prices: Empirical Evidence from Multivariate DCC-GARCH Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-18, May.
  79. Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in banking: a literature review," MPRA Paper 108017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  80. Cheng, Mengyao, 2022. "Legislative gridlock and stock return dispersion around roll-call votes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  81. Lea Kosnik, 2016. "JEL Codes: What Do They Mean and Are They Used Consistently?," Working Papers 1011, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Department of Economics.
  82. Shuhua Xu & Md. Qamruzzaman & Anass Hamadelneel Adow, 2021. "Is Financial Innovation Bestowed or a Curse for Economic Sustainably: The Mediating Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, February.
  83. Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun & Suhaib Anagreh & Mosab I. Tabash & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2024. "Return and volatility transmission among economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and precious metals," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(5), pages 1057-1084, January.
  84. Lee, Jungho & Xu, Jianhuan, 2019. "Tax uncertainty and business activity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 158-184.
  85. Jawadi, Fredj & Pondie, Thierry M., 2024. "Political uncertainty and macro-financial dynamics in the BRICS," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
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