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House price uncertainty, timing of development, and vacant land prices: Evidence for real options in Seattle
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- d’Amato, Maurizio & Zrobek, Sabina & Renigier Bilozor, Malgorzata & Walacik, Marek & Mercadante, Giuseppe, 2019. "Valuing the effect of the change of zoning on underdeveloped land using fuzzy real option approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 365-374.
- Andrianos Tsekrekos & George Kanoutos, 2013. "Real Options Premia Implied from Recent Transactions in the Greek Real Estate Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 152-168, July.
- Ganhammar, Kajsa, 2021. "The effect of regulatory uncertainty in green certificate markets: Evidence from the Swedish-Norwegian market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Bulan, Laarni & Mayer, Christopher & Somerville, C. Tsuriel, 2009.
"Irreversible investment, real options, and competition: Evidence from real estate development,"
Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 237-251, May.
- Laarni Bulan & Christopher Mayer & C. Tsuriel Somerville, "undated". "Irreversible Investment, Real Options, and Competition: Evidence from Real Estate Development," Zell/Lurie Center Working Papers 391, Wharton School Samuel Zell and Robert Lurie Real Estate Center, University of Pennsylvania.
- Laarni Bulan & Christopher J. Mayer & C. Tsuriel Somerville, 2006. "Irreversible Investment, Real Options, and Competition: Evidence from Real Estate Development," NBER Working Papers 12486, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
- Lu, Chien-Lin & Liao, Wen-Chi & Peng, Chien-Wen, 2020. "Developers’ perspectives on timing to build: Evidence from microdata of land acquisition and development," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- Renigier-Biłozor Małgorzata & d’Amato Maurizio, 2017. "The Valuation of Hope Value for Real Estate Development," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 25(2), pages 91-101, June.
- Elias Oikarinen, 2009. "Dynamic linkages between housing and lot prices: Empirical evidence from Helsinki," Discussion Papers 53, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Johannes Strobel & Binh Nguyen Thanh & Gabriel Lee, 2020.
"Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market,"
Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 345-372, June.
- Gabriel Lee & Binh Nguyen Thanh & Johannes Strobel, 2017. "Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Labor Demand Shocks on the Housing Market," Working Papers 170, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
- Segú, Mariona & Vignolles, Benjamin, 2018. "Taxing Vacant Dwellings: Can fiscal policy reduce vacancy?," MPRA Paper 85508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kim, Seung Gyu & Cho, Seong-Hoon & Classen, Roger, 2012. "Exploring Spatially Heterogeneous Effect of Property Tax Scheme on Land Development," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124709, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Jean Cavailhés & Mohamed Hilal & Pierre Wavresky, 2011. "Option values on periurban land markets," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1629, European Regional Science Association.
- Siodla, James, 2015. "Razing San Francisco: The 1906 disaster as a natural experiment in urban redevelopment," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 48-61.
- W. Bowman Cutter & Sofia F. Franco, 2012. "The uneasy case for lower Parking Standards," Nova SBE Working Paper Series wp564, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Roubaud, David & Uzuner, Gizem & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 114-126.
- Carlos Pestana Barros & Zhongfei Chen & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2012.
"Housing sales in urban Beijing,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(34), pages 4495-4504, December.
- Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Carlos Pestana Barros, 2011. "Housing Sales In Urban Beijing," Post-Print hal-00719480, HAL.
- Carlos Pestana Barros & Zhongfei Chen & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2011. "Housing Sales in Urban Beijing," Faculty Working Papers 10/11, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Robert Grovenstein & James Kau & Henry Munneke, 2011. "Development Value: A Real Options Approach Using Empirical Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 321-335, October.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the Comovement in Buying versus Renting in the United States," Working Papers 201832, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Carozzi, Felipe, 2020. "The role of demand in land re-development," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Vifill KARLSSON, 2010. "The Relationship of House Price and Transportation Improvements: A General Case for Iceland; a Large but Thinly Populated European Country," Regional and Urban Modeling 284100024, EcoMod.
- Fan, Jianshuang & Zhou, Lin & Yu, Xiaofen & Zhang, Yanjiang, 2021. "Impact of land quota and land supply structure on China’s housing prices: Quasi-natural experiment based on land quota policy adjustment," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Cutter, W. Bowman & Franco, Sofia F., 2012.
"Do parking requirements significantly increase the area dedicated to parking? A test of the effect of parking requirements values in Los Angeles County,"
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 901-925.
- Franco, Sofia & Cutter, Bowman & DeWoody, Autumn, 2010. "Do Parking Requirements Significantly Increase The Area Dedicated To Parking? A Test Of The Effect Of Parking Requirements Values In Los Angeles County," MPRA Paper 20403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yusupova, Alisa & Pavlidis, Nicos G. & Pavlidis, Efthymios G., 2023. "Dynamic linear models with adaptive discounting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1925-1944.
- Elias Oikarinen, 2014. "Is Urban Land Price Adjustment More Sluggish than Housing Price Adjustment? Empirical Evidence," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(8), pages 1686-1706, June.
- Linnerud, Kristin & Andersson, Ane Marte & Fleten, Stein-Erik, 2014. "Investment timing under uncertain renewable energy policy: An empirical study of small hydropower projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 154-164.
- Shi, Song & Yang, Zan & Tripe, David & Zhang, Huan, 2015. "Uncertainty and new apartment price setting: A real options approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PB), pages 574-591.
- Alan Sage & Mike Langen & Alex van de Minne, 2023. "Where is the opportunity in opportunity zones?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 338-371, March.
- Yun-chien Chang, 2010. "An Empirical Study of Compensation Paid in Eminent Domain Settlements: New York City, 1990-2002," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(1), pages 201-244, January.
- Groves, Jeremy R., 2009. "The impact of positive property tax differentials on the timing of development," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 739-748, November.
- Douglas H. Wrenn & H. Allen Klaiber & David A. Newburn, 2017.
"Confronting Price Endogeneity in a Duration Model of Residential Subdivision Development,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 661-682, April.
- Wrenn, Douglas H. & Klaiber, H. Allen & Newburn, David A., 2015. "Confronting Price Endogeneity in a Duration Model of Residential Subdivision Development," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205556, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Kyungwon Kim & Jae Wook Song, 2018. "Managing Bubbles in the Korean Real Estate Market: A Real Options Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-25, August.
- Wrenn, Douglas H. & Irwin, Elena G., 2015. "Time is money: An empirical examination of the effects of regulatory delay on residential subdivision development," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 25-36.
- Guillaume POUYANNE (GREThA-GRES), 2008.
"Economics of discontinuous urban development (In French),"
Cahiers du GRES (2002-2009)
2008-06, Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales.
- Guillaume POUYANNE, 2008. "Economics of discontinuous urban development (In French)," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2008-07, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
- Sheng-Hau Lin & Chia-Tsong Chen, 2020. "Pricing Rent for Social Housing Under Uncertainty," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 1-4.
- Xufeng Jiang & Zelu Jia & Lefei Li & Tianhong Zhao, 2022. "Understanding Housing Prices Using Geographic Big Data: A Case Study in Shenzhen," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, April.
- John Clapp & Piet Eichholtz & Thies Lindenthal, 2012. "Real Option Value over a Housing Market Cycle: West Berlin," ERSA conference papers ersa12p264, European Regional Science Association.
- Portillo, Javier E., 2019. "Land-assembly and externalities: How do positive post-development externalities affect land aggregation outcomes?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 104-124.
- Christidou Maria & Fountas Stilianos, 2018.
"Uncertainty in the housing market: evidence from US states,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-17, April.
- Maria Christidou & Stilianos Fountas, 2017. "Uncertainty in the housing market: Evidence from the US states," Discussion Paper Series 2017_08, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Aug 2017.
- Geoffrey Meen, 2016. "Spatial housing economics: A survey," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(10), pages 1987-2003, August.
- Alisa Yusupova & Nicos G. Pavlidis & Efthymios G. Pavlidis, 2019. "Adaptive Dynamic Model Averaging with an Application to House Price Forecasting," Papers 1912.04661, arXiv.org.
- Lu, Yunzhi & Li, Jie & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
- Vifill KARLSSON, 2010. "Modern Industrial Structure and Development of House PriceÂ’s Spatial Disparity: A General Case for Iceland; a Large but Thinly Populated European Country," Regional and Urban Modeling 284100023, EcoMod.
- Kyungwon Kim & Jae Wook Song, 2020. "Detecting Possible Reduction of the Housing Bubble in Korea for Different Residential Types and Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-31, February.
- Clapp, John M. & Bardos, Katsiaryna Salavei & Wong, S.K., 2012. "Empirical estimation of the option premium for residential redevelopment," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 240-256.
- Tirthatanmoy Das & Kabir Dasgupta, 2018. "Evaluating the Impact of Mothers' Self-esteem on Early Childhood Home Environment: Evidence from NLSY," Working Papers 2018-03 JEL Classificatio, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2019.
- Kim, Byungil & Kim, Changyoon & Han, SangUk & Bae, JuHyun & Jung, Jaehoon, 2020. "Is it a good time to develop commercial photovoltaic systems on farmland? An American-style option with crop price risk," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Vifill Karlsson, 2011. "The Relationship of Housing Prices and Transportation Improvements: Location and Marginal Impact," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 223-241.
- Lambrecht, Bart M., 2017. "Real options in finance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 166-171.
- Linnerud, Kristin & Simonsen, Morten, 2017. "Swedish-Norwegian tradable green certificates: Scheme design flaws and perceived investment barriers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 560-578.
- Wang, Han & Wu, Xingyi & Wu, Di & Nie, Xin, 2019. "Will land development time restriction reduce land price? The perspective of American call options," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 75-83.
- Luis H.R. Alvarez & Jukka Lempa & Elias Oikarinen, 2009. "Do Standard Real Option Models Overestimate the Required Rate of Return of Real Estate Investment Opportunities?," Discussion Papers 52, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Carozzi, Felipe, 2020. "The role of demand in land re-development," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103690, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Pennings, Enrico, 2008. "Privatization of real options," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 489-497, September.
- Anglin, Paul M. & Dale-Johnson, David & Gao, Yanmin & Zhu, Guozhong, 2014. "Patterns of growth in Chinese cities: Implications of the land lease," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 87-107.
- Felipe Morandé & Alexandra Petermann & Miguel Vargas, 2010. "Determinants of Urban Vacant Land," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 188-202, February.
- Seong-Hoon Cho & Seung Gyu Kim & Roland K. Roberts & Dayton M. Lambert & Taeyoung Kim, 2015. "Effects of Land-Related Policies on Land Development during a Real Estate Boom and a Recession," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(2), pages 218-232, June.
- Seung Gyu Kim & Roger Claassen, 2016. "Modelling land development processes using a sample selection regression," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 664-668, June.
- Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Chen, Zhongfei, 2014. "The housing market in Beijing and delays in sales: A fractional polynomial survival model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 296-300.
- Albert Solé-Ollé & Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal & José Mª Durán-Cabré & Thomas Davidoff & Mariona Segú, 2018. "Tourism and Gentrification in Global Cities: Could Fiscal Policy be Useful? / Turismo y gentrificación en ciudades globales: ¿podría ser útil la política fiscal? / Turisme i gentrificació en ciutats g," IEB Reports ieb_report_2_2018, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
- Jean Cavailhès & Mohamed Hilal & Pierre Wavresky, 2011. "Urban influence of farmland prices and its impact on agriculture [L'influence urbaine sur le prix des terres agricoles et ses conséquences pour l'agriculture]," Post-Print hal-02645617, HAL.
- Huang, Wei-Ling & Lin, Wen-Yuan & Ning, Shao-Lin, 2020. "The effect of economic policy uncertainty on China’s housing market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Alexandra Petermann Reifschneider & Felipe Morandé & Miguel Vargas, 2000. "The Determinants of Vacant Land Inside Cities: the Case of Santiago De Chile," Regional and Urban Modeling 283600071, EcoMod.
- Luca Di Corato, 2018.
"Rural land development under hyperbolic discounting: a real option approach,"
Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 167-182, July.
- Di Corato, Luca, 2016. "Rural land development under hyperbolic discounting: a real option approach," Working Paper Series 2016:8, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department Economics.
- Yun‐chien Chang, 2011. "An Empirical Study of Court‐Adjudicated Takings Compensation in New York City: 1990–2003," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(2), pages 384-412, June.
- Steven Ott & W. Hughen & Dustin Read, 2012. "Optimal Phasing and Inventory Decisions for Large-Scale Residential Development Projects," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 888-918, November.
- L. Li & K. W. Chau, 2019. "What Motivates a Developer to Sell before Completion?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 209-232, August.
- Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2023.
"The impact of upzoning on housing construction in Auckland,"
Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2022. "The Impact of Upzoning on Housing Construction in Auckland," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2330, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- L. Li & Helen X. H. Bao & K. W. Chau, 2023. "On the Strategic Timing of Sales by Real Estate Developers: To Wait or To Presell?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 169-196, January.
- Gang‐Zhi Fan & Ming Pu & Tien Foo Sing & Xiaoyu Zhang, 2022. "Risk aversion and urban land development options," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 767-788, September.
- Jean Cavailhès & Mohamed Hilal & Pierre Wavresky, 2013. "A new real option value due to "demographic risk" in the market for developable land," Post-Print hal-00939785, HAL.
- Korthals Altes, Willem K., 2019. "Planning initiative: Promoting development by the use of options in Amsterdam," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 13-21.
- Jean Cavailhés & Isabelle Thomas, 2011. "The influence of urban sprawl on farmland prices in Belgium (refereed paper)," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1628, European Regional Science Association.
- Belal Fallah & Mark Partridge & M. Olfert, 2012. "Uncertain economic growth and sprawl: evidence from a stochastic growth approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 49(3), pages 589-617, December.
- Gabbe, C.J. & Kevane, Michael & Sundstrom, William A., 2021. "The effects of an “urban village” planning and zoning strategy in San Jose, California," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Jean Cavailhès & Mohamed Hilal & Pierre Wavresky, 2011. "L’influence urbaine sur le prix des terres agricoles et ses conséquences pour l’agriculture," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 444(1), pages 99-125.
- Rohlin, Shawn & Rosenthal, Stuart S. & Ross, Amanda, 2014. "Tax avoidance and business location in a state border model," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 34-49.
- Stéphane Virol & Guillaume Pouyanne & Sandrine Lyser & Frédéric Gaschet & Jeanne Dachary-Bernard, 2011. "L’impact de la littoralisation sur les marchés fonciers. Une approche comparative des côtes basque et charentaise," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 444(1), pages 127-154.
- McMillen, Daniel & Singh, Ruchi, 2022. "Land value estimation using teardowns," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Zan Yang & Shuping Wu, 2019. "Land acquisition outcome, developer risk attitude and land development timing," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 233-271, August.