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Rural land development under hyperbolic discounting: a real option approach

Listed author(s):
  • Di Corato, Luca

    ()

    (Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

This article presents a simple model of land development under uncertainty and hyperbolic discounting. Land kept in rural use pays an uncertain rent, while net returns from land development are known and constant. The landowner is viewed here as a sequence of infinite autonomous selves with time inconsistent preferences. We solve the underlying noncooperative intra-personal stopping time game under both naïve and sophisticated beliefs about the landowner's time-inconsistency and show that i) land development is accelerated due to his present-biased time preferences and ii) a higher acceleration is associated with sophistication.

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File URL: http://pub.epsilon.slu.se/13609/11/dicorato_l_160915.pdf
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Paper provided by Department Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences in its series Working Paper Series with number 2016:8.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 29 Aug 2016
Handle: RePEc:hhs:slueko:2016_008
Contact details of provider: Postal:
Department of Economics, Box 7013, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-750 07 Uppsala, Sweden

Phone: 018-67 1724
Fax: 018-67 3502
Web page: http://www.slu.se/ekonomi

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  4. Capozza, Dennis & Li, Yuming, 1994. "The Intensity and Timing of Investment: The Case of Land," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 889-904, September.
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  8. Schatzki, Todd, 2003. "Options, uncertainty and sunk costs:: an empirical analysis of land use change," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 86-105, July.
  9. Nishihara, Michi, 2012. "Real option valuation of abandoned farmland," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 188-192.
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  11. Salois, Matthew J. & Moss, Charles B., 2011. "A direct test of hyperbolic discounting using market asset data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(3), pages 290-292, September.
  12. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474, March.
  13. Shane Frederick & George Loewenstein & Ted O'Donoghue, 2002. "Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 40(2), pages 351-401, June.
  14. George Loewenstein & Drazen Prelec, 1992. "Anomalies in Intertemporal Choice: Evidence and an Interpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(2), pages 573-597.
  15. Feng Song & Jinhua Zhao & Scott M. Swinton, 2011. "Switching to Perennial Energy Crops Under Uncertainty and Costly Reversibility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(3), pages 764-779.
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