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Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond
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- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Taillardat, Maxime & Fougères, Anne-Laure & Naveau, Philippe & de Fondeville, Raphaël, 2023. "Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of extremes using continuous ranked probability score distributions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1448-1459.
- Yusen Wang & Wenlong Liao & Yuqing Chang, 2018. "Gated Recurrent Unit Network-Based Short-Term Photovoltaic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-14, August.
- Yuri S. Popkov & Alexey Yu. Popkov & Yuri A. Dubnov & Dimitri Solomatine, 2020. "Entropy-Randomized Forecasting of Stochastic Dynamic Regression Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-20, July.
- Dumas, Jonathan & Wehenkel, Antoine & Lanaspeze, Damien & Cornélusse, Bertrand & Sutera, Antonio, 2022. "A deep generative model for probabilistic energy forecasting in power systems: normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting,"
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- de Hoog, Julian & Abdulla, Khalid, 2019. "Data visualization and forecast combination for probabilistic load forecasting in GEFCom2017 final match," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1451-1459.
- Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2022. "Predicting/hypothesizing the findings of the M5 competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1337-1345.
- Gensler, André & Sick, Bernhard & Vogt, Stephan, 2018. "A review of uncertainty representations and metaverification of uncertainty assessment techniques for renewable energies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 352-379.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Li, Rui & Reich, Brian J. & Bondell, Howard D., 2021. "Deep distribution regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
- Dudek, Grzegorz, 2016. "Multilayer perceptron for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1057-1060.
- Olivares, Kin G. & Challu, Cristian & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał & Dubrawski, Artur, 2023.
"Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 884-900.
- Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Dimoulkas, I. & Mazidi, P. & Herre, L., 2019. "Neural networks for GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1409-1423.
- Hyndman, Rob J., 2020.
"A brief history of forecasting competitions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 7-14.
- Rob J Hyndman, 2019. "A Brief History of Forecasting Competitions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Berk, K. & Hoffmann, A. & Müller, A., 2018. "Probabilistic forecasting of industrial electricity load with regime switching behavior," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 147-162.
- Yang Hu & Yilin Qiao & Jingchun Chu & Ling Yuan & Lei Pan, 2019. "Joint Point-Interval Prediction and Optimization of Wind Power Considering the Sequential Uncertainties of Stepwise Procedure," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-21, June.
- Brenda López Cabrera & Franziska Schulz, 2016. "Time-Adaptive Probabilistic Forecasts of Electricity Spot Prices with Application to Risk Management," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2016-035, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Happy Aprillia & Hong-Tzer Yang & Chao-Ming Huang, 2020. "Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using a Convolutional Neural Network–Salp Swarm Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-20, April.
- Ricardo J. Bessa & Corinna Möhrlen & Vanessa Fundel & Malte Siefert & Jethro Browell & Sebastian Haglund El Gaidi & Bri-Mathias Hodge & Umit Cali & George Kariniotakis, 2017. "Towards Improved Understanding of the Applicability of Uncertainty Forecasts in the Electric Power Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-48, September.
- Ming-Wei Li & Jing Geng & Wei-Chiang Hong & Yang Zhang, 2018. "Hybridizing Chaotic and Quantum Mechanisms and Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm with Least Squares Support Vector Regression Model in Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-22, August.
- Jurasz, Jakub & Mikulik, Jerzy & Krzywda, Magdalena & Ciapała, Bartłomiej & Janowski, Mirosław, 2018. "Integrating a wind- and solar-powered hybrid to the power system by coupling it with a hydroelectric power station with pumping installation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 549-563.
- Nikolaos Kolokas & Dimosthenis Ioannidis & Dimitrios Tzovaras, 2021. "Multi-Step Energy Demand and Generation Forecasting with Confidence Used for Specification-Free Aggregate Demand Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-36, May.
- Caston Sigauke & Murendeni Maurel Nemukula & Daniel Maposa, 2018. "Probabilistic Hourly Load Forecasting Using Additive Quantile Regression Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-21, August.
- Nagy, Gábor I. & Barta, Gergő & Kazi, Sándor & Borbély, Gyula & Simon, Gábor, 2016. "GEFCom2014: Probabilistic solar and wind power forecasting using a generalized additive tree ensemble approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1087-1093.
- Mónica Borunda & Katya Rodríguez-Vázquez & Raul Garduno-Ramirez & Javier de la Cruz-Soto & Javier Antunez-Estrada & Oscar A. Jaramillo, 2020. "Long-Term Estimation of Wind Power by Probabilistic Forecast Using Genetic Programming," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-24, April.
- Zhang, Yao & Wang, Jianxue, 2016. "K-nearest neighbors and a kernel density estimator for GEFCom2014 probabilistic wind power forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1074-1080.
- Jens Hönen & Johann L. Hurink & Bert Zwart, 2023. "A classification scheme for local energy trading," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(1), pages 85-118, March.
- Ziel, Florian & Liu, Bidong, 2016. "Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1029-1037.
- Huang, Jing & Perry, Matthew, 2016. "A semi-empirical approach using gradient boosting and k-nearest neighbors regression for GEFCom2014 probabilistic solar power forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1081-1086.
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nowotarski, Jakub, 2016.
"A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1051-1056.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Jakub Nowotarski, 2015. "A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/15/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Tschora, Léonard & Pierre, Erwan & Plantevit, Marc & Robardet, Céline, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting on the day-ahead market using machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
- Joanna Bruzda, 2020. "Multistep quantile forecasts for supply chain and logistics operations: bootstrapping, the GARCH model and quantile regression based approaches," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(1), pages 309-336, March.
- Huber, Julian & Dann, David & Weinhardt, Christof, 2020. "Probabilistic forecasts of time and energy flexibility in battery electric vehicle charging," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafał Weron, 2016.
"Automated Variable Selection and Shrinkage for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-22, August.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Automated variable selection and shrinkage for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Müller, Alfred & Reuber, Matthias, 2023. "A copula-based time series model for global horizontal irradiation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 869-883.
- Cameron Roach & Rob Hyndman & Souhaib Ben Taieb, 2021.
"Non‐linear mixed‐effects models for time series forecasting of smart meter demand,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1118-1130, September.
- Cameron Roach & Rob J Hyndman & Souhaib Ben Taieb, 2020. "Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models for Time Series Forecasting of Smart Meter Demand," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 41/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Jingrui Xie & Tao Hong, 2017. "Wind Speed for Load Forecasting Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-12, May.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018.
"Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Zheng, Zhuang & Sun, Zhankun & Pan, Jia & Luo, Xiaowei, 2021. "An integrated smart home energy management model based on a pyramid taxonomy for residential houses with photovoltaic-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
- Karimi, Sajad & Kwon, Soongeol, 2022. "Optimization-driven uncertainty forecasting: Application to day-ahead commitment with renewable energy resources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
- Antonio Bracale & Guido Carpinelli & Pasquale De Falco, 2019. "Developing and Comparing Different Strategies for Combining Probabilistic Photovoltaic Power Forecasts in an Ensemble Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-16, March.
- Saxena, Harshit & Aponte, Omar & McConky, Katie T., 2019. "A hybrid machine learning model for forecasting a billing period’s peak electric load days," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1288-1303.
- Zhu, Jizhong & Dong, Hanjiang & Zheng, Weiye & Li, Shenglin & Huang, Yanting & Xi, Lei, 2022. "Review and prospect of data-driven techniques for load forecasting in integrated energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
- Luis Gonzaga Baca Ruiz & Manuel Pegalajar Cuéllar & Miguel Delgado Calvo-Flores & María Del Carmen Pegalajar Jiménez, 2016. "An Application of Non-Linear Autoregressive Neural Networks to Predict Energy Consumption in Public Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, August.
- Kong, Xiangyu & Li, Chuang & Wang, Chengshan & Zhang, Yusen & Zhang, Jian, 2020. "Short-term electrical load forecasting based on error correction using dynamic mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
- Sigauke, Caston & Bere, Alphonce, 2017. "Modelling non-stationary time series using a peaks over threshold distribution with time varying covariates and threshold: An application to peak electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 152-166.
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Liu, Bidong & Weron, Rafał & Hong, Tao, 2016.
"Improving short term load forecast accuracy via combining sister forecasts,"
Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 40-49.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Bidong Liu & Rafal Weron & Tao Hong, 2015. "Improving short term load forecast accuracy via combining sister forecasts," HSC Research Reports HSC/15/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Alonso-Suárez, R. & David, M. & Branco, V. & Lauret, P., 2020. "Intra-day solar probabilistic forecasts including local short-term variability and satellite information," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 554-573.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Léonard Tschora & Erwan Pierre & Marc Plantevit & Céline Robardet, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting on the day-ahead market using machine learning," Post-Print hal-03621974, HAL.
- Bracale, Antonio & Carpinelli, Guido & De Falco, Pasquale, 2017. "A new finite mixture distribution and its expectation-maximization procedure for extreme wind speed characterization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1366-1377.
- Xie, Jingrui & Hong, Tao, 2016. "GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting: An integrated solution with forecast combination and residual simulation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1012-1016.
- Ioannis K. Bazionis & Markos A. Kousounadis-Knudsen & Theodoros Konstantinou & Pavlos S. Georgilakis, 2021. "A WT-LUBE-PSO-CWC Wind Power Probabilistic Forecasting Model for Prediction Interval Construction and Seasonality Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-23, September.
- Yang, Dazhi & Kleissl, Jan, 2023. "Summarizing ensemble NWP forecasts for grid operators: Consistency, elicitability, and economic value," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1640-1654.
- Severinsen, A. & Myrland, Ø., 2022. "Statistical learning to estimate energy savings from retrofitting in the Norwegian food retail market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
- Gaillard, Pierre & Goude, Yannig & Nedellec, Raphaël, 2016. "Additive models and robust aggregation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load and electricity price forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1038-1050.
- Jaržemskis Andrius & Jaržemskienė Ilona, 2022. "European Green Deal Implications on Country Level Energy Consumption," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 22(2), pages 97-122, December.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Xu, Lei & Wang, Shengwei & Tang, Rui, 2019. "Probabilistic load forecasting for buildings considering weather forecasting uncertainty and uncertain peak load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 180-195.
- Romain Dupin & Laura Cavalcante & Ricardo J. Bessa & Georges Kariniotakis & Andrea Michiorri, 2020. "Extreme Quantiles Dynamic Line Rating Forecasts and Application on Network Operation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-21, June.
- Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018.
"Electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- Seungbeom Nam & Jin Hur, 2018. "Probabilistic Forecasting Model of Solar Power Outputs Based on the Naïve Bayes Classifier and Kriging Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
- Claudio Monteiro & Ignacio J. Ramirez-Rosado & L. Alfredo Fernandez-Jimenez, 2018. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting Models by Aggregation of Competitive Predictors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-25, April.
- Ping-Huan Kuo & Chiou-Jye Huang, 2018. "A Green Energy Application in Energy Management Systems by an Artificial Intelligence-Based Solar Radiation Forecasting Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, April.
- Rafael Sánchez-Durán & Joaquín Luque & Julio Barbancho, 2019. "Long-Term Demand Forecasting in a Scenario of Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-23, August.
- Huangjie Gong & Rosemary E. Alden & Aron Patrick & Dan M. Ionel, 2022. "Forecast of Community Total Electric Load and HVAC Component Disaggregation through a New LSTM-Based Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-17, April.
- Luo, Xing & Zhang, Dongxiao & Zhu, Xu, 2022. "Combining transfer learning and constrained long short-term memory for power generation forecasting of newly-constructed photovoltaic plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1062-1077.
- Gilbert, Ciaran & Browell, Jethro & McMillan, David, 2021. "Probabilistic access forecasting for improved offshore operations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 134-150.
- Juraj Čurpek, 2019. "Time Evolution of Hurst Exponent: Czech Wholesale Electricity Market Study," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 25-44.
- Michel Fliess & Cédric Join & Cyril Voyant, 2018. "Prediction bands for solar energy: New short-term time series forecasting techniques," Post-Print hal-01736518, HAL.
- Mayer, Martin János & Yang, Dazhi, 2023. "Calibration of deterministic NWP forecasts and its impact on verification," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 981-991.
- Li, Z. & Hurn, A.S. & Clements, A.E., 2017. "Forecasting quantiles of day-ahead electricity load," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 60-71.
- Grossi, Luigi & Nan, Fany, 2019. "Robust forecasting of electricity prices: Simulations, models and the impact of renewable sources," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 305-318.
- Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Chen, Zhi & Gaba, Anil & Tsetlin, Ilia & Winkler, Robert L., 2022. "The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1365-1385.
- Cheng, Fenfen & Yang, Shanlin & Zhou, Kaile, 2020. "Quantile partial adjustment model with application to predicting energy demand in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
- He, Yongda & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Forecasting China's total energy demand and its structure using ADL-MIDAS model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 420-429.
- Aizpurua, J.I. & Stewart, B.G. & McArthur, S.D.J. & Penalba, M. & Barrenetxea, M. & Muxika, E. & Ringwood, J.V., 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting informed failure prognostics framework for improved RUL prediction under uncertainty: A transformer case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
- Mostafa Majidpour & Hamidreza Nazaripouya & Peter Chu & Hemanshu R. Pota & Rajit Gadh, 2018. "Fast Univariate Time Series Prediction of Solar Power for Real-Time Control of Energy Storage System," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-14, September.
- Sobhani, Masoud & Hong, Tao & Martin, Claude, 2020. "Temperature anomaly detection for electric load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 324-333.
- Halužan, Marko & Verbič, Miroslav & Zorić, Jelena, 2020. "Performance of alternative electricity price forecasting methods: Findings from the Greek and Hungarian power exchanges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
- Luca Massidda & Marino Marrocu, 2018. "Quantile Regression Post-Processing of Weather Forecast for Short-Term Solar Power Probabilistic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, July.
- Zhang, Wenjie & Gandhi, Oktoviano & Quan, Hao & Rodríguez-Gallegos, Carlos D. & Srinivasan, Dipti, 2018. "A multi-agent based integrated volt-var optimization engine for fast vehicle-to-grid reactive power dispatch and electric vehicle coordination," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 96-110.
- Geovanny Marulanda & Antonio Bello & Jenny Cifuentes & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Wind Power Long-Term Scenario Generation Considering Spatial-Temporal Dependencies in Coupled Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-19, July.
- Moreno-Carbonell, Santiago & Sánchez-Úbeda, Eugenio F. & Muñoz, Antonio, 2020. "Rethinking weather station selection for electric load forecasting using genetic algorithms," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 695-712.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Dordonnat, V. & Pichavant, A. & Pierrot, A., 2016. "GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting using time series and semi-parametric regression models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 1005-1011.
- Ruhnau, Oliver & Hennig, Patrick & Madlener, Reinhard, 2020. "Economic implications of forecasting electricity generation from variable renewable energy sources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1318-1327.
- Liu, Tongxiang & Zhao, Qiujun & Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Yuyang, 2021. "A novel interval forecasting system for uncertainty modeling based on multi-input multi-output theory: A case study on modern wind stations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 88-104.
- Derek W. Bunn & Angelica Gianfreda & Stefan Kermer, 2018. "A Trading-Based Evaluation of Density Forecasts in a Real-Time Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, October.
- Cheng, Lilin & Zang, Haixiang & Wei, Zhinong & Zhang, Fengchun & Sun, Guoqiang, 2022. "Evaluation of opaque deep-learning solar power forecast models towards power-grid applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 960-972.
- Kannika Duangnate & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "Prequential forecasting in the presence of structure breaks in natural gas spot markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2363-2384, November.
- He, Yaoyao & Cao, Chaojin & Wang, Shuo & Fu, Hong, 2022. "Nonparametric probabilistic load forecasting based on quantile combination in electrical power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
- David, Mathieu & Luis, Mazorra Aguiar & Lauret, Philippe, 2018. "Comparison of intraday probabilistic forecasting of solar irradiance using only endogenous data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 529-547.
- Makridakis, Spyros & Hyndman, Rob J. & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2020. "Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 15-28.
- Wang, Wenting & Yang, Dazhi & Huang, Nantian & Lyu, Chao & Zhang, Gang & Han, Xueying, 2022. "Irradiance-to-power conversion based on physical model chain: An application on the optimal configuration of multi-energy microgrid in cold climate," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Santiago Moreno-Carbonell & Eugenio F. Sánchez-Úbeda & Antonio Muñoz, 2020. "Time Series Decomposition of the Daily Outdoor Air Temperature in Europe for Long-Term Energy Forecasting in the Context of Climate Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-28, March.
- Markovics, Dávid & Mayer, Martin János, 2022. "Comparison of machine learning methods for photovoltaic power forecasting based on numerical weather prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Xenophon, Aleksis Kazubiernis & Hill, David John, 2020. "Adaptive mechanisms to refund emissions payments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
- Heinonen, Sirkka & Minkkinen, Matti & Karjalainen, Joni & Inayatullah, Sohail, 2017. "Testing transformative energy scenarios through causal layered analysis gaming," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 101-113.
- Haben, Stephen & Giasemidis, Georgios & Ziel, Florian & Arora, Siddharth, 2019. "Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage level," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1469-1484.
- Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2017. "Variance stabilizing transformations for electricity spot price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
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