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Optimal forecasting of noncausal autoregressive time series

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
  2. Telg, Sean, 2024. "Time aggregation of mixed causal–noncausal models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
  3. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Gabriele Mingoli, 2023. "Observation-Driven filters for Time- Series with Stochastic Trends and Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-065/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Mar 2024.
  4. Hecq, A.W. & Lieb, L.M. & Telg, J.M.A., 2015. "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models : How Fat Should We Go?," Research Memorandum 035, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
  5. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2019. "Detecting Co‐Movements in Non‐Causal Time Series," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(3), pages 697-715, June.
  6. Henri Nyberg & Markku Lanne & Erkka Saarinen, 2012. "Does noncausality help in forecasting economic time series?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 2849-2859.
  7. Karapanagiotidis, Paul, 2013. "Empirical evidence for nonlinearity and irreversibility of commodity futures prices," MPRA Paper 56801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Hecq, Alain & Voisin, Elisa, 2021. "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 29-45.
  9. Pentti Saikkonen & Rickard Sandberg, 2016. "Testing for a Unit Root in Noncausal Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 99-125, January.
  10. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2013_026 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2013. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a noninvertible ARMA model with autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 227-255.
  12. Matthijs Lof, 2014. "GMM Estimation with Non-causal Instruments under Rational Expectations," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(2), pages 279-286, April.
  13. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2016. "Noncausal Bayesian Vector Autoregression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1392-1406, November.
  14. Karapanagiotidis, Paul, 2014. "Dynamic modeling of commodity futures prices," MPRA Paper 56805, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023. "Predicting Crashes in Oil Prices During The Covid-19 Pandemic with Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 209-233, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  16. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak, 2016. "Filtering, Prediction and Simulation Methods for Noncausal Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 405-430, May.
  17. Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2017. "Semiparametric Bayesian inference for time-varying parameter regression models with stochastic volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 10-14.
  18. João Henrique Gonçalves Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Uncertainty And Density Forecasts Of Arma Models: Comparison Of Asymptotic, Bayesian, And Bootstrap Procedures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 388-419, April.
  19. Lof Matthijs, 2013. "Noncausality and asset pricing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 211-220, April.
  20. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2012. "Has US inflation really become harder to forecast?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 383-386.
  21. Nyberg, Henri & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2014. "Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 536-555.
  22. Lanne Markku & Saikkonen Pentti, 2011. "Noncausal Autoregressions for Economic Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(3), pages 1-32, October.
  23. Alain Hecq & Daniel Velásquez-Gaviria, 2025. "Spectral estimation for mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(7), pages 939-962, August.
  24. F. Blasques & S. J. Koopman & G. Mingoli & S. Telg, 2025. "A Novel Test for the Presence of Local Explosive Dynamics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(5), pages 966-980, September.
  25. Gabriele Mingoli, 2024. "Modeling Common Bubbles: A Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamic Factor Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-072/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  26. Pentti Saikkonen & Rickard Sandberg, 2016. "Testing for a Unit Root in Noncausal Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 99-125, January.
  27. Lanne, Markku & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2013. "Noncausal Vector Autoregression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(3), pages 447-481, June.
  28. Lanne Markku, 2015. "Noncausality and inflation persistence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(4), pages 469-481, September.
  29. Weifeng Jin, 2023. "Quantile Autoregression-based Non-causality Testing," Papers 2301.02937, arXiv.org.
  30. Demetrescu, Matei & Kruse, Robinson, 2015. "Testing heteroskedastic time series for normality," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113221, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  31. Christian Gourieroux & Andrew Hencic & Joann Jasiak, 2021. "Forecast performance and bubble analysis in noncausal MAR(1, 1) processes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 301-326, March.
  32. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2013. "Autoregression-based estimation of the new Keynesian Phillips curve," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 561-570.
  33. Fries, Sébastien, 2018. "Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds," MPRA Paper 97353, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.
  34. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak & Michelle Tong, 2021. "Convolution‐based filtering and forecasting: An application to WTI crude oil prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1230-1244, November.
  35. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Voisin, Elisa, 2024. "A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: An application to Brazil," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  36. Gourieroux, Christian & Jasiak, Joann, 2018. "Misspecification of noncausal order in autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 226-248.
  37. Lof, Matthijs, 2013. "Essays on Expectations and the Econometrics of Asset Pricing," MPRA Paper 59064, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  38. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Telg, Sean, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions with Strictly Exogenous Regressors," MPRA Paper 80767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Akhter Mohiuddin Rather & V. N. Sastry & Arun Agarwal, 2017. "Stock market prediction and Portfolio selection models: a survey," OPSEARCH, Springer;Operational Research Society of India, vol. 54(3), pages 558-579, September.
  40. Alain Hecq & Li Sun, 2019. "Identification of Noncausal Models by Quantile Autoregressions," Papers 1904.05952, arXiv.org.
  41. Lof, Matthijs & Nyberg, Henri, 2017. "Noncausality and the commodity currency hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 424-433.
  42. Jian Pei & Yang Lu & Fukang Zhu, 2025. "Mixed causal-noncausal count process," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 34(2), pages 325-360, June.
  43. Gonçalves Mazzeu, Joao Henrique & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2015. "Model uncertainty and the forecast accuracy of ARMA models: A survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  44. Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017. "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-22, October.
  45. Hall, Mauri K. & Jasiak, Joann, 2024. "Modelling common bubbles in cryptocurrency prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  46. Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka, 2011. "Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison," MPRA Paper 30254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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