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Level Shifts and the Illusion of Long Memory in Economic Time Series

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Cited by:

  1. Dennis Alvaro & Ángel Guillén & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2017. "Modelling the volatility of commodities prices using a stochastic volatility model with random level shifts," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 153(1), pages 71-103, February.
  2. Samet Günay, 2016. "Performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR): Evidence from Emerging Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-17, May.
  3. D. (Derek) Bond & Michael J. Harrison & Edward J. (Edward Joseph) O'Brien, 2009. "Exploring long memory and nonlinearity in Irish real exchange Rates using tests based on semiparametric estimation," Working Papers 200901, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  4. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Persistence and cycles in historical oil price data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 511-516.
  5. Zhongjun Qu, 2011. "A Test Against Spurious Long Memory," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 423-438, July.
  6. Mccloskey, Adam & Perron, Pierre, 2013. "Memory Parameter Estimation In The Presence Of Level Shifts And Deterministic Trends," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(6), pages 1196-1237, December.
  7. Mathieu Gatumel & Florian Ielpo, 2014. "The Number Of Regimes Across Asset Returns: Identification And Economic Value," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(06), pages 1-25.
  8. Berna Kirkulak Uludag & Zorikto Lkhamazhapov, 2014. "Long memory and structural breaks in the returns and volatility of gold: evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(31), pages 3777-3787, November.
  9. Stengos Thanasis & Yazgan M. Ege, 2014. "Persistence in real exchange rate convergence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 73-88, February.
  10. Aloy, Marcel & Boutahar, Mohamed & Gente, Karine & Péguin-Feissolle, Anne, 2011. "Purchasing power parity and the long memory properties of real exchange rates: Does one size fit all?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1279-1290, May.
  11. McMillan, David G. & Wohar, Mark E., 2010. "Persistence and time-varying coefficients," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 85-88, July.
  12. Dominique Guegan, 2007. "La persistance dans les marchés financiers," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00179269, HAL.
  13. Dominique Guegan, 2005. "How can we Define the Concept of Long Memory? An Econometric Survey," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 113-149.
  14. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Paul & Akosah, Nana Kwame, 2019. "Wavelet time-scale persistence analysis of cryptocurrency market returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 105-120.
  15. Patrick Krieger & Carsten Lausberg & Kristin Wellner, 2018. "Einblicke in die Gründe für nicht-normalverteilte Immobilienrenditen: eine explorative Untersuchung deutscher Wohnimmobilienportfolios [Insights into the reasons for non-normal real estate returns:," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 4(1), pages 49-79, November.
  16. Dendramis, Yiannis & Kapetanios, George & Tzavalis, Elias, 2014. "Level shifts in stock returns driven by large shocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 41-51.
  17. Javier Haulde & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2022. "Fractional integration and cointegration," CREATES Research Papers 2022-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  18. Marie Busch & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2018. "An Overview of Modified Semiparametric Memory Estimation Methods," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, March.
  19. Slim Chaouachi & Zied Ftiti & Frederic Teulon, 2014. "Explaining the Tunisian Real Exchange: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks," Working Papers 2014-147, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  20. Zied Ftiti & Slim Chaouachi, 2018. "What Can We Learn About the Real Exchange Rate Behavior in the Case of a Peripheral Country?," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(3), pages 681-707, September.
  21. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Wahab, Bashir A. & Adeboye, Olusegun S., 2020. "Stationarity of prices of precious and industrial metals using recent unit root methods: Implications for markets’ efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  22. Bond, Derek & Gallagher, Emer & Ramsey, Elaine, 2012. "A preliminary investigation of northern Ireland's housing market dynamics," MPRA Paper 39806, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  23. Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2017. "Modeling Latin-American stock and Forex markets volatility: Empirical application of a model with random level shifts and genuine long memory," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 393-420.
  24. Yoon, Gawon, 2009. "Is high real interest rate persistence an intrinsic characteristic of industrialized economies?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 359-363, March.
  25. Kirkulak-Uludag, Berna & Lkhamazhapov, Zorikto, 2016. "The volatility dynamics of spot and futures gold prices: Evidence from Russia," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 474-484.
  26. Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Combining long memory and level shifts in modelling and forecasting the volatility of asset returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 371-393, March.
  27. Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016. "Modeling Latin-American Stock and Forex Markets Volatility: Empirical Application of a Model with Random Level Shifts and Genuine Long Memory [Modelando la volatilidad de los mercados bursátiles y cam," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-416, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  28. Adam McCloskey & Pierre Perron, 2012. "Memory Parameter Estimation in the Presence of Level Shifts and Deterministic Trends," Working Papers 2012-15, Brown University, Department of Economics.
  29. Rea, William & Reale, Marco & Brown, Jennifer & Oxley, Les, 2011. "Long memory or shifting means in geophysical time series?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1441-1453.
  30. Giorgio Canarella & Luis Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M Miller, 2021. "Persistence and cyclical dynamics of US and UK house prices: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(1), pages 53-72, January.
  31. Mihaela Craioveanu & Eric Hillebrand, 2012. "Level changes in volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 277-308, May.
  32. Arturo Leccadito & Omar Rachedi & Giovanni Urga, 2015. "True Versus Spurious Long Memory: Some Theoretical Results and a Monte Carlo Comparison," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 452-479, April.
  33. Hassler, Uwe & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Rubia, Antonio, 2014. "Persistence in the banking industry: Fractional integration and breaks in memory," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 95-112.
  34. Karali, Berna & Power, Gabriel J., 2010. "Is commodity price volatility persistent? Another look using improved, full-sample estimates," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61826, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  35. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Boako, Gideon, 2017. "Long-range dependence in returns and volatility of global gold market amid financial crises," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 472(C), pages 188-202.
  36. Baek, Changryong & Fortuna, Natércia & Pipiras, Vladas, 2014. "Can Markov switching model generate long memory?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 117-121.
  37. Gawon Yoon, 2010. "Long memory in return volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 345-349.
  38. William Rea & Marco Reale & Jennifer Brown, 2011. "Long memory in temperature reconstructions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(3), pages 247-265, August.
  39. Barros, Carlos Pestana & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Payne, James E., 2011. "An analysis of oil production by OPEC countries: Persistence, breaks, and outliers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 442-453, January.
  40. End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  41. McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2008. "A multiple regime smooth transition Heterogeneous Autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 104-119, November.
  42. Robert A. Connolly & Z. Nuray G‹Ner & Kenneth N. Hightower, 2007. "Evidence on the Extent and Potential Sources of Long Memory in U.S. Treasury Security Returns and Yields," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2-3), pages 689-702, March.
  43. Berna Kirkulak-Uludag & Zorikto Lkhamazhapov, 2017. "Volatility Dynamics of Precious Metals: Evidence from Russia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(4), pages 300-317, August.
  44. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Borja Balprad & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2015. "African Growth, Non-Linearities and Strong Dependence: An Empirical Study," NCID Working Papers 12/2015, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
  45. Les Oxley & Chris Price & William Rea & Marco Reale, 2008. "A New Procedure to Test for H Self-Similarity," Working Papers in Economics 08/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  46. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-390 is not listed on IDEAS
  47. Smith Aaron, 2012. "Markov Breaks in Regression Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-35, May.
  48. Mathieu Gatumel & Florian Ielpo, 2011. "The Number of Regimes Across Asset Returns: Identification and Economic Value," Post-Print halshs-00658540, HAL.
  49. Yalama, Abdullah & Celik, Sibel, 2013. "Real or spurious long memory characteristics of volatility: Empirical evidence from an emerging market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 67-72.
  50. Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetries, breaks, and long-range dependence: An estimation framework for daily realized volatility," Textos para discussão 578, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  51. Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2018. "The Periodogram of Spurious Long-Memory Processes," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-632, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  52. Ezzat, Hassan, 2013. "Long Memory Processes and Structural Breaks in Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from the Egyptian Exchange," MPRA Paper 51465, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  53. Terence C. Mills, 2007. "Time series modelling of two millennia of northern hemisphere temperatures: long memory or shifting trends?," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(1), pages 83-94, January.
  54. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Boako, Gidoen & Alagidede, Paul, 2018. "Modelling heterogeneous speculation in Ghana’s foreign exchange market: Evidence from ARFIMA-FIGARCH and Semi-Parametric methods," MPRA Paper 86617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  55. Assaf, Ata, 2015. "Long memory and level shifts in REITs returns and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 172-182.
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