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Should small open economies in East Asia put all their eggs in one basket: the role of balance sheet effects

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  • Slavi T. Slavov

    (Pomona College)

Abstract

Yen-dollar fluctuations increase macroeconomic instability in small economies in East Asia. I investigate the choice of an exchange rate regime for these countries so as to minimize the adverse effects of this volatility. I build a sticky-price dynamic model of a small economy whose trade is invoiced in dollar and yen. First, I show the conditions under which pegging to a tradeweighted basket of the two currencies is the optimal policy for the small economy. Then, I introduce net worth constraints and unhedged dollar borrowing which pull the optimal policy away toward putting a much greater weight on the dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Slavi T. Slavov, 2005. "Should small open economies in East Asia put all their eggs in one basket: the role of balance sheet effects," International Finance 0501001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:0501001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2006. "The East Asian Dollar Standard, Fear of Floating, and Original Sin," Chapters, in: Volbert Alexander & Hans-Helmut Kotz (ed.), Global Divergence in Trade, Money and Policy, chapter 3, pages 45-71, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Kang Shi & Juanyi Xu, 2008. "The Optimal Currency Basket with Input Currency and Output Currency," Working Papers 172008, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    3. Xu, Juanyi, 2011. "The optimal currency basket under vertical trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1323-1340.
    4. Mr. Constant A Lonkeng Ngouana, 2012. "Exchange Rate Volatility Under Peg: Do Trade Patterns Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2012/073, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Teo, Wing Leong, 2009. "Should East Asia's currencies be pegged to the yen? The role of invoice currency," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 283-308, September.
    6. Zihui Ma & Leonard K. Cheng, 2014. "An Optimal Currency Basket to Minimize Output and Inflation Volatility: Theory and an Application to Hong Kong," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 90-111, February.
    7. Slavov, Slavi T., 2008. "Measuring and modeling the effects of G-3 exchange rate fluctuations on small open economies: A natural experiment," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 253-273, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    East Asia; optimal basket pegs; balance sheet effects; exchange rate regimes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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