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Why do people die in earthquakes ? the costs, benefits and institutions of disaster risk reduction in developing countries

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  • Kenny, Charles

Abstract

Every year, around 60,000 people die worldwide in natural disasters. The majority of the deaths are caused by building collapse in earthquakes, and the great majority occurs in the developing world. This is despite the fact that engineering solutions exist that can almost completely eliminate the risk of such deaths. Why is this? The engineering solutions are both expensive and technically demanding, so that the benefit-cost ratio of such solutions is often unfavorable compared with other interventions designed to save lives in developing countries. Nonetheless, a range of public disaster risk-reduction interventions (including construction activities) are highly cost effective. The fact that such interventions often remain unimplemented or ineffectively executed points to a role for issues of political economy. Building regulations in developing countries appear to have limited impact in many cases, perhaps because of limited capacity and the impact of corruption. Public construction is often of low quality - perhaps for similar reasons. This suggests approaches that emphasize simple and limited disaster risk regulation covering only the most at-risk structures and that (preferably) can be monitored by non-experts. It also suggests a range of transparency and oversight mechanisms for public construction projects.

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  • Kenny, Charles, 2009. "Why do people die in earthquakes ? the costs, benefits and institutions of disaster risk reduction in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4823, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4823
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    2. Keefer, Philip & Neumayer, Eric & Plümper, Thomas, 2011. "Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 1530-1541, September.
    3. Bruno S. Frey & David A. Savage & Benno Torgler, 2011. "Behavior under Extreme Conditions: The Titanic Disaster," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 25(1), pages 209-222, Winter.
    4. Ahlerup, Pelle, 2009. "Earthquakes and Civil War," Working Papers in Economics 387, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    5. Daoud, Adel & Halleröd, Björn & Guha Sapir, Debarati, 2015. "Quality of government and the relationship between natural disasters and child poverty: A comparative analysis," MPIfG Discussion Paper 15/5, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    6. Xiaolu Gao & Jue Ji, 2014. "Analysis of the seismic vulnerability and the structural characteristics of houses in Chinese rural areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(2), pages 1099-1114, January.
    7. Emily Wilkinson & Emma Lovell & Barbara Carby & Jenni Barclay & Richard E.A. Robertson, 2016. "The Dilemmas of Risk-Sensitive Development on a Small Volcanic Island," Resources, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-20, June.
    8. Chang, Kuo-Hao & Hsiung, Tzu-Yi & Chang, Tzu-Yin, 2022. "Multi-Commodity distribution under uncertainty in disaster response phase: Model, solution method, and an empirical study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 857-876.
    9. D. A. Novelo-Casanova & A. Ponce-Pacheco & A. Hernández-Hernández & A. Juárez-Sánchez & M. I. López-Pérez & M. G. Hernández-Bello & O. Vega-Flores, 2019. "Seismic and flood structural risk in Motozintla, Chiapas, Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(3), pages 721-737, February.
    10. Tatiana Goded & Andrew Beaupre & Michael DeMarco & Tina Dutra & Andro Gogichaishvili & Daniel Haley & Alex Hyman & Nicholas Kepka Calvetti & John Potter & Maureen Coomer & Kim Wright & Andrew King, 2017. "Understanding different perspectives on the preservation of community and heritage buildings in the Wellington Region, New Zealand," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(1), pages 185-212, May.
    11. Chang, Kuo-Hao & Wu, Ying-Zheng & Su, Wen-Ray & Lin, Lee-Yaw, 2024. "A simulation evacuation framework for effective disaster preparedness strategies and response decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 313(2), pages 733-746.

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    Keywords

    Hazard Risk Management; Natural Disasters; Disaster Management; Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Population Policies;
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