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Impact of GDP volatility on current account balances

Author

Listed:
  • Michał Brzozowski

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

  • Sadananda Prusty

    (Institute of Management Technology)

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the impact of GDP volatility on current account balances for a large sample of developed and developing countries. We extend the standard set of short- and long-term determinants of current accounts to include GDP volatility computed from the annual growth rate of GDP. It turns out that for low income countries the impact of GDP volatility on their current account balances is negative, whereas the reverse is true for high income countries. The intertemporal approach to the balance of payments followed in this paper suggests that a diverse response of current account balances to GDP volatility can be due to the different degree of shock persistence in developed and developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Michał Brzozowski & Sadananda Prusty, 2011. "Impact of GDP volatility on current account balances," Working Papers 2011-02, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2011-02
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    File URL: http://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/inf/wyd/WP/WNE_WP42.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Özer, Mustafa & Malovic, Marko, 2020. "Ball and chain effect: Is Turkey’s growth rate constrained by current account deficit?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    current account; savings; investment; volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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