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Comment appréhender les temporalités de l’histoire économique ? Plaidoyer pour une cliométrie des événements rares

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  • Claude Diebolt

Abstract

L’objet de cet article est d’élaborer, par la combinaison de l’approche systémique et de l’idée de régulation, une grille de lecture théorique susceptible de contribuer à un renouveau méthodologique pour une meilleure appréhension des temporalités de l’histoire économique. Le système régulé entraîne des cycles ; il génère des chocs. Ce sont les reflets de la temporalité d’un système économique donné. Ce faisant, nos investigations cliométriques participent d’un vaste programme de recherche visant à réconcilier l’épistémologie du Verstehen (comprendre) avec celle de l’Erklären (expliquer). Elles ambitionnent de favoriser la rencontre du fait avec le fait stylisé ; les modélisations théoriques de la croissance, des cycles et des systèmes économiques avec les interrogations empiriques aux frontières de l’histoire économique.

Suggested Citation

  • Claude Diebolt, 2015. "Comment appréhender les temporalités de l’histoire économique ? Plaidoyer pour une cliométrie des événements rares," Working Papers of BETA 2015-12, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  • Handle: RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2015-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thierry Aimar & Francis Bismans & Claude Diebolt, 2010. "Le cycle économique : une synthèse," Revue Française d'Économie, Programme National Persée, vol. 24(4), pages 3-65.
    2. Jean-Luc Demeulemeester & Claude Diebolt, 2007. "How much could economics gain from history: the contribution of cliometrics," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 1(1), pages 7-17, April.
    3. Claude Diebolt, 2012. "The cliometric voice," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, pages 51-64.
    4. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Introduction to "Schooling, Experience, and Earnings"," NBER Chapters,in: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings, pages 1-4 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. North, Douglass C, 1994. "Economic Performance through Time," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 359-368.
    6. Claude DIEBOLT, 2012. "Where are we now in Cliometrics?," Historical Social Research (Section 'Cliometrics'), Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 37(4), pages 309-326.
    7. Darne, Olivier & Diebolt, Claude, 2004. "Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 1449-1465, October.
    8. Fogel, Robert W, 1994. "Economic Growth, Population Theory, and Physiology: The Bearing of Long-Term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 369-395.
    9. Claude Diebolt & Faustine Perrin, 2013. "From Stagnation to Sustained Growth: The Role of Female Empowerment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 545-549.
    10. Claude Diebolt & Jean-Luc Demeulemeester, 2010. "Quo vadis ? Quel futur pour l’histoire économique en France. Réflexions et recommandations par deux économistes," Working Papers 10-02, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    11. Solow, Robert M, 1985. "Economic History and Economics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 328-331.
    12. C. Diebolt & J-P. Guironnet, 2012. "Vers une théorie économique de la suréducation ?," Economies et Sociétés (Serie 'Histoire Economique Quantitative'), Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), pages 1453-1468.
    13. repec:hrv:faseco:30703876 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Schooling, Experience, and Earnings," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number minc74-1.
    15. Meyer, John R. & Conrad, Alfred H., 1957. "Economic Theory, Statistical Inference, and Economic History," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(04), pages 524-544, December.
    16. Dora Costa & Jean-Luc Demeulemeester & Claude Diebolt, 2007. "What is ‘Cliometrica’?," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 1(1), pages 1-6, April.
    17. Ann M. Carlos, 2010. "Reflection on reflections: review essay on reflections on the cliometric revolution: conversations with economic historians," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 4(1), pages 97-111, January.
    18. Claudia Goldin, 1995. "Cliometrics and the Nobel," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 191-208, Spring.
    19. Claude Diebolt & Faustine Perrin, 2014. "The Foundations of Female Empowerment Revisited," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 124(4), pages 587-597.
    20. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Age and Experience Profiles of Earnings," NBER Chapters,in: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings, pages 64-82 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Alfred H. Conrad & John R. Meyer, 1958. "The Economics of Slavery in the Ante Bellum South: Reply," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66, pages 442-442.
    22. Claude Diebolt, 2006. "Progrès technique et cycles économiques dans la pensée allemande de l’entre-deux-guerres : l’apport d’Emil Lederer," Working Papers 06-09, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    23. Claude Diebolt, 2007. "Le cycle économique chez Arthur Spiethoff," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 117(4), pages 631-641.
    24. Claude Diebolt & Faustine Perrin, 2013. "From Stagnation to Sustained Growth: The Role of Female Empowerment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 545-549.
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    Keywords

    Cliométrie; approche systémique; idée de régulation; événements rares; histoire économique; temporalités.;

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • A20 - General Economics and Teaching - - Economic Education and Teaching of Economics - - - General
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • B52 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
    • N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy
    • P1 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems
    • P5 - Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems

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