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Interest Rates and Output in the Long-run

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  • Yunus Aksoy
  • Miguel León-Ledesma

Abstract

In this paper we argue that both statistics and economic theory-based evidence largely indicate the absence of long run relationships between the real output and the most relevant monetary indicator for the UK and the US short term interest rates. These findings are not only a full sample result, but also valid in most of the subsamples throughout the second half of the 20th century.

Suggested Citation

  • Yunus Aksoy & Miguel León-Ledesma, 2004. "Interest Rates and Output in the Long-run," Studies in Economics 0409, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    • Handle: RePEc:ukc:ukcedp:0409
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    Cited by:

    1. Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira, 2009. "Is monetary policy really neutral in the long-run? Evidence for some emerging and developed economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2432-2437.
    2. Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-17.
    3. Bharat Chadha, 2007. "Impact of U.S. Federal Interest Rate and Movement of MSCI on Indian Capital Markets," Working Papers id:1024, eSocialSciences.
    4. Hrushikesh Mallick & Shashi Agarwal, 2007. "Impact Of Real Interest Rates On Real Output Growth In India: A Long-Run Analysis In A Liberalized Financial Regime," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 52(02), pages 215-231.
    5. Andre V. Mollick & Joao R. Faria, 2010. "Capital and labor in thelong-run: evidence fromTobin's q for the US," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 11-14, January.
    6. Biswajit Maitra, 2017. "Monetary and fiscal factors in nominal interest rate variations in Sri Lanka under a deregulated regime," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-17, December.
    7. Biswajit Maitra, 2018. "Determinants of Nominal Interest Rates in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 265-288, March.
    8. Faria, João Ricardo & Mollick, André Varella & Sachsida, Adolfo & Wang, Le, 2012. "Do central banks affect Tobin's q?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-10.
    9. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Olaolu Richard Olayeni & Reza Sherafatian-Jahromi & Olofin Sodik Adejonwo, 2019. "Output Gap, Money Growth and Interest Rate in Japan: Evidence from Wavelet Analysis," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 18(2), pages 171-184, December.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Monetary Policy and Corporate Behavior in India," IMF Working Papers 2005/025, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    information value; long term relationship; cointegration; bounds tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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