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Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Autoregressive and Heteroskedastic Disturbances

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Abstract

We propose a new class of models specifically tailored for spatio{temporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances, i.e. SARAR(1,1), by exploiting the recent advancements in Score Driven (SD) models typically used in time series econometrics. In particular, we allow for time{varying spatial autoregressive coefficients as well as time{varying regressor coefficients and cross{sectional standard deviations. We report an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study in order to investigate the finite sample properties of the Maximum Likelihood estimator for the new class of models as well as its exibility in explaining several dynamic spatial dependence processes. The new proposed class of models are found to be economically preferred by rational investors through an application in portfolio optimization.

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  • Leopoldo Catania & Anna Gloria Billé, 2016. "Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Autoregressive and Heteroskedastic Disturbances," CEIS Research Paper 375, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 31 Mar 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:375
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    Cited by:

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    2. Francisco (F.) Blasques & Andre (A.) Lucas & Andries van Vlodrop, 2017. "Finite Sample Optimality of Score-Driven Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-111/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2019. "The Time-Spatial Dimension of Eurozone Banking Systemic Risk," Risks, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(3), pages 1-1, July.
    4. Anna Gloria Billé & Samantha Leorato, 2017. "Quasi-ML estimation, Marginal Effects and Asymptotics for Spatial Autoregressive Nonlinear Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS44, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    5. Alice Barreca & Rocco Curto & Diana Rolando, 2020. "Urban Vibrancy: An Emerging Factor that Spatially Influences the Real Estate Market," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(1), pages 1-1, January.
    6. David Ardia & Kris Boudt & Leopoldo Catania, 2016. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Models in R: The GAS Package," Papers 1609.02354, arXiv.org.
    7. Guo, Juncong & Qu, Xi, 2020. "Fixed effects spatial panel data models with time-varying spatial dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).

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    Keywords

    SARAR; time varying parameters; spatio{temporal data; score driven models;

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