IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/rie/riecdt/112.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Foreign investment dynamics: The impact of benchmark-driven versus unconstrained investors on local credit conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Botero-Ramírez, Oscar David
  • Murcia, Andrés
  • Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio

Abstract

We examine the impact of foreign investor heterogeneity on local lending, focusing on Colombia from 2014 to 2023. Distinguishing between benchmark-driven and unconstrained investors, we highlight their differing responses to global and idiosyncratic shocks. Using bond-level data and the corporate credit registry, we link banks’ exposure to foreign flows with firm-level lending decisions. By decomposing Colombia’s weight in the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM index into valuation and exogenous components, we identify how investor behavior shapes bank balance sheets. Our main findings show that banks with greater exposure to unconstrained investors significantly expand lending during capital inflows, whereas those linked to benchmark-driven investors exhibit a more muted response. These results emphasize the role of investor composition in financial stability and provide key insights for policymakers in emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Botero-Ramírez, Oscar David & Murcia, Andrés & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2025. "Foreign investment dynamics: The impact of benchmark-driven versus unconstrained investors on local credit conditions," Working papers 112, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    • Handle: RePEc:rie:riecdt:112
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/server/api/core/bitstreams/caa2c766-fc30-40f8-99c9-9c3a613e1e8b/content
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carol Bertaut & Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2023. "Original sin redux: role of duration risk," BIS Working Papers 1109, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Xavier Gabaix & Matteo Maggiori, 2015. "International Liquidity and Exchange Rate Dynamics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 130(3), pages 1369-1420.
    3. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Puy, Damien, 2019. "Push factors and capital flows to emerging markets: why knowing your lender matters more than fundamentals," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 133-149.
    4. Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Mr. Takahiro Tsuda, 2015. "Emerging Market Portfolio Flows: The Role of Benchmark-Driven Investors," IMF Working Papers 2015/263, International Monetary Fund.
    5. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:26:y:2011:i:66:p:135-182 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ilzetzki, Ethan & Mendoza, Enrique G. & Végh, Carlos A., 2013. "How big (small?) are fiscal multipliers?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 239-254.
    7. Fong, Tom Pak Wing & Sze, Angela Kin Wan & Ho, Edmund Ho Cheung, 2022. "Do long-term institutional investors contribute to financial stability? – Evidence from equity investment in Hong Kong and international markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:26:y:2011:i:66:p:135-182 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Forbes, Kristin J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2012. "Capital flow waves: Surges, stops, flight, and retrenchment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 235-251.
    10. Perez-Reyna, David & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2019. "Exchange rate effects of financial regulations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 228-245.
    11. Cho-Hoi Hui, 2019. "Emerging market bond funds: flow-performance relationship and long-term institutional investors," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Asia-Pacific fixed income markets: evolving structure, participation and pricing, volume 102, pages 147-152, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Leonardo Gambacorta & David Marques-Ibanez, 2011. "The bank lending channel: lessons from the crisis [Financial intermediaries and monetary economics]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 26(66), pages 135-182.
    13. Yasin Kürşat Önder & Sara Restrepo-Tamayo & Maria Alejandra Ruiz-Sanchez & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2024. "Government Borrowing and Crowding Out," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 286-321, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gelos, Gaston & Gornicka, Lucyna & Koepke, Robin & Sahay, Ratna & Sgherri, Silvia, 2022. "Capital flows at risk: Taming the ebbs and flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    3. Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, 2019. "U.S. Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers," NBER Working Papers 26297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Benhima, Kenza & Cordonier, Rachel, 2022. "News, sentiment and capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2020. "A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(6), pages 2288-2328.
    6. Alessandro Moro & Alessandro Schiavone, 2022. "The role of non-bank financial institutions in the intermediation of capital flows to emerging markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1367, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Bank for International Settlements, 2021. "Changing patterns of capital flows," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 66.
    8. Chen, Yang & Feng, Yun & Liu, Qing & Zhang, Zhipeng, 2025. "Does benchmark-driven investment amplify the impact of the global financial cycle on emerging markets?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Moro, Alessandro & Zaghini, Andrea, 2023. "The green sin: How exchange rate volatility and financial openness affect green premia," CFS Working Paper Series 715, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    10. Norring, Anni, 2022. "Taming the tides of capital: Review of capital controls and macroprudential policy in emerging economies," BoF Economics Review 1/2022, Bank of Finland.
    11. Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens & Andrew K. Rose, 2019. "How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 24-60, March.
    12. Bianchi, Benedetta & Galstyan, Vahagn & Herzberg, Valerie, 2022. "Global risk and portfolio flows to emerging markets: Evidence from irish-resident investment funds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    13. Cerutti, Eugenio M. & Obstfeld, Maurice & Zhou, Haonan, 2021. "Covered interest parity deviations: Macrofinancial determinants," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Konopczak, Michal, 2015. "Government debt holdings of non-residents – an analysis of the impact on selected emerging economies’ sovereign risk," MPRA Paper 68597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Galindo, Arturo J. & Panizza, Ugo, 2018. "The cyclicality of international public sector borrowing in developing countries: Does the lender matter?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 119-135.
    16. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2021. "International Fiscal-Financial Spillovers:the Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-Border Bank Lending," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 259-290, April.
    17. Ms. Linda S. Goldberg & Signe Krogstrup, 2018. "International Capital Flow Pressures," IMF Working Papers 2018/030, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Kuersteiner, Guido M. & Phillips, David C. & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2018. "Effective sterilized foreign exchange intervention? Evidence from a rule-based policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 118-138.
    19. Jeffrey Frankel, 2021. "Systematic Managed Floating," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Steven J Davis & Edward S Robinson & Bernard Yeung (ed.), THE ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM Insights for Central Banking, chapter 5, pages 160-221, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    20. Özgür Özel & Mustafa Utku Özmen & Erdal Yılmaz, 2021. "Foreign investor dominance and low domestic investor absorption capacity: Implications on capital outflows," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4361-4371, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; Foreign investment; Investor classification; J.P. Morgan GBI-EM index; Emerging markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rie:riecdt:112. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CAIE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/redcoea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.