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Testing the Lucas critique for the Turkish money demand function

  • Yıldırım, Metin
  • Korap, Levent

This paper aims to test the prevalence of the Lucas critique by use of an applied modelling approach. The Turkish narrow money demand is chosen for investigation purposes and an extensive statistical-based econometric application has been carried out to observe whether the model in question has been exposed to the content of such a critique. The results confirm the theory to explain the behavioral foundations of aggregate monetary economics approaches and reveal that no evidence can be found in favor of the non-rejection of the Lucas critique that leads us to infer that the modelling attempt can be considered by the researcher a feedback model which is able to encompass a whole class of expectation models.

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File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/41156/1/MPRA_paper_41156.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 41156.

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Date of creation: 2012
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Publication status: Published in İktisat, İşletme ve Finans 27.318(2012): pp. 57-82
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:41156
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  18. Ramachandran, M., 2004. "Do broad money, output, and prices stand for a stable relationship in India?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(8-9), pages 983-1001, December.
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  23. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muge Karacal, 2006. "The demand for money in Turkey and currency substitution," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 635-642.
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  25. Şenay ÜÇDOĞRUK, 1996. "Türkiye''de Para Talebi Modeli: Eşbütünleşme Analizi İlişkileri," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 11(126), pages 30-40.
  26. Ben-David, D. & Lumsdaine, L.R. & Papell, D.H., 1996. "Unit Roots Postwar Slowdowns and Long-Run Growth: Evidence from Two Structural Breaks," Papers 33-96, Tel Aviv.
  27. Granger, Clive W J, 1986. "Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 213-28, August.
  28. Osterwald-Lenum, Michael, 1992. "A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 461-72, August.
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