Nonlinear error-correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993
This paper reconsiders a nonlinear error-correction model of UK broad money demand by Ericsson, Hendry and Prestwich. Their model can be viewed as an approximation to a smooth transition regression (STR) type specification. The corresponding STR model, when estimated, turns out to encompass the previous model. Adopting a somewhat more general modelling approach leads to another STR model. This model variance dominates the other two but does not encompass them. Nevertheless, it fits better than the other models in the eventful 1970s and 1980s.
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|Date of creation:||07 Oct 1998|
|Date of revision:||30 Nov 1998|
|Publication status:||Published in Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2001, pages 277-288.|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: The Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden|
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- Eitrheim, Oyvind & Terasvirta, Timo, 1996.
"Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models,"
Journal of Econometrics,
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- Pesaran, M. H. & Weeks, M., 1999. "Non-nested Hypothesis Testing: An Overview," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9918, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mizon, Grayham E & Richard, Jean-Francois, 1986. "The Encompassing Principle and Its Application to Testing Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(3), pages 657-678, May. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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