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Political Crises and Risk of Financial Contagion in Developing Countries: Evidence from Africa

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  • Simplice A., Asongu

Abstract

The recent waves of political crises in Africa and the Middle East have inspired the debate over how political instability could pose a risk of financial contagion to emerging countries. With retrospect to the Kenyan political crisis, our findings suggest stock markets in Lebanon, Mauritius and Nigeria were contaminated.

Suggested Citation

  • Simplice A., Asongu, 2011. "Political Crises and Risk of Financial Contagion in Developing Countries: Evidence from Africa," MPRA Paper 30391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:30391
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. King, Mervyn A & Wadhwani, Sushil, 1990. "Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(1), pages 5-33.
    2. Lee, Hsien-Yi & Wu, Hsing-Chi & Wang, Yung-Jang, 2007. "Contagion effect in financial markets after the South-East Asia Tsunami," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 281-296, June.
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    4. Asongu Simplice, 2011. "Globalization, financial crisis and contagion: time-dynamic evidence from financial markets of developing countries," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 11/004, African Governance and Development Institute..
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    6. Campos, Nauro F. & Karanasos, Menelaos G., 2008. "Growth, volatility and political instability: Non-linear time-series evidence for Argentina, 1896-2000," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 135-137, July.
    7. Angelos Kanas, 1998. "Linkages between the US and European equity markets: further evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 607-614.
    8. Haile, Fasika & Pozo, Susan, 2008. "Currency crisis contagion and the identification of transmission channels," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 572-588, October.
    9. Simplice A. Asongu, 2012. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: Evidence of contagion from international financial markets," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 340-353, November.
    10. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October.
    11. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November.
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    13. King, Mervyn & Sentana, Enrique & Wadhwani, Sushil, 1994. "Volatility and Links between National Stock Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(4), pages 901-933, July.
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    15. Collins, Daryl & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2003. "Contagion: a fear for African equity markets?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 285-297.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A, Asongu, 2011. "Globalization, financial crisis and contagion: time-dynamic evidence from financial markets of developing countries," MPRA Paper 30120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Simplice A. Asongu, 2012. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: Evidence of contagion from international financial markets," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 340-353, November.
    3. Lucian Belascu, 2016. "Risk And Contagion On Financial Markets After The 2007 Sub-Prime Mortgage Crisis," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5, pages 51-55, October.
    4. Asongu, Simplice, 2013. "Globalization and Financial Market Contagion: Evidence from Financial Crisis and Natural Disasters," MPRA Paper 56803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. repec:eee:riibaf:v:45:y:2018:i:c:p:54-61 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Motelle, Sephooko & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2015. "Financial integration and stability in the Southern African development community," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 100-117.
    7. repec:scn:financ:y:2015:i:2:p:120-129 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:pra:mprapa:39629 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political crisis; Contagion; Developing countries; Equity Markets;

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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