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Political crises and risk of financial contagion in developing countries: Evidence from Africa

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  • Simplice A, Asongu

Abstract

The recent waves of political crises in Africa and the Middle East have inspired the debate over how political instability could pose a risk of financial contagion to emerging countries. With retrospect to the Kenyan political crisis, our findings suggest stock markets in Lebanon, Mauritius were contaminated while Nigeria experienced a positive spillover. Our results have two major implications. Firstly, we have confirmed existing consensus that African financial markets are increasingly integrated. Secondly, we have also shown that international financial market transmissions not only occur during financial crisis; political crises effects should not be undermined.

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  • Simplice A, Asongu, 2011. "Political crises and risk of financial contagion in developing countries: Evidence from Africa," MPRA Paper 37459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37459
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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A ASONGU, 2012. "Globalization Financial Crisis And Contagion Time Dynamic Evidence From Financial Markets Of Developing Countries," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 131-139.
    2. Simplice A., Asongu, 2011. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: evidence of contagion from international financial markets," MPRA Paper 31174, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Lucian Belascu, 2016. "Risk And Contagion On Financial Markets After The 2007 Sub-Prime Mortgage Crisis," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5, pages 51-55, October.
    4. Tony-Okeke, Uchenna & Ahmadu-Bello, Jaliyyah & Niklewski, Jacek & Rodgers, Timothy, 2018. "Financial contagion and capital asset pricing in Africa: The impact of the 2007–09 and Euro-Zone crises on natural resources sector Beta in African emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 54-61.
    5. Motelle, Sephooko & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2015. "Financial integration and stability in the Southern African development community," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 100-117.
    6. Asongu Simplice, 2013. "Globalization and Financial Market Contagion: Evidence from Financial Crisis and Natural Disasters," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 13/035, African Governance and Development Institute..
    7. E. Romanchuk S. & Е. Романчук С., 2015. "Финансовые Системы Стран Юга Африки // The Financial System Of The South Africa Countries," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, issue 2, pages 120-129.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political crisis; contagion; developing countries; equity markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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