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Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas

Author

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  • Richard G. Newell
  • Brian C. Prest
  • Ashley Vissing

Abstract

We analyze the relative price elasticity of unconventional versus conventional natural gas extraction. We separately analyze three key stages of gas production: drilling wells, completing wells, and producing natural gas from the completed wells. We find that the important margin is drilling investment, and neither production from existing wells nor completion times respond strongly to prices. We estimate a long-run drilling elasticity of 0.7 for both conventional and unconventional sources. Nonetheless, because unconventional wells produce on average 2.7 times more gas per well than conventional ones, the long-run price responsiveness of supply is almost 3 times larger for unconventional compared to conventional gas.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard G. Newell & Brian C. Prest & Ashley Vissing, 2016. "Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas," NBER Working Papers 22532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:22532
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel E. Lade & Ivan Rudik, 2017. "Costs of Inefficient Regulation: Evidence from the Bakken," NBER Working Papers 24139, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. repec:eee:jimfin:v:88:y:2018:i:c:p:54-78 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:eee:eneeco:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:121-135 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CESifo Working Paper Series 7166, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
    6. James Feyrer & Erin T. Mansur & Bruce Sacerdote, 2017. "Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 1313-1334, April.
    7. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Information: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13068, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Richard G. Newell & Brian C. Prest, 2017. "The Unconventional Oil Supply Boom: Aggregate Price Response from Microdata," NBER Working Papers 23973, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Bornstein, Gideon & Krusell, Per & Rebelo, S�rgio, 2017. "Lags, Costs and Shocks: An Equilibrium Model of the Oil Industry," CEPR Discussion Papers 12047, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Gideon Bornstein & Per Krusell & Sergio Rebelo, 2017. "Lags, Costs, and Shocks: An Equilibrium Model of the Oil Industry," NBER Working Papers 23423, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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