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School or Work? The Role of Weather Shocks in Madagascar

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  • Marchetta, Francesca

    (CERDI, University of Auvergne)

  • Sahn, David E.

    (Cornell University)

  • Tiberti, Luca

    (Partnership for Economic Policy (pep))

Abstract

We examine the impact of rainfall variability and cyclones on schooling and work among a cohort of teens and young adults by estimating a bivariate probit model, using a panel survey conducted in 2004 and 2011 in Madagascar − a poor island nation that is frequently affected by extreme weather events. Our results show that negative rainfall deviations and cyclones reduce the current and lagged probability of attending school and encourage young men and, to a greater extent, women to enter the work force. Less wealthy households are most likely to experience this school-to-work transition in the face of rainfall shocks. The finding is consistent with poorer households having less savings and more limited access to credit and insurance, which reduces their ability to cope with negative weather shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Marchetta, Francesca & Sahn, David E. & Tiberti, Luca, 2018. "School or Work? The Role of Weather Shocks in Madagascar," IZA Discussion Papers 11435, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp11435
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    Cited by:

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    2. Saenz, Mayra A., 2020. "Extreme Weather and Food Security: The Case of Malawi," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304626, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate shocks; employment; schooling; Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • J43 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Agricultural Labor Markets
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development

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