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Coping with Falling Oil Prices: The Different Fortunes of African Banks

Author

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  • Cheikh A. Gueye
  • Asithandile Mbelu
  • Mr. Amadou N Sy

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of declining oil prices on banks in sub-Saharan African oil-exporting countries. Results indicate that banks respond differently to an oil shock depending on their ownership: (i) domestic banks are the most adversely impacted and experience a deterioration in asset quality and liquidity; (ii) foreign-owned banks are the most resilient as they are able to improve asset quality and attract deposits but at the same time, they decelerate credit growth; in contrast, (iii) Pan-African Banks help stabilize overall credit but large banks in that segment experience reduced asset quality. These differentiated results suggest a tradeoff between maintaining credit growth and safeguarding financial stability in an oil slump which could be addressed by both micro- and macroprudential policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheikh A. Gueye & Asithandile Mbelu & Mr. Amadou N Sy, 2019. "Coping with Falling Oil Prices: The Different Fortunes of African Banks," IMF Working Papers 2019/129, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/129
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Boateng, Ebenezer & Adam, Anokye M. & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2021. "Modelling the heterogeneous relationship between the crude oil implied volatility index and African stocks in the coronavirus pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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