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Have North-South Growth Linkages Changed?

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  • Mr. Willy A Hoffmaister
  • Mahmood Pradhan
  • Hossein Samiei

Abstract

This paper provides preliminary econometric evidence suggesting that the traditional trade-based business cycle linkages between the North and the South have changed. Many countries in the South, in particular in Asia, appear to have become more resilient to cyclical movements in the North, and to have come to play a more significant role in sustaining global activity, in particular during the 1991-93 slowdown. A number of factors may have contributed to these changes: improved domestic policies and more open trade and exchange regimes; closer financial linkages with the North and a substantial increase in capital flows; a marked rise in inter-regional trade; and greater diversification of the exports of the South.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Willy A Hoffmaister & Mahmood Pradhan & Hossein Samiei, 1996. "Have North-South Growth Linkages Changed?," IMF Working Papers 1996/054, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1996/054
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    3. Yetman, James, 2011. "Exporting recessions: International links and the business cycle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 12-14, January.
    4. Hoffmaister, Alexander W. & Pradhan, Mahmood & Samiei, Hossein, 1998. "Have North-South growth linkages changed?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 791-808, May.
    5. André, NYEMBWE & Konstantin, KHOLODILIN, 2005. "North-South Asymmetric Relationships : Does the EMU Business Affect Small African Economies ?," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2005032, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
    6. AkIn, Cigdem & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2008. "Changing nature of North-South linkages: Stylized facts and explanations," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-28, February.
    7. Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio, 2008. "Global macroeconomic developments and poverty," IFPRI discussion papers 766, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

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