IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hhs/nhhfms/2017_015.html

Oil Prices and the Renewable Energy Sector

Author

Listed:

Abstract

Energy security, climate change, and growing energy demand issues are moving up on the global political agenda, and contribute to the rapid growth of the renewable energy sector. In this paper we investigate the effects of oil price shocks, and also of uncertainty about oil prices, on the stock returns of clean energy and technology companies. In doing so, we use monthly data that span the period from May 1983 to December 2016, and a bivariate structural VAR model that is modified to accommodate GARCH-in-mean errors, and it is used to generate impulse response functions. Moreover, we examine the asymmetry of stock responses to oil price shocks and compare them accounting for oil price uncertainty, while effects of oil price shocks of different magnitude are also investigated. Our evidence indicates that oil price uncertainty has no statistically significant effect on stock returns, and that the relationship between oil prices and stock returns is symmetric. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications and stock prices of clean energy companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Kyritsis, Evangelos & Serletis, Apostolos, 2017. "Oil Prices and the Renewable Energy Sector," Discussion Papers 2017/15, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:nhhfms:2017_015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2466261
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2011. "Are the responses of the U.S. economy asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases?," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 2(3), pages 419-453, November.
    2. Elder, John, 2003. "An impulse-response function for a vector autoregression with multivariate GARCH-in-mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 21-26, April.
    3. Park, Jungwook & Ratti, Ronald A., 2008. "Oil price shocks and stock markets in the U.S. and 13 European countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2587-2608, September.
    4. Managi, Shunsuke & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2013. "Does the price of oil interact with clean energy prices in the stock market?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-9.
    5. Cong, Rong-Gang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Jiao, Jian-Lin & Fan, Ying, 2008. "Relationships between oil price shocks and stock market: An empirical analysis from China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3544-3553, September.
    6. Alsalman, Zeina, 2016. "Oil price uncertainty and the U.S. stock market analysis based on a GARCH-in-mean VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 251-260.
    7. Reboredo, Juan C. & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2017. "Wavelet-based test of co-movement and causality between oil and renewable energy stock prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-252.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas & Miller, Stephen M., 2009. "Do structural oil-market shocks affect stock prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 569-575, July.
    9. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    10. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    11. repec:aen:journl:ej35-1-03 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Renatas Kizys, 2014. "The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from European Data," The Energy Journal, , vol. 35(1), pages 35-56, January.
    13. Reboredo, Juan C., 2015. "Is there dependence and systemic risk between oil and renewable energy stock prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 32-45.
    14. Herrera, Ana María & Lagalo, Latika Gupta & Wada, Tatsuma, 2015. "Asymmetries in the response of economic activity to oil price increases and decreases?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 108-133.
    15. Sadorsky, Perry, 2001. "Risk factors in stock returns of Canadian oil and gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 17-28, January.
    16. Wen, Xiaoqian & Guo, Yanfeng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2014. "How do the stock prices of new energy and fossil fuel companies correlate? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 63-75.
    17. Kumar, Surender & Managi, Shunsuke & Matsuda, Akimi, 2012. "Stock prices of clean energy firms, oil and carbon markets: A vector autoregressive analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 215-226.
    18. Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Yang, Li, 2013. "Oil price shocks and stock market activities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1220-1239.
    19. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Menla Ali, Faek & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2015. "Oil price uncertainty and sectoral stock returns in China: A time-varying approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 311-321.
    20. Hamilton, James D., 2003. "What is an oil shock?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 363-398, April.
    21. repec:aen:journl:ej36-3-herrera is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Henriques, Irene & Sadorsky, Perry, 2008. "Oil prices and the stock prices of alternative energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 998-1010, May.
    23. Lee, Kiseok & Ni, Shawn, 2002. "On the dynamic effects of oil price shocks: a study using industry level data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 823-852, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Donggyu Lee & Jungho Baek, 2018. "Stock Prices of Renewable Energy Firms: Are There Asymmetric Responses to Oil Price Changes?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-8, November.
    2. Ftiti, Zied & Awijen, Haithem & Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Louhichi, Wael, 2025. "Understanding the drivers of energy capacity transitions: New evidence from a dual approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    3. Koczar, Monika W. & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2024. "Dynamic linkages and contagion effects: Analyzing the linkages between crude oil prices, US market sector indices and energy markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan & El Khoury, Rim & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Interplay between renewable energy and fossil fuel markets: Fresh evidence from quantile-on-quantile and wavelet quantile approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Rui Du & Pu Xu, 2024. "Time-Varying Spillover Effects Between Clean and Traditional Energy Under Multiple Uncertainty Risk: Evidence from the U.S. Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-19, October.
    6. Ziadat, Salem Adel & Mensi, Walid & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Are clean energy markets hedges for stock markets? A tail quantile connectedness regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    7. Boulanouar, Zakaria & Essid, Lobna & Farid, Saqib & Ben Mahjoub, Lassaad, 2025. "Asymmetric threshold effects of economic growth on renewable energy in response to energy price fluctuations," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    8. Wang, Xiaoqing & Jin, Wenxin & Stan, Sebastian-Emanuel, 2025. "Empowering energy transition: Revisiting the dynamic impacts of Carbon emissions trading and the crude oil market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 988-1001.
    9. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Nautiyal, Neeraj & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2025. "Is it just green? Asymmetry behavior of returns in green investments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    10. Kaiss, Mateus & Wan, Yihao & Gebbran, Daniel & Vila, Clodomiro Unsihuay & Dragičević, Tomislav, 2025. "Review on Virtual Power Plants/Virtual Aggregators: Concepts, applications, prospects and operation strategies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    11. Mohamed Yousfi & Houssam Bouzgarrou, 2025. "Quantile network connectedness between oil, clean energy markets, and green equity with portfolio implications," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 27(4), pages 583-614, October.
    12. Noailly, Joëlle & Nowzohour, Laura & van den Heuvel, Matthias & Pla, Ireneu, 2024. "Heard the news? Environmental policy and clean investments," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    13. Amaddeo, Elsa & Bergantino, Angela Stefania & Magazzino, Cosimo, 2025. "Who pays for the EU Emission Trading System? The risk of shifting tax burden from firm to final consumer," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    14. Miklesh Prasad Yadav & Priyanka Tandon & Anurag Bhadur Singh & Adam Shore & Pali Gaur, 2025. "Exploring time and frequency linkages of green bond with renewable energy and crypto market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 348(3), pages 1547-1572, May.
    15. Ben Jabeur, Sami & Bakkar, Yassine & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2025. "Do global COVOL and geopolitical risks affect clean energy prices? Evidence from explainable artificial intelligence models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    16. Plante, Michael, 2025. "Investing in the batteries and vehicles of the future: A view through the stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    17. Ying Zhang & Weifeng Li & Li Yang, 2025. "Do Physical and Transition Climate Risks Drive the Volatility and Dynamic Correlations Between Fossil Energy Markets and Stocks Prices of Clean Energy?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-26, October.
    18. Karine Constant & Marion Davin & Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2024. "The European Renewable Energy Sector in Calm and Turmoil Periods: The Key Role of Sovereign Risk," The Energy Journal, , vol. 45(5), pages 65-89, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Smyth, Russell & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2018. "What do we know about oil prices and stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 148-156.
    2. Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 85-130, September.
    3. repec:aen:journl:ej39-5-filis is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2021. "The impact of extreme structural oil-price shocks on clean energy and oil stocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    5. Silky Vigg Kushwah & Areej Aftab Siddiqui, 2023. "Relationship Between Oil Price Movements and Stock Returns of Oil Firms in Oil Importing Economies," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 24(5), pages 916-932, October.
    6. Ferreira, Paulo & Pereira, Éder Johson de Area Leão & Silva, Marcus Fernandes da & Pereira, Hernane Borges, 2019. "Detrended correlation coefficients between oil and stock markets: The effect of the 2008 crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 86-96.
    7. Donggyu Lee & Jungho Baek, 2018. "Stock Prices of Renewable Energy Firms: Are There Asymmetric Responses to Oil Price Changes?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-8, November.
    8. Asl, Mahdi Ghaemi & Canarella, Giorgio & Miller, Stephen M., 2021. "Dynamic asymmetric optimal portfolio allocation between energy stocks and energy commodities: Evidence from clean energy and oil and gas companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Jiao, Zhilun, 2021. "Relationship between green investments, energy markets, and stock markets in the aftermath of the global financial crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    10. Capucine Nobletz, 2021. "Return spillovers between green energy indexes and financial markets: a first sectoral approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    11. Qu, Fang & Chen, Yufeng & Zheng, Biao, 2021. "Is new energy driven by crude oil, high-tech sector or low-carbon notion? New evidence from high-frequency data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    12. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Zhang, Guofu & Du, Ziping, 2017. "Co-movements among the stock prices of new energy, high-technology and fossil fuel companies in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 249-256.
    14. Broadstock, David C. & Cao, Hong & Zhang, Dayong, 2012. "Oil shocks and their impact on energy related stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1888-1895.
    15. Li, Su-Fang & Zhu, Hui-Ming & Yu, Keming, 2012. "Oil prices and stock market in China: A sector analysis using panel cointegration with multiple breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1951-1958.
    16. repec:aen:journl:ej37-si1-broadstock is not listed on IDEAS
    17. You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei & Zhu, Huiming & Tang, Yong, 2017. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industry stock returns in China: Asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-18.
    18. Xiao, Jihong & Zhou, Min & Wen, Fengming & Wen, Fenghua, 2018. "Asymmetric impacts of oil price uncertainty on Chinese stock returns under different market conditions: Evidence from oil volatility index," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 777-786.
    19. Saleh Mothana Obadi & Matej Korcek, 2015. "Investigation of Driving Forces of Energy Consumption in European Union 28 Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 422-432.
    20. Berna Aydogan & Istemi Berk, 2015. "Crude Oil Price Shocks and Stock Returns: Evidences from Turkish Stock Market under Global Liquidity Conditions," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 54-68.
    21. Haykir, Ozkan & Yagli, Ibrahim & Aktekin Gok, Emine Dilara & Budak, Hilal, 2022. "Oil price explosivity and stock return: Do sector and firm size matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    22. Ansaram, Karishma & Petitjean, Mikael, 2024. "A global perspective on the nexus between energy and stock markets in light of the rise of renewable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:nhhfms:2017_015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stein Fossen (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dfnhhno.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.