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Investing in the Batteries and Vehicles of the Future: A View Through the Stock Market

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  • Michael D. Plante

Abstract

A large number of companies operating in the EV and battery supply chain have listed on a U.S. stock exchange in recent years. I compile a unique data set of high-frequency stock returns for those companies and investigate the extent to which an “industry” factor specific to the EV and battery supply chain (an “EV” factor) can explain their returns. Those returns are decomposed into systematic and idiosyncratic components, with the former given by a set of latent factors extracted from a large panel of stock returns using high-frequency principal components. It is found that a market factor and a factor associated with tech stocks have good explanatory power for the stocks of interest. I identify an “EV” factor as the first principal component of the idiosyncratic returns and find it has relatively good explanatory power for EV and battery stocks, often exceeding that of the tech factor. There is also evidence for a lithium factor that plays an important role in the returns of lithium companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael D. Plante, 2023. "Investing in the Batteries and Vehicles of the Future: A View Through the Stock Market," Working Papers 2314, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 25 Mar 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddwp:96951
    DOI: 10.24149/wp2314r1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock returns; principal components; electric vehicles; batteries; high-frequency data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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