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High-frequency factor models and regressions

Author

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  • Aït-Sahalia, Yacine
  • Kalnina, Ilze
  • Xiu, Dacheng

Abstract

We consider a nonparametric time series regression model. Our framework allows precise estimation of betas without the usual assumption of betas being piecewise constant. This property makes our framework particularly suitable to study individual stocks. We provide an inference framework for all components of the model, including idiosyncratic volatility and idiosyncratic jumps. Our empirical analysis investigates the largest dataset in the high-frequency literature. First, we use all traded stocks from NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ stock markets for 1996–2017 to construct the five Fama–French factors and the momentum factor at the 5-minute frequency. Second, we document the key empirical properties across all the stocks and the new factors, and apply the nonparametric time series regression model with the new high-frequency Fama–French factors. We find that this factor model is effective in explaining the systematic component of the risk of individual stocks. In addition, we provide evidence that idiosyncratic jumps are related to idiosyncratic events such as earnings disappointments.

Suggested Citation

  • Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Kalnina, Ilze & Xiu, Dacheng, 2020. "High-frequency factor models and regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 86-105.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:216:y:2020:i:1:p:86-105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.01.007
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    3. Bjoern Schulte-Tillmann & Mawuli Segnon & Timo Wiedemann, 2023. "A comparison of high-frequency realized variance measures: Duration- vs. return-based approaches," CQE Working Papers 10523, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    4. Lars Winkelmann & Wenying Yao, 2024. "Tests for Jumps in Yield Spreads," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 946-957, July.
    5. Sun, Yucheng & Xu, Wen & Zhang, Chuanhai, 2023. "Identifying latent factors based on high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 251-270.
    6. Blasques, F. & Francq, Christian & Laurent, Sébastien, 2024. "Autoregressive conditional betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    7. Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023. "The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
    8. Aysenur Tarakcioglu Altinay & Mesut Dogan & Bilge Leyli Demirel Ergun & Sevdie Alshiqi, 2023. "The Fama-French Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model: A Research on Borsa Istanbul," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 3-21.
    9. Markus Bibinger & Nikolaus Hautsch & Alexander Ristig, 2024. "Jump detection in high-frequency order prices," Papers 2403.00819, arXiv.org.
    10. Michael D. Plante, 2023. "Investing in the Batteries and Vehicles of the Future: A View Through the Stock Market," Working Papers 2314, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 25 Mar 2024.
    11. Chen, Dachuan & Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2024. "Realized regression with asynchronous and noisy high frequency and high dimensional data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
    12. Shin, Minseok & Kim, Donggyu & Fan, Jianqing, 2023. "Adaptive robust large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
    13. Janis Becker & Christian Leschinski, 2021. "Estimating the volatility of asset pricing factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 269-278, March.
    14. Emilija Dzuverovic & Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Hierarchical DCC-HEAVY Model for High-Dimensional Covariance Matrices," Papers 2305.08488, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    15. Li, Y-N. & Chen, J. & Linton, O., 2021. "Estimation of Common Factors for Microstructure Noise and Efficient Price in a High-frequency Dual Factor Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2150, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    16. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Escolástico, Alba M., 2020. "Extension of the Fama and French model: A study of the largest European financial institutions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 115-139.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Factor model; Time-varying betas; Fama–French factors; Idiosyncratic risk; Big data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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