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Dynamics of Indirect Land-Use Change: Empirical Evidence from Brazil

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Abstract

The expansion of a given land use may affect deforestation directly if forests are cleared to free land for this use, or indirectly, via the displacement of other land-use activities from non-forest areas towards the forest frontier. Unlike direct land conversion, indirect land-use changes affecting deforestation are not immediately observable. They require the linking of changes occurring in different regions. This paper empirically assesses the possible indirect effects of sugarcane expansion in Brazil’s state of São Paulo, on forest conversion decisions in the country’s Amazon region. Further, it examines the evidence for a mechanism through which these effects might materialize, namely a displacement of cattle ranching activities from São Paulo state to the Amazon. The results suggest a positive relationship between sugarcane expansion and deforestation. This indirect land-use effect is shown to be a dynamic process materializing over 10 to 15 years.

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  • Saraly Andrade de Sá & Charles Palmer & Salvatore Di Falco, 2013. "Dynamics of Indirect Land-Use Change: Empirical Evidence from Brazil," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 13/170, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    • Handle: RePEc:eth:wpswif:13-170
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    Cited by:

    1. Andersen, Lykke E. & Groom, Ben & Killick, Evan & Ledezma, Juan Carlos & Palmer, Charles & Weinhold, Diana, 2017. "Modelling Land Use, Deforestation, and Policy: A Hybrid Optimisation-Heterogeneous Agent Model with Application to the Bolivian Amazon," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 76-90.
    2. Keles, Derya & Choumert-Nkolo, Johanna & Combes Motel, Pascale & Nazindigouba Kéré, Eric, 2018. "Does the expansion of biofuels encroach on the forest?," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 75-82.
    3. Alexander Pfaff & Juan Robalino, 2017. "Spillovers from Conservation Programs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 9(1), pages 299-315, October.
    4. Furgała-Selezniow, Grażyna & Jankun-Woźnicka, Małgorzata & Mika, Mirosław, 2020. "Lake regions under human pressure in the context of socio-economic transition in Central-Eastern Europe: The case study of Olsztyn Lakeland, Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Amin, A. & Choumert-Nkolo, J. & Combes, J.-L. & Combes Motel, P. & Kéré, E.N. & Ongono-Olinga, J.-G. & Schwartz, S., 2019. "Neighborhood effects in the Brazilian Amazônia: Protected areas and deforestation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 272-288.
    6. Julien Wolfersberger & Serge Garcia & Philippe Delacote, 2013. "An empirical analysis of the cumulative nature of deforestation," Working Papers 1303, Chaire Economie du climat.
    7. Amigues, Jean-Pierre & Moreaux, Michel, 2018. "Competing Land Uses and Fossil Fuel, Optimal Energy Conversion Rates During the Transition Toward a Green Economy Under a Pollution Stock Constraint," TSE Working Papers 18-981, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    8. Sant'Anna, Marcelo Castello Branco, 2019. "How green is sugarcane ethanol?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 807, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    9. Hoel, Michael & Sletten, Thea Marcelia, 2016. "Climate and forests: The tradeoff between forests as a source for producing bioenergy and as a carbon sink," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 112-129.
    10. Ali, Daniel Ayalew & Deininger, Klaus & Harris, Anthony, 2017. "Using National Statistics to Increase Transparency of Large Land Acquisition: Evidence from Ethiopia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 62-74.
    11. Fischer, Joern & Abson, David J. & Butsic, Van & Chappell, M. Jahi & Ekroos, Johan & Hanspach, Jan & Kuemmerle, Tobias & Smith, Henrik G. & von Wehrden, Henrik, 2014. "Land sparing versus land sharing: Moving forward," EconStor Open Access Articles, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 149-157.
    12. Anelise Rahmeier Seyffarth, 2016. "The Impact of Rising Ethanol Production on the Brazilian Market for Basic Food Commodities: An Econometric Assessment," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(3), pages 511-536, July.
    13. Choumert Nkolo, Johanna & Combes Motel, Pascale & Guegang Djimeli, Charlain, 2018. "Income-generating Effects of Biofuel Policies: A Meta-analysis of the CGE Literature," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 230-242.
    14. Dupoux, Marion, 2019. "The land use change time-accounting failure," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-1.
    15. Marion Dupoux, 2016. "The land use change time-accounting failure," Working Papers 2016.25, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    16. Sonia SCHWARTZ & Jean Galbert ONGONO OLINGA & Eric Nazindigouba KERE & Pascale COMBES MOTEL & Jean-Louis COMBES & Johanna CHOUMERT & Ariane Manuela AMIN, 2014. "A spatial econometric approach to spillover effects between protected areas and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon," Working Papers 201406, CERDI.
    17. Garth John Holloway, 2020. "Sustainable Land-Use Pathway Ranking and Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(19), pages 1-31, September.
    18. Ceddia, Michele Graziano & Gunter, Ulrich & Pazienza, Pasquale, 2019. "Indigenous peoples' land rights and agricultural expansion in Latin America: A dynamic panel data approach," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    19. Goetz, Ariane & German, Laura & Hunsberger, Carol & Schmidt, Oscar, 2017. "Do no harm? Risk perceptions in national bioenergy policies and actual mitigation performance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 776-790.
    20. Wolfersberger, Julien & Delacote, Philippe & Garcia, Serge, 2015. "An empirical analysis of forest transition and land-use change in developing countries," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 241-251.
    21. Petterson Molina Vale, 2015. "The Conservation versus Production Trade-off: Does Livestock Intensification Increase Deforestation? The Case of the Brazilian Amazon," Working Papers 2015.20, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    22. Petterson Molina Vale, 2014. "The conservation versus production trade-off: does livestock intensification increase deforestation? Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon," GRI Working Papers 174, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    23. Rebecca Lima Albuquerque Maranhão & Osmar Abílio de Carvalho Júnior & Potira Meirelles Hermuche & Roberto Arnaldo Trancoso Gomes & Concepta Margaret McManus Pimentel & Renato Fontes Guimarães, 2019. "The Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Soybean and Cattle Production in Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(7), pages 1-13, April.
    24. Delzeit, Ruth & Klepper, Gernot & Söder, Mareike, 2016. "An evaluation of approaches for quantifying emissions from indirect land use change," Kiel Working Papers 2035, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Indirect land-use changes; Dynamic effects; Biofuels; Deforestation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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