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Do Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions Impact Innovation? Evidence from Australian Administrative Data

Author

Listed:
  • Omer Majeed
  • Jonathan Hambur
  • Robert Breunig

Abstract

This paper examines whether monetary policy and economic conditions affect innovative activity and productivity in Australia, a small open economy that tends to import innovation from overseas. Most interestingly, United States monetary policy spills over and affects Australian firms’ innovation. Within Australia, contractionary monetary policy reduces aggregate R&D spending and this leads to reduced productivity growth. However, using firm-level data and a survey measure of innovation that also captures adoption, we find heterogenous responses across different firm types. Small firms decrease innovation in response to contractionary monetary policy shocks whereas large firms increase innovation. This heterogeneity appears to reflect differing exposures to the demand and financial constraint channels of monetary policy. Overall, our results suggest that monetary policy and economic conditions have medium-run effects on productivity, though the effects are more heterogeneous than previously documented.

Suggested Citation

  • Omer Majeed & Jonathan Hambur & Robert Breunig, 2024. "Do Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions Impact Innovation? Evidence from Australian Administrative Data," CAMA Working Papers 2024-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2024-13
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2024-02/13_2024_majeed_hambur_breunig.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    innovation; monetary policy; firm-level data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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