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Impact of Covid-19 containment measures on trade

Author

Listed:
  • Juan de Lucio

    (Universidad de Alcalá. Pza. San Diego, s/n, 28801, Alcalá de Henares (Spain))

  • Raúl Mínguez

    (Cámara de Comercio de España and Universidad Antonio de Nebrija. Calle de Santa Cruz de Marcenado, 27, 28015, Madrid (Spain))

  • Asier Minondo

    (Deusto Business School, University of Deusto, Camino de Mundaiz 50, 20012 Donostia - San Sebastián (Spain))

  • Andrés Francisco Requena

    (Department of Economic Structure, University of Valencia, Avda. dels Tarongers s/n, 46022 Valencia (Spain))

Abstract

Combining Spanish firm-level monthly trade data with country-level Covid-19 containment measures over February-July 2020, we show that the value of exports decreased more in destinations that introduced strict containment measures, whereas the value of imports remained una_ected. Strict containment measures in a partner country increased the probability of a firm ceasing to trade with it. Negative effects were concentrated between March and May 2020. The detrimental effect of containment on exports was larger for goods consumed outside the household, for wholesalers and retailers, and for manufacturers not participating in global value chains.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan de Lucio & Raúl Mínguez & Asier Minondo & Andrés Francisco Requena, 2020. "Impact of Covid-19 containment measures on trade," Working Papers 2101, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    • Handle: RePEc:eec:wpaper:2101
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Marco Due~nas & V'ictor Ortiz & Massimo Riccaboni & Francesco Serti, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on Trade: a Machine Learning Counterfactual Analysis," Papers 2104.04570, arXiv.org.
    2. Asier Minondo, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on the trade of goods and services in Spain," Applied Economic Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 29(85), pages 58-76, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; containment measures; rm-level trade; Spain; consumption goods; global value chains;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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