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What Determines the Future Value of an Icon Wine? New Evidence from Australia

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  • Anderson, Kym
  • Wood, Danielle

Abstract

To what extent can the future price of icon wines be anticipated from information available at the time of their initial sale by wineries? Using a hedonic model we show that weather variables and changes in production techniques, along with the age of the wine, have significant power in explaining the secondary market price variation across different vintages of each of three icon Australian red wines. The results have implications for winemakers in determining the prices they pay for grapes and charge for their wines, and for consumers/wine investors as a guide to the prospective quality of immature icon wines.

Suggested Citation

  • Anderson, Kym & Wood, Danielle, 2005. "What Determines the Future Value of an Icon Wine? New Evidence from Australia," CEPR Discussion Papers 5044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5044
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    2. Günter Schamel & Kym Anderson, 2019. "Wine Quality and Varietal, Regional and Winery Reputations: Hedonic Prices for Australia and New Zealand," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 10, pages 225-253, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    7. Rosen, Sherwin, 1974. "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(1), pages 34-55, Jan.-Feb..
    8. Kelvin J. Lancaster, 1966. "A New Approach to Consumer Theory," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74, pages 132-132.
    9. Gergaud, Olivier & Ginsburgh, Victor, 2010. "Natural Endowments, Production Technologies and the Quality of Wines in Bordeaux. Does Terroir Matter?," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(01), pages 3-21, March.
    10. R.P. Byron & O. Ashenfelter, 1995. "Predicting the Quality of an Unborn Grange," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(1), pages 40-53, March.
    11. Byron, R P & Ashenfelter, Orley, 1995. "Predicting the Quality of an Unborn Grange," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(212), pages 40-53, March.
    12. Stuart Landon & Constance E. Smith, 1998. "Quality Expectations, Reputation, and Price," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(3), pages 628-647, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ashenfelter, Orley, 2010. "Predicting the Quality and Prices of Bordeaux Wine," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 40-52, April.
    2. Omamuyovwi Gbejewoh & Saskia Keesstra & Erna Blancquaert, 2021. "The 3Ps (Profit, Planet, and People) of Sustainability amidst Climate Change: A South African Grape and Wine Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Samitas, Aristeidis & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Koutsokostas, Drosos & Kampouris, Elias, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between fine wine and major global markets during COVID-19: A portfolio hedging strategy for investors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 629-642.
    4. Ashenfelter, Orley & Storchmann, Karl, 2014. "Wine and Climate Change," Working Papers 164854, American Association of Wine Economists.
    5. Mert Hakan Hekimoğlu & Burak Kazaz & Scott Webster, 2017. "Wine Analytics: Fine Wine Pricing and Selection Under Weather and Market Uncertainty," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 202-215, May.
    6. Eric Le Fur & Jean-François Outreville, 2019. "Fine wine returns: a review of the literature," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 196-214, May.
    7. Amogh Prakasha Kumar & Richard Watt & Laura Meriluoto, 2021. "New Evidence on Using Expert Ratings to Proxy for Wine Quality in Climate Change Research," Working Papers in Economics 21/10, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    8. Limor Dina Gonen & Tchai Tavor & Uriel Spiegel, 2021. "The Positive Effect of Aging in the Case of Wine," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Mert Hakan Hekimoğlu & Burak Kazaz, 2020. "Analytics for Wine Futures: Realistic Prices," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(9), pages 2096-2120, September.
    10. San Martin, Guillermo S. & Brümmer, Bernhard & Troncoso, Javier L., 2008. "Determinants Of Argentinean Wine Prices In The U.S. Market," Working Papers 37327, American Association of Wine Economists.
    11. Anderson, Kym, 2009. "Terroir rising? Varietal and quality distinctiveness of Australia’s wine regions," 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia 48050, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    12. Fur, Eric Le, 2021. "Fine Wines in a Diversified Portfolio of Collectibles," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315852, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wine quality; Investment under certainty; Hedonic pricing model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Auctions
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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