## Content

### 1998

**9807 Self-Fulfilling Expectations in a model of Banking and Economic Growth***by*Futamura, H.**9803 A Model of Child Labor***by*Baland, J.M. & Robinson, J.A.

### 1995

**9521 Which Improves Welfare More: Nominal or Indexed Bond?***by*Magill, M. & Quinzii, M.**9520 Old Age Security and the Roles of Children, Education, Savings and Pensions: Some Findings from Rural Cost-Rica***by*Gomez, V.M.A. & Nugent, J.B.**9519 A Proposal for Breaking the Policy Gridlock over Grazing and Other Uses of Public Lands***by*Sanchez, N. & Nugent, J.B.**9518 Relative Price Variability, Inflation Rate Uncertainty and Postwar Investment of the United States***by*Nugent, J. & Glezakos, C.**9517 The Local Variability of Rainfall and Tribal Institutions: The Case of Sudan***by*Nugent, J. & Sanchez, N.**9516 Export Promotion Policies: Transaction Costs and Export Channel Choices in Egypt***by*Abdel-Latif, A.M. & Nugent, J.B.**9515 Aid, Non-Traded Goods and the Transfer Paradox in Small Countries***by*Yano, M. & Nugent, J.B. & Lay, R.N.**9514 Transaction Costs and Export Channel Evaluations by Korean SMEs***by*Kim, L. & Yhee, S.J. & Nugent, J.**9513 Capital Flows to and From the United States: Past Trends and the Future Prospects***by*Nugent, J.B.**9512 Voluntary Export Restraints, Anti-Dumping Procedure and Domestic Politics***by*Rosendorff, B.P.**9511 Democratic Politics and International Trade Negociations: Elections and Divided Government as Constraints on Trade Liberalization***by*Rosendorff, B.P. & Milner, H.**9510 Trade Negaciations, Information and Domestic Politics: The Role of Domestic Groups***by*Rosendorff, B.P. & Milner, H.**9509 Endogenous Trade Restrictions and Domestic Political Pressure***by*Rosendorff, B.P.**9508 Currencies and the Allocation of Risk: The Welfare Effects of a Monetary Union***by*Neumayer, P.A.**9507 Contracting in the Shadows of a Corrupt Court***by*Mui, V.L.**9505 Islamic Economics and the Islamic Subeconomy***by*Kuran, T.**9504 Nonparametric Estimation of First-Price Auctions***by*Guerre, E. & Perrigne, I. & Vuong, Q.**9503 Nonparametric Estimation of First-Price Auctions: Technical Appendices***by*Guerre, E. & Perrigne, I. & Vuong, Q.**9502 Auctioning and Bargaining: An Econometric Study of Timber Auctions with Secret Reservation Prices***by*Vuong, Q. & Laffont, J.J. & Elyakime, B. & Loisel, P.**9501 Selecting Regressors Using Nonparametric Estimators***by*Vuong, Q. & Lavergne, P.

### 1994

**9416 Fairness and Group Polarization in the Team Dictator Game***by*Cason, T. & Mui, V.L.**9413 The Inevitability of Future Revolutionary Surprises***by*Kuran, T.**9412 Incomplete Contracts and the Excuse Doctrine in Contract Law***by*Mui, V.L.**9411 A Bayesian Integration of End-Use Metering and Conditional Demand Analysis***by*Hsiao, C. & Mountain, D.C. & Ho, C.F.

### 1993

**9322 A Dynamic Analysis of Chinese Enterprise Behavior Under Alternative Reform Regimes: A Feasibility Study***by*Day, R.H. & Wang, Z. & Zou, G.**9321 Icomplete Markets Over an Infinite Horizon: Long-Lived Securities and Speculative Bubbles***by*Magill, M. & Quinzii, M.**9320 Infinite Horizon Incomplete Markets***by*Magill, M. & Quinzii, M.**9319 Mosum Tests for Parameter Constancy***by*Chu, C.S.J. & Hornik, K. & Kuan, C.M.**9318 Detecting Parameter Shift in Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models***by*Chu, C.S.J.**9317 A Framework for Regional Modeling and Impact Analysis - An Analysis of the Demand for Electricity by Large Municipalities in Ontario, Canada***by*Hsiao, C. & Mountain, D.C.**9316 Estimating Consumer Preferences Using Market Data - An Application to U.S. Automobile Demand***by*Arguea, N.M. & Hsiao, C. & Taylor, G.A.**9315 Cheap Talk Price Signaling in Laboratory Posted Offer Markets***by*Cason, T.N.**9314 The Role of Barter Trade in Promoting Non-Traditional Exports: A Note on the Egyptian Experience***by*Nugent, J.B. & Abdel-Latif, A.M.**9313 Institutional Arrangements in Cattle-Raising Activities in the Nineteenth Century American West and their Explanation***by*Nugent, J.B. & Sanchez, N.**9312 Seigniorage and Inflation: the Case of Argentina***by*Kiguel, M.A.**9311 Domestic Politics and International Cooperation: A Signaling Model***by*Milner, H. & Rosendorff, B.P.**9310 Voluntary Export Restraints and Bargaining***by*Rosendorff, B.P.**9308 An Empirical Examination of the Deterministic Component in Stock price Volatility***by*Gu, M.**9307 An Experimental Investigation of the Seller Incentives of EPA's Emission Trading Auction***by*Cason, T.N.

### 1992

**9306 The Economics of Envy***by*Mui, V.L.**9305 The Unthinkable and the Unthought***by*Kuran, T.**9304 The Strategic Value of Asymmetric Information Access for Cournot Competitors***by*Cason, T.N.**9303 The Impact of Information Sharing Opportunities on Market Outcomes: An Experimental Study***by*Cason, T.N.**9302 Obtaining Initial Parameter Estimates for Chaotic Systems Using Associative Memories***by*Gu, M.**9301 Mitigating the Tyranny of Public Opinion: Anonymous Discourse and the Ethic of Sincerity***by*Kuran, T.**9213 Panel Analysis for Metric Data***by*Hsiao, C.**9212 Random Coefficients Models***by*Hsiao, C.**9211 Nonlinear Latent Variable Models***by*Hsiao, C.**9210 Logit and Probit Models***by*Hsiao, C.**9209 Countertrade as Trade Creation and Trade Diversion: Theory and Case Study Illustration***by*Nugent, J.B. & Abdel-Latif, A.M.**9208 What Explains the Trend Reversal in the Size Distribution of Korean Manufacturing Establishments?***by*Nugent, J.B.**9207 Between State, Markets and Households: A Neoinstitutional Analysis of Local Organizations and Institutions***by*Nugent, J.B.**9206 Tribes, Chiefs and Transhumance: A Comparative Institutional Analysis***by*Nugent, J.B. & Sanchez, N.**9205 From Import Substitution to Outward-Orientation : Some Institutional and Political Economy Conditions for Reform***by*Nugent, J.B.**9204 Nonparametric Selection of Regressors : the Nonnested Case***by*Lavergne, P. & Vuong, Q.**9203 Econometric Issues of Estimating Hedonic Price Functions- with an Application to the U.S. Market for Automobiles***by*Arguea, N.M. & Hsiao, C.**9202 Structural Econometrics Analysis of descending Auctions***by*Laffont, J.J. & Vuong, Q.**9201 The College Investment Decision: Direct and Indirect Effects of Family Background Choice Postsecondary Enrollment and Quality***by*Behrman, J.R. & Kletzer, L.G. & Schapiro, M.O.

### 1989

**m8920 Model Selection, Classical Tests, And The Comprehensive Methods***by*Vuong, Q.H.**m8919 Diversity, Quality, And "Homogenization" Of Information Products In A Monopolistically Competitive Industry***by*Waterman, D.**m8918 Opportunism, Relationships-Specific Assets, And Contract Length***by*Quirmbach, H.C.**m8917 Relevancy Criterion For Discriminating Among Alternative Model Specifications***by*Kipnis, V.**m8916 A Statistical Perspective On Insurance Rate-Making***by*Hsiao, C. & Kim, C. & Taylor, G.**m8915 The Role Of Deception In Political Competition***by*Kuran, T.**m8914 Learning By Doing, Adverse Selection And Firm Structure***by*Novos, I.E.**m8913 Linear And Nonlinear Associative Memories For Parameter Estimation***by*Kalaba, R. & Lichtenstein, Z. & Tesfatsion, L.**m8912 Private And Public Preferences***by*Kuran, T.**m8911 Nonlocal Automated Sensitivity Analysis***by*Kalaba, R. & Tesfatsion, L.**m8910 Model Selection And Prediction Assessment In Regression Analysis***by*Kipnis, V.**m8909 Evaluating The Impact Of Exploratory Procedures In Regression Prediction: A Pseudosample Approach***by*Kipnis, V.**m8908 Dynamical Systems, Adaptation And Economic Evolution***by*Day, R.H.**m8907 A Real Growth Cycle With Adaptive Expectations***by*Lin, T.Y. & Tse, W.M. & Day, R.H.**m8906 Modeling Ontario Regional Electricity System Demand Using A Mixed Fixed And Random Coefficients Approach***by*Hsiao, C. & Mountain, D.C. & Tsui, K.Y. & Chan, M.W.L.**m8905 Identifiability In Multivariate Dynamic Linear Errors-In- Variables Models***by*Nowak, E.**8904 A Multicriteria Approach To Dynamic Estimation***by*Kalaba, R. & Tesfatsion, L.

### 1988

**m8903 An Econometric Analysis Of Some Duopolistic Games In Prices And Advertising***by*Gasmi, F. & Vuong, Q.H.**m8902 Interpretation And Use Of Generalized Chow Tests***by*Cantrell, R.S. & Burrows, P.M. & Vuong, Q.H.**m8901 Collective Action In Tunisia'S Producer Organizations: Some Variations On The Olsonian Theme***by*Nugent, J.B.**8826 Real Effects Of Money In General Equilibrium***by*Magill, M. & Quinzii, M.**m8825 Sequential Vertical Integration***by*Quirmbach, H.C.**m8824 Measure Of Information Gain***by*Huang, W.**m8823 Restoring The First Welfare Theorem For Overlapping Generations Economies***by*Pingle, M. & Tesfatsion, L.**m8822 Bulls, Bears And Market Sheep***by*Day, R. & Huang, W.**m8821 Worker Preferences And Firm Structure***by*Novos, I.E.**m8820 Delegated Law Enforcement And Noncooperative Behavior***by*Besanko, D. & Spulber, D.F.**m8819 Narrowcasting On Cable Television: A Program Choice Model***by*Waterman, D.**m8818 An Organizing Principle For Dynamic Estimation***by*Kalaba, R. & Tesfatsion, L.**m8817 Managerial Discipline, Resource Allocation, And Bankruptcy: A Study Of The Bankruptcy Laws In Yugoslavia And Hungary***by*Mitchell, J.**m8816 Opportunism, Relationship-Specifif Assets, And Contracts Length***by*Quirmbach, H.C.**m8815 A Combined Structural And Flexible Functional Approach For Modeling Energy Substitution***by*Mountain, D. & Hsiao, C.**m8814 On The Notion Of Economic Justice In Contemporary Islamic Thought***by*Kuran, T.**m8813 Uncertainty, Illiquidity, And Bank Innovation***by*Dymski, G.A.**m8812 Misleading Signalling, Bank Lending, And The Latin American Debt Crisis: Theory And Evidence***by*Dymski, G.A. & Pastor, M.Jr.**m8810 Consistent Estimation For Some Nonlinear Errors-In- Variables Models***by*Hsiao, C.**m8809 U.S. Money Demand Instability: A Flexible Least Squares Approach***by*Tesfatsion, L. & Veitch, J.**m8808 Sparks And Prairie Fires: A Theory Of Unanticipated Political Revolution***by*Kuran, T.**m8807 Efficiency Of Marginal Cost Pricing Equilibria***by*Quinzii, M.**m8806 Perfect Equilibrium And Intergenerational Conflict In A Model Of Cooperative Enterprise Growth***by*Mitchell, J.**m8805 Turning Points In Economic Time Series, Loss Structures And Bayesian Forecasting***by*Zellner, A. & Hong, C. & Gulati, G.M.**m8804 Bayesian Specification Analysis And Estimation Of Simultaneous Equation Models Using Monte Carlo Methods***by*Zellner, A. & Bauwnes, L. & Van Dijk, H.K.**m8803 Optimal Information-Processing And Bayes' Theorem***by*Zellner, A.**m8802 Forecasting International Growth Rates Using Bayesian Shrinkage And Other Procedures***by*Zellner, A. & Hong, C.**m8801 Causality And Causal Laws In Economics***by*Zellner, A.**m8737 Self-Selection In The Residential Electricity Time-Of-Use Pricing Experiments***by*Aigner, D.J. & Ghali, K.**m8730 A Fortran Program For Time-Varying Linear Regression Via Flexible Least Squares***by*Kalaba, R. & Rasakhoo, N. & Tesfatsion, L.**m8408 Bahrain'S Pearling Industry: How It Was, Why It Was That Way, And Its Implications***by*Datta, S.K. & Nugent, J.B.