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The Extraterritorial Effects of Sanctions

Author

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  • Ohyun Kwon
  • Constantinos Syropoulos
  • Yoto V. Yotov

Abstract

We provide quantitative evidence that the primary effects of economic sanctions on trade and welfare are accompanied by strong extraterritorial effects — estimates of the former effects may be significantly biased if the latter effects are not taken into account. Furthermore, while the extraterritorial burden of sanctions on trade falls primarily on target countries, the corresponding effect on trade among senders and third countries is positive. General equilibrium analysis suggests that, for targets, the welfare losses due to extraterritorial effects are large and may exceed the losses due to reduced trade with senders. For senders, the gains from increased trade with third countries may outweigh the losses from decreased trade with targets to generate net welfare gains. The welfare effects on third countries are significant, too. However, the direction and size of these effects depend on three key factors: the size of the target, the size of the sender, and the economic ties among the target, the sender, and third countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ohyun Kwon & Constantinos Syropoulos & Yoto V. Yotov, 2022. "The Extraterritorial Effects of Sanctions," CESifo Working Paper Series 9578, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9578
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    2. Konrad, Kai A. & Thum, Marcel, 2023. "Elusive effects of export embargoes for fossil energy resources," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic sanctions; primary effects; extraterritorial effects; trade; welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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