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Does Trust Favor Macroeconomic Stability?

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  • Marc Sangnier

    () (Aix-Marseille University (Aix-Marseille School of Economics), CNRS & EHESS)

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between trust and macroeconomic volatility. An illustrative model rationalizes the relationship between trust and volatility. In this model, trust relaxes credit constraints and diminishes investment's procyclicality. I provide empirical evidence for the basic predictions of the model. Then, I show that higher trust is associated with lower macroeconomic volatility in a cross section of countries. This relationship persists when various covariates are taken into account. I use inherited trust of Americans as an instrumental variable for trust in their origin country to overcome reverse causality concerns. Using changes in inherited trust over the 20th century, I do not find clear evidence that increasing trust is also associated with decreasing volatility across time at the country level.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Sangnier, 2012. "Does Trust Favor Macroeconomic Stability?," AMSE Working Papers 1227, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Marseille, France.
  • Handle: RePEc:aim:wpaimx:1227
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    Cited by:

    1. Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto & Ugo Troiano, 2012. "Social capital, government expenditures, and growth," Economics Working Papers 1307, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2018.
    2. Giacomo, Degli Antoni & Fabio, Sabatini, 2013. "Disentangling the relationship between nonprofit and social capital: the role of social cooperatives and social welfare associations in the development of networks of strong and weak ties," MPRA Paper 44860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Anastasia Litina, 2014. "Great Expectations - The Persistent Effect of Institutions on Culture," CREA Discussion Paper Series 14-17, Center for Research in Economic Analysis, University of Luxembourg.
    4. Christian Alexander Belabed & Mariya Hake, 2018. "Income inequality and trust in national governments in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe," Working Papers 222, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    5. Yann Algan & Pierre Cahuc, 2010. "Inherited Trust and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 2060-2092, December.
    6. Bergh, Andreas & Bjørnskov, Christian, 2016. "Burying the Bumblebee Once and for All:," Working Paper Series 1119, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    7. Bergh, Andreas & Öhrvall, Richard, 2016. "The Moldable Young: How Institutions Impact Social Trust," Working Paper Series 1132, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    8. repec:spr:anresc:v:60:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s00168-015-0729-2 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trust; volatility; macroeconomic stability; social capital.;

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative

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